Issued 2026-09-16 at $57.61 · now $57.61 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MMS has typically landed between $50.75 and $64.59 — a range of −11.9% to +12.1% from the issuance price $57.61.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($57.61) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MMS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $57.61 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $57.61 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $57.58 (-0.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $55.08–$60.09
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $50.75–$64.59
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-13 | −33.2% | −33.2% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-11 | −28.3% | −28.3% | +0.4% |
| 2020-02-20 | −27.7% | −31.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2014-10-16 | +28.7% | +0.0% | +28.7% |
| 2008-11-20 | +27.0% | +0.0% | +28.3% |
| 2010-01-29 | +26.2% | +0.0% | +26.2% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Madsen Jan | director | Sale | 742 @ $72.25 | $54K | −3.4% of holding | −8.9% | −32.6% | 20,795 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-10 | Caswell Bruce | director | Purchase | 1,691 @ $78.77 | $133K | +0.5% of holding | −4.3% | −42.7% | 328,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | Caswell Bruce | director | Purchase | 1,332 @ $78.22 | $104K | +0.4% of holding | −4.3% | −42.7% | 326,322 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | Caswell Bruce | director | Purchase | 152 @ $76.92 | $12K | +0.0% of holding | −4.3% | −42.7% | 324,990 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Mutryn David | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $75.63 | $76K | +2.6% of holding | +1.2% | −38.7% | 40,037 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-03 | Link Michelle F. | officer | Sale | 4,039 @ $86.84 | $351K | −17.1% of holding | +5.0% | −36.4% | 19,542 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-28 | RAJAN GAYATHRI | director | Purchase | 42 @ $86.11 | $4K | +0.3% of holding | +0.1% | −40.3% | 14,388 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Warren Michael J. | director | Purchase | 14 @ $86.11 | $1K | +0.1% of holding | +0.1% | −40.3% | 15,485 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | Link Michelle F. | officer | Sale | 1,610 @ $90.86 | $146K | −10.6% of holding | −9.8% | −29.5% | 13,508 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | RAJAN GAYATHRI | director | Purchase | 41 @ $87.58 | $4K | +0.3% of holding | +0.4% | −18.9% | 14,338 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | Warren Michael J. | director | Purchase | 14 @ $87.58 | $1K | +0.1% of holding | +0.4% | −18.9% | 15,432 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | RUDDY RAYMOND B | director | Purchase | 1,435 @ $69.66 | $100K | +0.5% of holding | −1.8% | +11.8% | 314,561 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | RAJAN GAYATHRI | director | Sale | 7,913 @ $72.38 | $573K | −35.8% of holding | −6.2% | +3.0% | 14,205 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | RAJAN GAYATHRI | director | Purchase | 83 @ $72.29 | $6K | +0.6% of holding | −6.2% | +3.0% | 14,288 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | Warren Michael J. | director | Purchase | 17 @ $72.29 | $1K | +0.1% of holding | −6.2% | +3.0% | 15,372 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Madsen Jan | director | Sale | 2,439 @ $67.71 | $165K | −11.9% of holding | +4.3% | +11.8% | 18,097 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | RAJAN GAYATHRI | director | Purchase | 81 @ $66.64 | $5K | +0.5% of holding | +10.1% | +26.6% | 18,138 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | Warren Michael J. | director | Purchase | 18 @ $66.64 | $1K | +0.5% of holding | +10.1% | +26.6% | 4,103 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | Baylinson Ilene R. | officer | Sale | 14,500 @ $68.14 | $988K | −85.2% of holding | +6.1% | +21.0% | 2,512 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Caswell Bruce | director | Purchase | 3,500 @ $70.64 | $247K | +1.3% of holding | +13.4% | −1.8% | 275,929 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | HALEY JOHN J | director | Purchase | 3,490 @ $71.76 | $250K | +3.2% of holding | +11.5% | −0.8% | 113,544 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | RUDDY RAYMOND B | director | Purchase | 3,490 @ $71.46 | $249K | +3.2% of holding | +11.5% | −0.8% | 112,520 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
91 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | HALEY JOHN J | director | Award / grant | 7,009 | 47,116 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Altman Anne K. | director | Award / grant | 3,062 | 35,142 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Madsen Jan | director | Award / grant | 3,215 | 21,537 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Warren Michael J. | director | Award / grant | 2,246 | 17,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | RAJAN GAYATHRI | director | Award / grant | 2,246 | 16,705 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | MONTONI RICHARD A | director | Gift | 7,000 | 45,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | MONTONI RICHARD A | director | Gift | 3,000 | 52,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | HALEY JOHN J | director | Gift | 32,764 | 32,764 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | HALEY JOHN J | director | Gift | 32,764 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | HALEY JOHN J | director | Gift | 32,764 | 32,764 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | HALEY JOHN J | director | Gift | 32,764 | 39,971 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | Caswell Bruce | director | Withheld for tax | 39,037 | 39,037 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | Mutryn David | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,040 | 39,037 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | Baylinson Ilene R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,831 | 25,393 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | Link Michelle F. | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,319 | 23,581 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | GOLINVAUX THERESA D | officer | Withheld for tax | 542 | 13,488 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | Mutryn David | officer | Award / grant | 13,391 | 45,076 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | Baylinson Ilene R. | officer | Award / grant | 7,647 | 29,224 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | Link Michelle F. | officer | Award / grant | 7,358 | 26,899 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | Caswell Bruce | director | Award / grant | 13,391 | 45,076 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-02 | GOLINVAUX THERESA D | officer | Award / grant | 1,201 | 14,029 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | HALEY JOHN J | director | Award / grant | 104 | 39,971 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | RAJAN GAYATHRI | director | Award / grant | 8 | 14,396 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Martinez John Thomas | director | Award / grant | 33 | 22,641 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | MONTONI RICHARD A | director | Gift | 12,000 | 55,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Baylinson Ilene R. | officer | Award / grant | 28 | 21,577 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Link Michelle F. | officer | Award / grant | 20 | 19,541 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Altman Anne K. | director | Award / grant | 11 | 32,066 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Warren Michael J. | director | Award / grant | 39 | 15,524 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | GOLINVAUX THERESA D | officer | Award / grant | 14 | 12,829 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Madsen Jan | director | Award / grant | 50 | 18,257 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Mutryn David | officer | Award / grant | 37 | 31,685 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | RUDDY RAYMOND B | director | Award / grant | 694 | 315,940 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Link Michelle F. | officer | Award / grant | 6,013 | 19,521 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Martinez John Thomas | director | Award / grant | 7,409 | 22,608 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | GOLINVAUX THERESA D | officer | Award / grant | 2,565 | 12,814 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Baylinson Ilene R. | officer | Award / grant | 7,409 | 21,549 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mutryn David | officer | Gift | 4,000 | 31,648 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mutryn David | officer | Award / grant | 10,259 | 35,648 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-30 | Mutryn David | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,159 | 25,389 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.