Issued 2026-09-16 at $22.40 · now $22.40 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MMED has typically landed between $17.53 and $29.75 — a range of −21.8% to +32.8% from the issuance price $22.40.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
113 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-03-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($22.40) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MMED has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $22.4 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $22.4 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $25.14 (+12.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $21.06–$29.23
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $17.53–$29.75
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-03-06 | −28.6% | −28.6% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-15 | −27.2% | −27.2% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-14 | −26.5% | −26.6% | +0.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-14 | +37.6% | +0.0% | +37.6% |
| 2026-05-15 | +36.1% | +0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2026-05-19 | +35.6% | −0.8% | +42.1% |
113 overlapping windows · 2026-03-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
90 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Dallara Que | director | Withheld for tax | 31,350 | 884,749 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Dianaty Ali | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,012 | 315,158 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Wills Courtney Nelson | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,762 | 136,384 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Spooner Chad | officer | Withheld for tax | 23,301 | 362,707 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Chandrasena Gillian | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,099 | 172,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Chandrasena Gillian | officer | Award / grant | 29,483 | 160,139 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Chandrasena Gillian | officer | Award / grant | 14,705 | 174,844 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Dallara Que | director | Award / grant | 297,618 | 916,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Dianaty Ali | officer | Award / grant | 94,550 | 286,408 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Dianaty Ali | officer | Award / grant | 36,762 | 323,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Gyurci John | officer | Award / grant | 24,244 | 39,941 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Wills Courtney Nelson | officer | Award / grant | 60,730 | 116,089 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Wills Courtney Nelson | officer | Award / grant | 22,057 | 138,146 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Spooner Chad | officer | Award / grant | 94,550 | 363,951 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Spooner Chad | officer | Award / grant | 22,057 | 386,008 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Dallara Que | director | Withheld for tax | 4,809 | 616,754 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Chandrasena Gillian | officer | Award / grant | 11,486 | 11,486 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Gyurci John | officer | Award / grant | 15,322 | 15,322 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dallara Que | director | Award / grant | 51,044 | 51,044 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dallara Que | director | Award / grant | 22,892 | 22,892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dianaty Ali | officer | Award / grant | 11,054 | 11,054 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dianaty Ali | officer | Award / grant | 46,989 | 46,989 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dianaty Ali | officer | Award / grant | 35,448 | 35,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dianaty Ali | officer | Award / grant | 14,628 | 14,628 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dianaty Ali | officer | Award / grant | 33,684 | 33,684 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dianaty Ali | officer | Award / grant | 35,448 | 35,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dianaty Ali | officer | Award / grant | 11,563 | 11,563 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dianaty Ali | officer | Award / grant | 2,444 | 2,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Wills Courtney Nelson | officer | Award / grant | 18,082 | 18,082 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Wills Courtney Nelson | officer | Award / grant | 955 | 955 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Wills Courtney Nelson | officer | Award / grant | 5,151 | 5,151 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dallara Que | director | Award / grant | 281,937 | 281,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dallara Que | director | Award / grant | 127,609 | 127,609 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dallara Que | director | Award / grant | 57,239 | 57,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dallara Que | director | Award / grant | 80,842 | 80,842 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dallara Que | director | Award / grant | 51,044 | 51,044 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Dallara Que | director | Award / grant | 22,892 | 22,892 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Chandrasena Gillian | officer | Award / grant | 11,486 | 11,486 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Chandrasena Gillian | officer | Award / grant | 19,852 | 19,852 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Chandrasena Gillian | officer | Award / grant | 28,116 | 28,116 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.