Issued 2026-09-16 at $125.29 · now $125.29 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MLAB has typically landed between $100.19 and $152.04 — a range of −20.0% to +21.4% from the issuance price $125.29.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($125.29) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MLAB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $125.29 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $125.29 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $123.28 (-1.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $112.16–$134.4
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $100.19–$152.04
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-07-07 | −38.2% | −38.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-07-08 | −32.6% | −37.6% | +0.0% |
| 2023-09-01 | −31.0% | −31.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-10-21 | +55.3% | +0.0% | +59.3% |
| 2022-10-20 | +49.2% | −0.9% | +57.9% |
| 2022-10-19 | +47.3% | −4.8% | +51.7% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Kadia Siddhartha | officer | Purchase | 7,093 @ $112.80 | $800K | ownership Δ n/a | +9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,093 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Sullivan John James | director | Sale | 7,093 @ $112.80 | $800K | −28.5% of holding | +9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,834 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Tripeny R Tony | director | Purchase | 900 @ $113.69 | $102K | +16.7% of holding | +9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,298 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Sakys John | officer | Sale | 2,827 @ $89.50 | $253K | −12.5% of holding | +5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,785 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Archbold Brian David | officer | Sale | 2,516 @ $89.50 | $225K | −28.3% of holding | +5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,377 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Crennen Lyndsey Elizabeth | officer | Sale | 442 @ $89.50 | $40K | −18.0% of holding | +5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,020 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Sakys John | officer | Sale | 1,223 @ $101.27 | $124K | −6.9% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,538 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Archbold Brian David | officer | Sale | 1,151 @ $101.27 | $117K | −23.7% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,710 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Crennen Lyndsey Elizabeth | officer | Sale | 118 @ $101.27 | $12K | −7.4% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,473 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Ladiwala Shiraz Shabanali | director | Purchase | 3,500 @ $72.23 | $253K | +69.7% of holding | +26.1% | +56.3% | 8,523 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-10 | Tripeny R Tony | director | Purchase | 1,315 @ $76.00 | $100K | +32.2% of holding | +26.1% | +56.3% | 5,398 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-10 | Capone Mark Christopher | director | Purchase | 1,301 @ $76.35 | $99K | +61.1% of holding | +26.1% | +56.3% | 3,429 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-16 | Owens Gary M | officer | Sale | 1,939 @ $97.12 | $188K | −4.1% of holding | −26.3% | −32.2% | 45,824 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Sakys John | officer | Sale | 642 @ $97.12 | $62K | −4.8% of holding | −26.3% | −32.2% | 12,865 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Archbold Brian David | officer | Sale | 472 @ $97.12 | $46K | −45.8% of holding | −26.3% | −32.2% | 558 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-19 | Owens Gary M | officer | Sale | 21,000 @ $123.91 | $2.6M | −32.6% of holding | −2.9% | −61.6% | 43,337 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
100 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Tripeny R Tony | director | Award / grant | 1,774 | 1,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Capone Mark Christopher | director | Award / grant | 2,423 | 2,423 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Hall Shannon | director | Award / grant | 1,774 | 1,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Sullivan John James | director | Award / grant | 1,774 | 1,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Ladiwala Shiraz Shabanali | director | Award / grant | 2,510 | 2,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ladiwala Shiraz Shabanali | director | Option exercise | 3,810 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ladiwala Shiraz Shabanali | director | Option exercise | 3,810 | 12,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Hall Shannon | director | Option exercise | 2,784 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Hall Shannon | director | Option exercise | 2,784 | 6,973 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tripeny R Tony | director | Option exercise | 2,784 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tripeny R Tony | director | Option exercise | 2,784 | 9,082 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Sullivan John James | director | Option exercise | 2,784 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Sullivan John James | director | Option exercise | 2,784 | 20,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Alltoft Jennifer Sadie | director | Option exercise | 2,784 | 7,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Alltoft Jennifer Sadie | director | Option exercise | 2,784 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Capone Mark Christopher | director | Option exercise | 2,784 | 6,213 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Capone Mark Christopher | director | Option exercise | 2,784 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Sakys John | officer | Option exercise | 2,756 | 20,330 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Archbold Brian David | officer | Option exercise | 2,480 | 7,034 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Sakys John | officer | Award / grant | 2,282 | 22,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Archbold Brian David | officer | Award / grant | 1,859 | 8,893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Sakys John | officer | Option exercise | 1,036 | 17,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Archbold Brian David | officer | Option exercise | 844 | 4,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Crennen Lyndsey Elizabeth | officer | Option exercise | 368 | 2,199 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Crennen Lyndsey Elizabeth | officer | Award / grant | 263 | 2,462 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Crennen Lyndsey Elizabeth | officer | Option exercise | 233 | 1,831 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Crennen Lyndsey Elizabeth | officer | Option exercise | 125 | 1,598 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Crennen Lyndsey Elizabeth | officer | Option exercise | 125 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Crennen Lyndsey Elizabeth | officer | Option exercise | 368 | 367 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Sakys John | officer | Option exercise | 2,756 | 2,755 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Sakys John | officer | Option exercise | 1,036 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Archbold Brian David | officer | Option exercise | 844 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Archbold Brian David | officer | Option exercise | 2,480 | 2,480 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Crennen Lyndsey Elizabeth | officer | Option exercise | 233 | 232 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Sakys John | officer | Option exercise | 2,717 | 17,761 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Archbold Brian David | officer | Option exercise | 2,454 | 4,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Archbold Brian David | officer | Code E | 1,780 | 11,852 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Sakys John | officer | Award / grant | 8,416 | 8,416 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Sakys John | officer | Option exercise | 2,717 | 5,416 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Sakys John | officer | Code E | 3,951 | 15,755 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.