MMLPMartin Midstream Partners L.P.Energy · Oil & Gas Midstreamas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.27 · now $2.27 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MMLP has typically landed between $1.82 and $2.73 — a range of −19.8% to +20.3% from the issuance price $2.27.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.27) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MMLP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.27 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.82worst · -19.8%$2.73best · +20.3%
  • now $2.27 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.27 (+0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.1–$2.44
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.82–$2.73
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−63.1%−63.1%+0.0%
2020-02-19−62.0%−62.0%+0.0%
2020-02-24−60.4%−61.7%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-27+247.4%−2.0%+247.4%
2020-03-30+197.1%−0.1%+254.0%
2020-03-26+150.0%−15.3%+150.0%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
85%
+7.3%
n=20
Feb
45%
−0.4%
n=20
Mar
60%
+1.7%
n=20
Apr
65%
+8.0%
n=20
May
25%
−2.1%
n=20
Jun
50%
−1.6%
n=20
Jul
50%
+6.8%
n=20
Aug
30%
−4.8%
n=20
Sep
45%
−3.4%
n=20
Oct
70%
+5.2%
n=20
Nov
30%
−5.7%
n=20
Dec
35%
−3.0%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$3$22025-12-12: 1 insider purchase, $18K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-12-11: 1 insider purchase, $14K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-12-08: 1 insider purchase, $32K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-12-04: 1 insider purchase, $6K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-12-01: 1 insider purchase, $6K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-11-25: 1 insider purchase, $39K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-11-17: 1 insider purchase, $5K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-11-10: 1 insider purchase, $32K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-11-07: 1 insider purchase, $32K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-11-06: 1 insider purchase, $9K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-10-21: 1 insider purchase, $30K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-10-20: 1 insider purchase, $52K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-10-17: 1 insider purchase, $281K — Martin Product Sales LLC2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $26K2025-10: 3 open-market purchases, $363K2025-11: 5 open-market purchases, $117K2025-12: 5 open-market purchases, $76K↑ buys↓ salestenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-12-12, filed same daytenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-12-08, filed same daytenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-12-04, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-11-25, filed same daytenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-11-10, filed same daytenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-10-21, filed same daytenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-10-20, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Martin Product Sales LLC — Purchase on 2025-10-17, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-12-12Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase7,012 @ $2.59$18K+0.3% of holding+4.2%−9.1%2,781,179Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-11Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase5,573 @ $2.55$14K+0.2% of holding+15.2%−6.7%2,774,167Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-08Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase12,228 @ $2.59$32K+0.4% of holding+7.4%−7.4%2,768,594Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-04Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase2,190 @ $2.60$6K+0.1% of holding+2.8%−6.7%2,756,366Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-01Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase2,239 @ $2.59$6K+0.1% of holding−0.2%−15.0%2,754,176Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-25Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase15,040 @ $2.59$39K+0.5% of holding−4.4%−21.7%2,751,937Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-17Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase1,945 @ $2.60$5K+0.1% of holding−11.6%−14.7%2,736,897Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase12,272 @ $2.58$32K+0.5% of holding+0.6%−6.9%2,734,952Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-07Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase12,237 @ $2.59$32K+0.5% of holding+1.3%−11.4%2,722,680Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-06Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase3,605 @ $2.59$9K+0.1% of holding+4.5%−14.7%2,710,443Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-21Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase11,500 @ $2.57$30K+0.4% of holding+2.1%−6.5%2,706,838Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-20Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase20,500 @ $2.55$52K+0.8% of holding+4.8%+3.3%2,695,338Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-17Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase106,100 @ $2.65$281K+4.1% of holding+4.2%+4.2%2,674,838Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-07Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase1,544 @ $3.04$5K+0.1% of holding+3.2%−18.6%2,568,738Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-04Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase7,107 @ $2.95$21K+0.3% of holding+10.7%−17.9%2,567,194Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase60,686 @ $3.12$189K+2.4% of holding−9.3%−30.9%2,560,087Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-10Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase605,633 @ $3.05$1.8M+32.0% of holding−5.7%−26.6%2,499,401Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-05Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase4,562 @ $3.00$14K+0.2% of holding−9.4%−33.3%1,893,768Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-03Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase300,877 @ $3.00$903K+18.9% of holding−4.9%−28.8%1,889,206Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-29Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase2,170 @ $3.00$7K+0.1% of holding−8.3%−30.0%1,588,329Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-23Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase4,564 @ $2.99$14K+0.3% of holding−3.5%−25.8%1,586,159Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-21Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase3,579 @ $2.97$11K+0.2% of holding+0.4%−28.6%1,581,595Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-20Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase25,301 @ $3.00$76K+1.6% of holding+3.8%−23.4%1,578,016Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-19Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase14,230 @ $3.00$43K+0.9% of holding+4.6%−24.7%1,552,715Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-19TAUSCHER RANDALLofficerPurchase23 @ $3.02$68+0.0% of holding+4.6%−24.7%118,258Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-16Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase6,902 @ $3.00$21K+0.5% of holding+2.8%−26.7%1,538,485Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-15Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase7,911 @ $3.00$24K+0.5% of holding+2.6%−26.1%1,531,583Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-14Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase15,687 @ $3.00$47K+1.0% of holding+5.1%−30.3%1,523,672Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-13Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase8,705 @ $3.00$26K+0.6% of holding+8.4%−31.0%1,507,985Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-07Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase3,430 @ $2.97$10K+0.2% of holding−4.1%−36.3%1,499,280Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-06Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase8,814 @ $2.98$26K+0.6% of holding−1.5%−35.9%1,495,850Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase14,356 @ $2.99$43K+1.0% of holding−4.4%−35.7%1,487,036Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-02Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase3,964 @ $2.85$11K+0.3% of holding−5.2%−32.8%1,472,680Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-01Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase6,749 @ $2.85$19K+0.5% of holding+0.9%−29.1%1,468,716Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-30Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase15,552 @ $2.81$44K+1.1% of holding−3.5%−29.2%1,461,967Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-29Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase78,965 @ $2.83$223K+5.8% of holding+0.6%−26.8%1,446,415Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-25Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase64,523 @ $2.98$192K+5.0% of holding−5.7%−34.0%1,367,450Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-24Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase7,396 @ $2.78$21K+0.6% of holding−2.8%−30.5%1,302,927Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-22Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase7,832 @ $2.66$21K+0.6% of holding+2.1%−32.2%1,295,531Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-21Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase8,714 @ $2.64$23K+0.7% of holding−4.1%−35.9%1,287,699Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-14Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase7,949 @ $3.62$29K+0.6% of holding−20.1%−35.2%1,278,985Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-11Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase11,789 @ $3.63$43K+0.9% of holding−23.7%−34.4%1,271,036Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-10Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase23,944 @ $3.60$86K+1.9% of holding−12.5%−28.3%1,259,247Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-07Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase7,604 @ $3.63$28K+0.6% of holding−7.6%−23.7%1,235,303Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-06Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase15,300 @ $3.64$56K+1.3% of holding−2.8%−26.9%1,227,699Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-05Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase15,383 @ $3.62$56K+1.3% of holding+2.7%−20.2%1,212,399Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase5,784 @ $3.65$21K+0.5% of holding−0.1%−19.7%1,197,016Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-28Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase6,013 @ $3.65$22K+0.5% of holding+1.6%−17.7%1,191,232Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-27Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase29,452 @ $3.69$109K+2.5% of holding+2.0%−20.6%1,185,219Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-26Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase7,341 @ $3.64$27K+0.6% of holding+3.0%−17.0%1,155,767Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-25Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase22,064 @ $3.62$80K+2.0% of holding+4.3%−15.0%1,148,426Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-24Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase10,124 @ $3.58$36K+0.9% of holding+7.3%−11.3%1,126,362Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-21Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase21,822 @ $3.58$78K+2.0% of holding+6.3%−11.8%1,116,238Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-20Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase3,428 @ $3.60$12K+0.3% of holding+9.5%−10.8%1,094,416Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-19Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase11,723 @ $3.58$42K+1.1% of holding+8.8%−10.2%1,090,988Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18Martin Product Sales LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase58,000 @ $3.51$204K+5.7% of holding+10.7%−11.5%1,079,265Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-18BONDURANT ROBERT DdirectorPurchase114 @ $3.53$403+0.1% of holding+10.7%−11.5%149,511Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-18Shoup Scot AofficerPurchase39 @ $3.53$139+0.1% of holding+10.7%−11.5%28,113Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-18MARTIN RUBEN SdirectorPurchase22 @ $3.53$78+0.0% of holding+10.7%−11.5%159,392Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-18Taylor Sharon LdirectorPurchase21 @ $3.53$75+0.1% of holding+10.7%−11.5%23,363Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

6 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-02-17KELLEY BYRON RdirectorAward / grant23,200175,266Form 4
2026-02-17MASSEY C SCOTTdirectorAward / grant23,200191,678Form 4
2026-02-17COLLINGSWORTH JAMES MdirectorAward / grant23,200172,666Form 4
2025-02-11COLLINGSWORTH JAMES MdirectorAward / grant18,000149,466Form 4
2025-02-11KELLEY BYRON RdirectorAward / grant18,000152,066Form 4
2025-02-11MASSEY C SCOTTdirectorAward / grant18,000168,478Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.