MLRMiller Industries, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $54.49 · now $54.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MLR has typically landed between $48.46 and $62.23 — a range of −11.1% to +14.2% from the issuance price $54.49.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($54.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MLR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $54.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$48.46worst · -11.1%$62.23best · +14.2%
  • now $54.49 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $55.16 (+1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $52.26–$58.07
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $48.46–$62.23
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-11−40.0%−40.0%+1.8%
2008-09-19−36.3%−41.0%+0.0%
2008-09-23−36.2%−38.1%+0.0%
3 best
2008-10-24+36.2%+0.0%+36.2%
2009-03-06+35.5%+0.0%+35.5%
2009-03-11+32.6%+0.0%+32.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+0.8%
n=20
Feb
45%
−0.1%
n=20
Mar
65%
+2.6%
n=20
Apr
40%
+1.9%
n=20
May
55%
+1.0%
n=20
Jun
45%
+0.6%
n=20
Jul
50%
−0.4%
n=20
Aug
50%
+1.9%
n=20
Sep
40%
−1.3%
n=20
Oct
50%
+2.1%
n=20
Nov
60%
+2.2%
n=20
Dec
55%
+1.2%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$58$35↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

186 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-26Jackson Peter LeedirectorAward / grant2,5782,578Form 4
2026-05-26Walton LeighdirectorAward / grant2,5782,578Form 4
2026-05-26Sweeney Susan EdirectorAward / grant2,5781,804Form 4
2026-05-26Reyes Javier AdirectorAward / grant2,5782,578Form 4
2026-05-26Ashford Theodore H. IIIdirectorAward / grant2,5782,578Form 4
2026-05-21Ashford Theodore H. IIIdirectorOption exercise1,8040Form 4
2026-05-21Sweeney Susan EdirectorOption exercise1,8040Form 4
2026-05-21Walton LeighdirectorOption exercise1,8040Form 4
2026-05-21Jackson Peter LeedirectorOption exercise1,8040Form 4
2026-05-21Reyes Javier AdirectorOption exercise1,8040Form 4
2026-05-21Walton LeighdirectorOption exercise1,80410,474Form 4
2026-05-21Jackson Peter LeedirectorOption exercise1,8045,988Form 4
2026-05-21Ashford Theodore H. IIIdirectorOption exercise1,80419,399Form 4
2026-05-21Sweeney Susan EdirectorOption exercise1,8045,988Form 4
2026-05-21Walton LeighdirectorOption exercise1,80410,474Form 4
2026-05-21Ashford Theodore H. IIIdirectorOption exercise1,80419,399Form 4
2026-05-21Reyes Javier AdirectorOption exercise1,8045,988Form 4
2026-05-21Sweeney Susan EdirectorOption exercise1,8045,988Form 4
2026-05-21Jackson Peter LeedirectorOption exercise1,8045,988Form 4
2026-05-21Reyes Javier AdirectorOption exercise1,8045,988Form 4
2026-03-15Miller William G. IIdirectorWithheld for tax7,33172,715Form 4
2026-03-15WHITMIRE DEBORAH LofficerWithheld for tax2,02229,956Form 4
2026-03-15Reyneke Josias W.officerWithheld for tax77813,032Form 4
2026-03-15Tiano Vincent J.officerWithheld for tax77813,032Form 4
2026-03-15BADGLEY JEFFREY IofficerWithheld for tax77825,192Form 4
2026-03-15MADONIA FRANKofficerWithheld for tax77813,032Form 4
2026-03-15WHITMIRE DEBORAH LofficerAward / grant10,34110,341Form 4
2026-03-15Miller William G. IIdirectorOption exercise19,06738,133Form 4
2026-03-15Miller William G. IIdirectorAward / grant29,73229,732Form 4
2026-03-15WHITMIRE DEBORAH LofficerOption exercise5,80311,606Form 4
2026-03-15Tiano Vincent J.officerAward / grant6,1406,140Form 4
2026-03-15Reyneke Josias W.officerOption exercise3,3166,632Form 4
2026-03-15Reyneke Josias W.officerAward / grant6,1406,140Form 4
2026-03-15BADGLEY JEFFREY IofficerOption exercise3,3166,632Form 4
2026-03-15Tiano Vincent J.officerOption exercise3,3166,632Form 4
2026-03-15BADGLEY JEFFREY IofficerAward / grant6,1406,140Form 4
2026-03-15MADONIA FRANKofficerOption exercise3,3166,632Form 4
2026-03-15MADONIA FRANKofficerAward / grant6,1406,140Form 4
2026-03-15BADGLEY JEFFREY IofficerOption exercise3,31625,970Form 4
2026-03-15MADONIA FRANKofficerOption exercise3,31613,810Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.