Issued 2026-08-21 at $42.79 · now $42.79 (2026-08-12, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-08-21 close, MNMD has typically landed between $31.23 and $60.50 — a range of −27.0% to +41.4% from the issuance price $42.79.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,218 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-11-15 – 2026-07-14 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,405 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-08-21 issuance close ($42.79) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-09-21, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MNMD has typically landed a month from the 2026-08-21 close of $42.79 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $42.79 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $42.74 (-0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $36.75–$48.72
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.23–$60.5
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2019-10-30 | −98.8% | −98.8% | +481.8% |
| 2019-05-01 | −98.3% | −98.3% | +0.0% |
| 2019-06-20 | −98.2% | −98.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2019-12-26 | +6150.0% | +0.0% | +55900.0% |
| 2019-12-24 | +4900.0% | −20.0% | +44700.0% |
| 2019-12-23 | +4900.0% | −20.0% | +44700.0% |
2,218 overlapping windows · 2016-11-15 – 2026-08-12 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | Barrow Robert | director | Sale | 25,791 @ $13.15 | $339K | −3.2% of holding | +28.2% | +251.4% | 778,477 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-26 | Sullivan Mark | officer | Sale | 11,276 @ $13.15 | $148K | −3.8% of holding | +28.2% | +251.4% | 282,576 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-26 | Karlin Daniel | officer | Sale | 5,600 @ $13.15 | $74K | −1.3% of holding | +28.2% | +251.4% | 425,025 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-25 | Barrow Robert | director | Sale | 25,797 @ $9.77 | $252K | −3.1% of holding | +23.8% | +86.1% | 804,268 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-25 | Sullivan Mark | officer | Sale | 11,278 @ $9.77 | $110K | −3.7% of holding | +23.8% | +86.1% | 293,852 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-25 | Karlin Daniel | officer | Sale | 7,704 @ $9.77 | $75K | −1.8% of holding | +23.8% | +86.1% | 430,625 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-25 | Barrow Robert | director | Sale | 26,491 @ $6.80 | $180K | −3.1% of holding | +37.8% | +91.0% | 830,065 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-25 | Sullivan Mark | officer | Sale | 11,491 @ $6.80 | $78K | −3.6% of holding | +37.8% | +91.0% | 305,130 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-25 | Karlin Daniel | officer | Sale | 7,848 @ $6.80 | $53K | −1.8% of holding | +37.8% | +91.0% | 438,329 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-25 | Barrow Robert | director | Sale | 21,208 @ $6.74 | $143K | −2.4% of holding | −0.2% | +29.3% | 856,556 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-25 | Karlin Daniel | officer | Sale | 6,836 @ $6.74 | $46K | −1.5% of holding | −0.2% | +29.3% | 446,177 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-25 | Sullivan Mark | officer | Sale | 6,576 @ $6.74 | $44K | −2.0% of holding | −0.2% | +29.3% | 316,621 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-25 | Liao Carrie | officer | Sale | 2,347 @ $6.74 | $16K | −1.6% of holding | −0.2% | +29.3% | 144,923 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-26 | Barrow Robert | director | Sale | 19,106 @ $7.43 | $142K | −3.5% of holding | −4.1% | −15.8% | 526,666 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-26 | Karlin Daniel | officer | Sale | 6,643 @ $7.43 | $49K | −1.9% of holding | −4.1% | −15.8% | 338,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-26 | Sullivan Mark | officer | Sale | 4,519 @ $7.43 | $34K | −2.5% of holding | −4.1% | −15.8% | 173,197 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-26 | Liao Carrie | officer | Sale | 2,273 @ $7.43 | $17K | −2.3% of holding | −4.1% | −15.8% | 97,270 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | GRYSKA DAVID W | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $7.17 | $18K | +14.4% of holding | +16.7% | +10.9% | 19,851 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-09-25 | Barrow Robert | director | Sale | 19,771 @ $5.98 | $118K | −3.5% of holding | +0.9% | +5.8% | 545,772 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-09-25 | Karlin Daniel | officer | Sale | 6,871 @ $5.98 | $41K | −2.0% of holding | +0.9% | +5.8% | 344,656 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-09-25 | Sullivan Mark | officer | Sale | 4,430 @ $5.98 | $26K | −2.4% of holding | +0.9% | +5.8% | 177,716 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-09-25 | Liao Carrie | officer | Sale | 2,352 @ $5.98 | $14K | −2.3% of holding | +0.9% | +5.8% | 99,543 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-08-23 | GRYSKA DAVID W | director | Purchase | 3,500 @ $5.98 | $21K | +25.3% of holding | −1.3% | +6.8% | 17,351 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-08-20 | Barrow Robert | director | Purchase | 500 @ $6.12 | $3K | +0.1% of holding | +0.1% | +15.6% | 565,543 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-08-19 | Barrow Robert | director | Purchase | 500 @ $6.31 | $3K | +0.1% of holding | −4.7% | +18.8% | 565,043 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-06-25 | Sullivan Mark | officer | Sale | 17,854 @ $7.22 | $129K | −8.9% of holding | +34.4% | −9.7% | 182,146 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-06-25 | Barrow Robert | director | Sale | 15,659 @ $7.22 | $113K | −2.7% of holding | +34.4% | −9.7% | 564,543 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-06-25 | Karlin Daniel | officer | Sale | 6,925 @ $7.22 | $50K | −1.9% of holding | +34.4% | −9.7% | 351,527 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-03-25 | Barrow Robert | director | Sale | 16,519 @ $9.50 | $157K | −2.8% of holding | −16.1% | −52.5% | 580,202 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-03-25 | Karlin Daniel | officer | Sale | 6,578 @ $9.50 | $62K | −1.8% of holding | −16.1% | −52.5% | 358,452 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
26 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-12 | GRYSKA DAVID W | director | Award / grant | 75,187 | 75,187 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Vallone Carol A | director | Award / grant | 75,187 | 75,187 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Bruhn Suzanne Louise | director | Award / grant | 75,187 | 75,187 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Krebs Andreas | director | Award / grant | 75,187 | 75,187 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | CRYSTAL ROGER | director | Award / grant | 75,187 | 75,187 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Roberts Brandi | director | Award / grant | 500,000 | 500,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-17 | Wiley Matthew T. | officer | Award / grant | 350,000 | 350,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-12 | Karlin Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 115,000 | 453,013 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-12 | Sullivan Mark | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 323,197 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-12 | Liao Carrie | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 142,270 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-12 | Barrow Robert | director | Award / grant | 350,000 | 877,764 | Form 4 |
| 2024-08-21 | Halperin Wernli Miri | officer | Withheld for tax | 32,595 | 202,405 | Form 4 |
| 2024-08-21 | Halperin Wernli Miri | officer | Option exercise | 50,000 | 235,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-08-21 | Halperin Wernli Miri | officer | Option exercise | 50,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2024-06-10 | GRYSKA DAVID W | director | Award / grant | 16,506 | 16,506 | Form 4 |
| 2024-06-10 | Bruhn Suzanne Louise | director | Award / grant | 16,506 | 16,506 | Form 4 |
| 2024-06-10 | Vallone Carol A | director | Award / grant | 16,506 | 16,506 | Form 4 |
| 2024-06-10 | Krebs Andreas | director | Award / grant | 16,506 | 16,506 | Form 4 |
| 2024-06-10 | CRYSTAL ROGER | director | Award / grant | 16,506 | 16,506 | Form 4 |
| 2024-03-25 | Greenway Schond L. | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,560 | 211,057 | Form 4 |
| 2024-02-27 | Sullivan Mark | officer | Award / grant | 125,000 | 125,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-02-27 | Karlin Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-02-27 | Liao Carrie | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-02-27 | Halperin Wernli Miri | officer | Award / grant | 125,000 | 125,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-02-27 | Barrow Robert | director | Award / grant | 400,000 | 400,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-02-27 | Greenway Schond L. | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.