MMIMarcus & Millichap, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $31.14 · now $31.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MMI has typically landed between $27.01 and $35.44 — a range of −13.3% to +13.8% from the issuance price $31.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,204 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-10-31 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($31.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MMI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $31.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$27.01worst · -13.3%$35.44best · +13.8%
  • now $31.14 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.03 (-0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $29.15–$32.91
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $27.01–$35.44
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,204 windows spanning 2013-10-31 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−39.3%−39.3%+0.9%
2015-10-08−37.0%−37.0%+1.1%
2015-10-09−35.5%−36.5%+1.8%
3 best
2014-05-08+50.3%+0.0%+50.3%
2014-05-07+43.0%+0.0%+43.0%
2014-05-13+41.6%+0.0%+43.2%

3,204 overlapping windows · 2013-10-31 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
38%
−1.4%
n=13
Feb
46%
−0.5%
n=13
Mar
54%
−0.4%
n=13
Apr
38%
−2.2%
n=13
May
54%
+1.7%
n=13
Jun
62%
+4.0%
n=13
Jul
69%
+5.3%
n=13
Aug
54%
−0.1%
n=13
Sep
38%
−2.1%
n=13
Oct
50%
+2.3%
n=12
Nov
77%
+4.0%
n=13
Dec
54%
+2.1%
n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$33$252026-06-11: 1 insider sale, $15K — Nadji Hessam2026-03-13: 1 insider sale, $33K — Nadji Hessam2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $50K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $33K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $15K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Nadji Hessam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nadji Hessam — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-11Nadji HessamdirectorSale500 @ $30.39$15K−51.0% of holding−3.7%not yet — horizon still open480Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-13Nadji HessamdirectorSale1,300 @ $25.60$33K−73.0% of holding+1.2%not yet — horizon still open480Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-11MARTIN LAURALEEdirectorPurchase1,721 @ $29.34$50K+10.7% of holding+7.8%−15.4%17,748Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-11LaBerge Gregory A.officerSale2,915 @ $34.78$101K−55.8% of holding−7.9%−25.2%2,307Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04LaBerge Gregory A.officerSale828 @ $38.26$32K−13.7% of holding−8.0%−29.4%5,222Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

291 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Nadji HessamdirectorGift700314,018Form 4
2026-09-10Nadji HessamdirectorOption exercise30,000329,982Form 4
2026-09-10Nadji HessamdirectorWithheld for tax15,264314,718Form 4
2026-09-10Nadji HessamdirectorOption exercise30,00060,000Form 4
2026-08-14Nadji HessamdirectorGift945299,982Form 4
2026-08-10Parker John DavidofficerWithheld for tax1,43443,310Form 4
2026-08-10DeGennaro Steven F.officerWithheld for tax76142,709Form 4
2026-08-10DeGennaro Steven F.officerOption exercise1,5000Form 4
2026-08-10Parker John DavidofficerOption exercise2,8080Form 4
2026-08-10Parker John DavidofficerOption exercise2,80844,270Form 4
2026-08-10Parker John DavidofficerOption exercise2,80844,270Form 4
2026-08-10DeGennaro Steven F.officerOption exercise1,50042,590Form 4
2026-08-10DeGennaro Steven F.officerOption exercise1,50042,590Form 4
2026-06-10Nadji HessamdirectorGift4,500300,927Form 4
2026-06-10Nadji HessamdirectorGift500980Form 4
2026-05-08Parker John DavidofficerWithheld for tax1,02141,462Form 4
2026-05-08Parker John DavidofficerOption exercise2,0000Form 4
2026-05-08Parker John DavidofficerOption exercise2,00042,483Form 4
2026-05-08Parker John DavidofficerOption exercise2,00042,483Form 4
2026-05-04Parker John DavidofficerAward / grant20,00020,000Form 4
2026-05-04De Bosschere FabriceofficerAward / grant7,5007,500Form 4
2026-04-30Watters Don C.directorAward / grant2,69815,902Form 4
2026-04-30MARTIN LAURALEEdirectorAward / grant2,69820,426Form 4
2026-04-30English Dixon ColletedirectorAward / grant2,69812,422Form 4
2026-04-30MARCUS GEORGE MdirectorAward / grant2,69836,239Form 4
2026-04-30Lawrence Norma J.directorAward / grant2,6985,169Form 4
2026-04-30McClanahan Nicholas F.directorAward / grant2,6987,472Form 4
2026-04-30SHAHEEN GEORGE TdirectorAward / grant2,69827,439Form 4
2026-03-12Nadji HessamdirectorGift1,300305,427Form 4
2026-03-11Nadji HessamdirectorGift5,700306,727Form 4
2026-03-10Nadji HessamdirectorWithheld for tax9,326294,279Form 4
2026-03-10Nadji HessamdirectorWithheld for tax9,326303,353Form 4
2026-03-10Nadji HessamdirectorWithheld for tax9,326312,427Form 4
2026-03-10Nadji HessamdirectorWithheld for tax7,298279,526Form 4
2026-03-10Parker John DavidofficerWithheld for tax6,00237,699Form 4
2026-03-10Nadji HessamdirectorWithheld for tax5,836285,205Form 4
2026-03-10DeGennaro Steven F.officerWithheld for tax3,27839,497Form 4
2026-03-10Parker John DavidofficerWithheld for tax2,11040,483Form 4
2026-03-10LaBerge Gregory A.officerWithheld for tax1,9125,385Form 4
2026-03-10Parker John DavidofficerWithheld for tax1,56429,586Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.