MNTN · TickerCove

MNTNMNTN, Inc Class ATechnology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.53 · now $11.53 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MNTN has typically landed between $8.53 and $15.73 — a range of −26.0% to +36.4% from the issuance price $11.53.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

310 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-05-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.53) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$11.53 · 30% of range

$7.78 low$20.35 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−8.4%

typical move · IQR 20.9%

−26.0%worst (p90)+36.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where MNTN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.53 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $11.53 (+0.0%)
typical $10.57 (-8.4%)
middle 50% $9.36–$11.77
90% range $8.53–$15.73

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 310 windows spanning 2025-05-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-01-06	−36.2%	−36.2%	+0.0%
2025-08-05	−34.8%	−36.5%	+0.0%
2026-01-05	−34.7%	−34.7%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-07-23	+54.3%	+0.0%	+54.3%
2025-06-23	+52.2%	+0.0%	+52.2%
2025-07-07	+51.4%	+0.0%	+51.4%

310 overlapping windows · 2025-05-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

−22.9%

n=1

Feb

100%

+6.1%

n=1

Mar

−9.8%

n=1

Apr

100%

+7.2%

n=1

May

+0.0%

n=1

Jun

−7.9%

n=2

Jul

100%

+14.5%

n=2

Aug

50%

+7.6%

n=2

Sep

−10.7%

n=2

Oct

−10.6%

n=1

Nov

−17.7%

n=1

Dec

−12.5%

n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-18	Baroda Ventures LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	275,115 @ $12.75	$3.5M	−4.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,375,543	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Baroda Ventures LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	33,617 @ $12.56	$422K	−0.5% of holding	−3.6%	not yet — horizon still open	6,650,658	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-13	Baroda Ventures LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	26,823 @ $12.53	$336K	−0.4% of holding	−0.4%	not yet — horizon still open	6,684,275	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-03	Partovi Hadi	director	Sale	86,665 @ $13.39	$1.2M	−100.0% of holding	−9.3%	−40.0%	0	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-02	Partovi Hadi	director	Sale	168,257 @ $13.39	$2.3M	−66.0% of holding	−8.9%	−38.9%	86,665	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-01	Partovi Hadi	director	Sale	192,598 @ $13.46	$2.6M	−43.0% of holding	−10.6%	−38.6%	254,922	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-23	Douglas Mark Steven	director	Sale	900,000 @ $16.00	$14.4M	−100.0% of holding	−25.2%	−64.6%	0	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Sale	800,000 @ $16.00	$12.8M	−100.0% of holding	−25.2%	−64.6%	0	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-23	Baroda Ventures LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	532,130 @ $16.00	$8.5M	−100.0% of holding	−25.2%	−64.6%	0	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-23	QUALCOMM INC/DE	tenPercentOwner	Sale	412,500 @ $16.00	$6.6M	−100.0% of holding	−25.2%	−64.6%	0	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-23	Mercato Partners Growth III GP, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	300,000 @ $16.00	$4.8M	−4.6% of holding	−25.2%	−64.6%	6,168,022	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-23	Pohlen Patrick	officer	Sale	255,232 @ $16.00	$4.1M	−16.2% of holding	−25.2%	−64.6%	1,319,489	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-23	Innes Christopher Lee	officer	Sale	176,933 @ $16.00	$2.8M	−37.2% of holding	−25.2%	−64.6%	299,333	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-23	Partovi Hadi	director	Sale	50,000 @ $16.00	$800K	−10.0% of holding	−25.2%	−64.6%	447,520	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

80 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-03	Katz Michael J.	director	Award / grant	29,717	29,717	Form 4
2026-07-06	Kaiser Joseph John	director	Award / grant	1,701	27,311	Form 4
2026-06-11	Johnson Joe Boyd	director	Award / grant	23,446	23,446	Form 4
2026-06-11	Kaiser Joseph John	director	Award / grant	23,446	25,610	Form 4
2026-06-11	Ries Grant	director	Award / grant	23,446	117,196	Form 4
2026-06-11	Weisman Tony	director	Award / grant	46,893	46,893	Form 4
2026-06-11	Bhat Phalachandra	director	Award / grant	23,446	38,620	Form 4
2026-04-05	Kaiser Joseph John	director	Award / grant	2,164	2,164	Form 4
2025-11-06	Baroda Ventures LLC	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	6,711,098	0	Form 4
2025-11-06	Baroda Ventures LLC	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	6,711,098	6,711,098	Form 4
2025-11-06	Baroda Ventures LLC	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	6,711,098	6,711,098	Form 4
2025-11-06	Baroda Ventures LLC	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	6,711,098	6,711,098	Form 4
2025-11-06	Baroda Ventures LLC	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	6,711,098	0	Form 4
2025-11-06	Baroda Ventures LLC	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	6,711,098	0	Form 4
2025-07-29	Bhat Phalachandra	director	Award / grant	15,174	15,174	Form 4
2025-05-23	Innes Christopher Lee	officer	Award / grant	188,728	188,728	Form 4
2025-05-23	Mercato Partners Growth III GP, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	—	0	Form 4
2025-05-23	MGD Holdings	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	281,250	281,250	Form 4
2025-05-23	MGD Holdings	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	—	0	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	464,990	0	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	5,844,866	5,844,866	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	800,000	5,044,866	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	2,136,752	0	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	3,243,124	0	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	2,061,643	2,061,643	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	800,000	800,000	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	—	0	Form 4
2025-05-23	Douglas Mark Steven	director	Conversion	900,000	900,000	Form 4
2025-05-23	Douglas Mark Steven	director	Conversion	900,000	4,414,342	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	3,243,124	0	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	464,990	0	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	5,844,866	5,844,866	Form 4
2025-05-23	SETTLE DANA R	director	Conversion	800,000	5,044,866	Form 4
2025-05-23	MGD Holdings	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	281,250	281,250	Form 4
2025-05-23	Douglas Mark Steven	director	Conversion	900,000	900,000	Form 4
2025-05-23	Douglas Mark Steven	director	Conversion	900,000	4,414,342	Form 4
2025-05-23	Partovi Hadi	director	Conversion	—	0	Form 4
2025-05-23	MGD Holdings	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	—	0	Form 4
2025-05-23	Ries Grant	director	Conversion	93,750	93,750	Form 4
2025-05-23	Ries Grant	director	Conversion	—	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i