MMM3M CompanyIndustrials · Conglomeratesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $162.65 · now $162.65 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MMM has typically landed between $143.72 and $184.72 — a range of −11.6% to +13.6% from the issuance price $162.65.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($162.65) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MMM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $162.65 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$143.72worst · -11.6%$184.72best · +13.6%
  • now $162.65 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $164.22 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $156.84$171.59
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $143.72$184.72
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−24.9%−24.9%+0.0%
2019-04-18−24.0%−24.0%+0.3%
2019-04-24−23.6%−24.1%+0.0%
3 best
2024-07-01+26.8%−0.9%+26.8%
2024-07-25+26.3%+0.0%+26.3%
2024-06-26+25.3%−1.7%+25.3%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$89.0B
market cap
$5.63
EPS (TTM)
30.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-20
next earnings
Revenue$24.9B
'20'25
Net income$3.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.4B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr13.0%
'20'25
ROE · by yr69.1%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr2.75
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $162.65$18.75$232.76
  • DCF (intrinsic)$33.51
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$172.58
  • Analyst target · range $145.00$218.00$190.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$162.65

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
−0.7%
n=18
Feb
63%
+0.4%
n=19
Mar
68%
+0.9%
n=19
Apr
63%
+0.9%
n=19
May
68%
+0.4%
n=19
Jun
58%
+0.7%
n=19
Jul
63%
+4.3%
n=19
Aug
47%
−0.6%
n=19
Sep
32%
−2.0%
n=19
Oct
50%
+1.6%
n=18
Nov
94%
+4.5%
n=18
Dec
61%
−0.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$184$1402026-08-05: 1 insider sale, $663K — Chavez Rodriguez Beatriz Karina2026-07-23: 2 insider sales, $1.5M — Banovetz John Patrick, Reinseth Theresa E2026-07-22: 2 insider sales, $2.1M — Rhodes Kevin H, Goralski Christian T JR2026-02-11: 5 insider sales, $889K — Reinseth Theresa E …2026-02-09: 3 insider sales, $8.0M — Dickson Zoe L, Chavez Rodriguez Beatriz Karina …2025-11-13: 45 insider sales, $4.7M — Dickson Zoe L …2025-10-29: 20 insider sales, $3.2M — Murphy Mark W. …2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.4M2025-10: 20 open-market sales, $3.2M2025-11: 45 open-market sales, $4.7M2026-02: 8 open-market sales, $8.8M2026-07: 4 open-market sales, $3.6M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $663K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Chavez Rodriguez Beatriz Karina — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Banovetz John Patrick — Sale on 2026-07-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Reinseth Theresa E — Sale on 2026-07-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rhodes Kevin H — Sale on 2026-07-22, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Goralski Christian T JR — Sale on 2026-07-22, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Reinseth Theresa E — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Reinseth Theresa E — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Reinseth Theresa E — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Reinseth Theresa E — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Reinseth Theresa E — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Chavez Rodriguez Beatriz Karina — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Dickson Zoe L — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Murphy Mark W. — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-05Chavez Rodriguez Beatriz KarinaofficerSale3,635 @ $182.51$663K−20.6% of holding−8.0%not yet — horizon still open14,035Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-23Banovetz John PatrickofficerSale7,880 @ $170.44$1.3M−13.6% of holding+1.3%not yet — horizon still open50,057Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-23Reinseth Theresa EofficerSale924 @ $169.42$157K−26.1% of holding+1.3%not yet — horizon still open2,615Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-22Rhodes Kevin HofficerSale7,669 @ $171.20$1.3M−14.9% of holding+1.8%not yet — horizon still open43,780Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-22Goralski Christian T JRofficerSale4,902 @ $170.46$836K−41.3% of holding+1.8%not yet — horizon still open6,971Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11Reinseth Theresa EofficerSale1,946 @ $172.73$336K−40.5% of holding−8.0%−6.3%2,865Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11Reinseth Theresa EofficerSale1,796 @ $172.79$310K−41.0% of holding−8.0%−6.3%2,585Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11Reinseth Theresa EofficerSale1,123 @ $172.72$194K−18.9% of holding−8.0%−6.3%4,811Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11Reinseth Theresa EofficerSale240 @ $172.74$41K−8.4% of holding−8.0%−6.3%2,625Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11Reinseth Theresa EofficerSale40 @ $172.75$7K−1.5% of holding−8.0%−6.3%2,585Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09Dickson Zoe LofficerSale25,055 @ $170.34$4.3M−54.3% of holding−5.9%−3.0%21,123Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09Dickson Zoe LofficerSale20,519 @ $169.97$3.5M−49.3% of holding−5.9%−3.0%21,123Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09Chavez Rodriguez Beatriz KarinaofficerSale1,190 @ $171.13$204K−6.3% of holding−5.9%−3.0%17,649Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale6,050 @ $169.72$1.0M−40.6% of holding−3.8%−20.3%8,862Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale5,422 @ $169.83$921K−36.3% of holding−3.8%−20.3%9,527Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale2,377 @ $169.82$404K−21.3% of holding−3.8%−20.3%8,761Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale2,225 @ $169.86$378K−26.5% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,162Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale1,108 @ $169.87$188K−12.8% of holding−3.8%−20.3%7,547Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale1,090 @ $169.80$185K−6.4% of holding−3.8%−20.3%15,857Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale759 @ $169.79$129K−4.3% of holding−3.8%−20.3%16,947Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale695 @ $169.78$118K−3.8% of holding−3.8%−20.3%17,726Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale579 @ $169.75$98K−3.0% of holding−3.8%−20.3%18,688Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale555 @ $169.81$94K−7.5% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,892Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale474 @ $169.80$80K−6.0% of holding−3.8%−20.3%7,447Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale461 @ $169.81$78K−2.9% of holding−3.8%−20.3%15,396Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale450 @ $169.89$76K−6.0% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,995Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale362 @ $169.85$61K−3.9% of holding−3.8%−20.3%8,999Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale337 @ $169.94$57K−5.2% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,162Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale314 @ $169.86$53K−3.5% of holding−3.8%−20.3%8,655Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale305 @ $169.79$52K−3.7% of holding−3.8%−20.3%7,921Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale300 @ $169.91$51K−4.4% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,520Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale300 @ $169.76$51K−3.4% of holding−3.8%−20.3%8,462Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale246 @ $169.82$42K−1.6% of holding−3.8%−20.3%14,949Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale243 @ $169.83$41K−3.6% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,444Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale224 @ $169.83$38K−2.6% of holding−3.8%−20.3%8,537Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale205 @ $169.82$35K−3.0% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,687Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale201 @ $169.81$34K−1.3% of holding−3.8%−20.3%15,195Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale200 @ $169.77$34K−2.4% of holding−3.8%−20.3%8,262Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale176 @ $169.85$30K−2.8% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,162Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale175 @ $169.90$30K−2.5% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,820Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale167 @ $169.76$28K−0.9% of holding−3.8%−20.3%18,521Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale166 @ $169.84$28K−1.7% of holding−3.8%−20.3%9,361Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale150 @ $169.84$25K−1.8% of holding−3.8%−20.3%8,387Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale150 @ $169.72$25K−0.8% of holding−3.8%−20.3%19,405Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale130 @ $169.71$22K−0.7% of holding−3.8%−20.3%19,555Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale128 @ $169.74$22K−0.7% of holding−3.8%−20.3%19,267Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale106 @ $169.84$18K−1.6% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,338Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale106 @ $169.70$18K−0.5% of holding−3.8%−20.3%19,685Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale102 @ $169.87$17K−1.4% of holding−3.8%−20.3%7,445Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale100 @ $169.82$17K−0.9% of holding−3.8%−20.3%11,138Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale100 @ $169.77$17K−0.5% of holding−3.8%−20.3%18,421Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale100 @ $169.75$17K−1.1% of holding−3.8%−20.3%8,762Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale36 @ $169.78$6K−0.4% of holding−3.8%−20.3%8,226Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale30 @ $169.85$5K−0.3% of holding−3.8%−20.3%8,969Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale20 @ $169.78$3K−0.1% of holding−3.8%−20.3%17,706Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale14 @ $169.92$2K−0.2% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,499Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale10 @ $169.73$2K−0.1% of holding−3.8%−20.3%19,395Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Dickson Zoe LofficerSale7 @ $169.91$1K−0.1% of holding−3.8%−20.3%6,513Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-29Murphy Mark W.officerSale6,611 @ $166.50$1.1M−25.8% of holding+5.5%−18.1%19,044Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-29Murphy Mark W.officerSale2,183 @ $166.52$364K−12.0% of holding+5.5%−18.1%16,036Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

202 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01George Bobby KdirectorAward / grant15,86015,860Form 4
2026-09-01George Bobby KdirectorAward / grant15,86015,860Form 4
2026-09-01Cunningham Jennifer A.officerAward / grant7,0497,049Form 4
2026-09-01George Bobby KdirectorAward / grant15,86015,860Form 4
2026-09-01Cunningham Jennifer A.officerAward / grant7,0497,049Form 4
2026-09-01George Bobby KdirectorAward / grant15,86015,860Form 4
2026-09-01Cunningham Jennifer A.officerAward / grant7,0497,049Form 4
2026-09-01Cunningham Jennifer A.officerAward / grant7,0497,049Form 4
2026-07-23Banovetz John PatrickofficerOption exercise7,88057,937Form 4
2026-07-23Banovetz John PatrickofficerOption exercise7,8800Form 4
2026-07-22Rhodes Kevin HofficerOption exercise7,66951,449Form 4
2026-07-22Goralski Christian T JRofficerOption exercise4,90211,873Form 4
2026-07-22Rhodes Kevin HofficerOption exercise7,6690Form 4
2026-07-22Goralski Christian T JRofficerOption exercise4,9020Form 4
2026-07-01Bauer Wendy AofficerOption exercise7,95212,644Form 4
2026-07-01Bauer Wendy AofficerWithheld for tax3,5589,086Form 4
2026-07-01Bauer Wendy AofficerOption exercise7,9520Form 4
2026-06-05RUMSEY JENNIFERdirectorAward / grant1,1961,196Form 4
2026-05-12Mitchill Neil G. JRdirectorAward / grant1,3601,674Form 4
2026-05-12Fitterling James RdirectorAward / grant1,3607,868Form 4
2026-05-12PIZARRO PEDROdirectorAward / grant1,3607,170Form 4
2026-05-12Sweet Thomas WdirectorAward / grant1,3605,796Form 4
2026-05-12Choi AudreydirectorAward / grant1,3606,170Form 4
2026-05-12Chow Anne HdirectorAward / grant1,3605,130Form 4
2026-05-12Bozeman David PdirectorAward / grant1,3601,360Form 4
2026-05-12BROWN THOMAS KdirectorAward / grant1,36017,687Form 4
2026-05-12Kereere SuzandirectorAward / grant1,3606,422Form 4
2026-05-01Banovetz John PatrickofficerOption exercise13,42055,925Form 4
2026-05-01Brown William MdirectorOption exercise8,57813,243Form 4
2026-05-01Banovetz John PatrickofficerWithheld for tax6,12049,805Form 4
2026-05-01Brown William MdirectorWithheld for tax3,9129,331Form 4
2026-05-01Reinseth Theresa EofficerOption exercise1,4414,039Form 4
2026-05-01Reinseth Theresa EofficerWithheld for tax5173,522Form 4
2026-05-01Reinseth Theresa EofficerOption exercise1,4411,442Form 4
2026-05-01Banovetz John PatrickofficerOption exercise13,4200Form 4
2026-05-01Brown William MdirectorOption exercise8,5788,579Form 4
2026-04-01Dickson Zoe LofficerOption exercise98421,982Form 4
2026-04-01Dickson Zoe LofficerWithheld for tax44921,533Form 4
2026-04-01Dickson Zoe LofficerOption exercise9840Form 4
2026-03-02Gallagher Paul JosephofficerAward / grant9,2919,291Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$15–50K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2026-05-192026-04-28$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-24$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Tina SmithSenatesale2026-04-022026-03-31$50–100K
Julia LetlowHousesale2026-03-122026-02-02$1–15K
Julia LetlowHousesale2026-03-122026-02-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.