Issued 2026-09-16 at $15.84 · now $15.84 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MIR has typically landed between $13.05 and $19.17 — a range of −17.6% to +21.1% from the issuance price $15.84.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,492 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-08-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($15.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MIR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $15.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $15.84 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $15.85 (+0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.67–$17.04
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $13.05–$19.17
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-05-27 | −29.4% | −29.4% | +0.0% |
| 2022-05-31 | −28.0% | −28.0% | +0.2% |
| 2021-12-28 | −27.9% | −27.9% | +0.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-09-17 | +49.2% | +0.0% | +49.2% |
| 2024-09-18 | +45.6% | +0.0% | +48.9% |
| 2024-09-19 | +43.8% | +0.0% | +45.9% |
1,492 overlapping windows · 2020-08-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Purchase | 20,000 @ $15.60 | $312K | +2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 933,290 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-07 | Moore Christopher A. | officer | Sale | 8,400 @ $19.64 | $165K | −27.5% of holding | −13.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,157 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Sale | 350,000 @ $24.73 | $8.7M | −9.1% of holding | +3.9% | −42.8% | 3,509,075 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Sale | 300,000 @ $23.83 | $7.1M | −7.1% of holding | −4.4% | −43.3% | 3,900,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-11 | Eloy Loic | officer | Sale | 45,000 @ $27.24 | $1.2M | −31.5% of holding | −2.9% | −39.6% | 97,770 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Lee Emmanuelle | officer | Sale | 12,500 @ $27.41 | $343K | −12.9% of holding | −8.0% | −40.9% | 84,640 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Sale | 50,000 @ $27.66 | $1.4M | −5.2% of holding | −10.2% | −43.9% | 904,432 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Sale | 50,000 @ $27.65 | $1.4M | −5.0% of holding | −10.2% | −43.9% | 954,432 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Logan Thomas D | director | Sale | 175,000 @ $21.79 | $3.8M | −4.7% of holding | −3.4% | −13.8% | 3,567,305 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | Logan Thomas D | director | Sale | 325,000 @ $21.31 | $6.9M | −8.0% of holding | −2.4% | +0.5% | 3,742,305 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Eloy Loic | officer | Sale | 22,166 @ $21.30 | $472K | −13.4% of holding | −5.7% | +2.0% | 142,770 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-25 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Sale | 75,000 @ $21.00 | $1.6M | −7.5% of holding | −2.9% | −2.9% | 919,432 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Sale | 350,000 @ $17.95 | $6.3M | −100.0% of holding | +9.5% | +18.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Sale | 150,000 @ $17.94 | $2.7M | −100.0% of holding | +9.5% | +18.9% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Sale | 75,000 @ $18.27 | $1.4M | −7.5% of holding | +9.5% | +18.9% | 919,432 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | Eloy Loic | officer | Sale | 44,000 @ $17.89 | $787K | −24.8% of holding | −8.1% | +8.9% | 133,663 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
103 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Award / grant | 1,095 | 72,525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Markopoulos Jody | director | Award / grant | 7,383 | 81,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Rege Sheila | director | Award / grant | 7,383 | 49,877 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Etzel Steven W. | director | Award / grant | 7,383 | 87,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | CASCELLA ROBERT | director | Award / grant | 7,383 | 60,801 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Bockhorst Kenneth | director | Award / grant | 7,383 | 77,258 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | KUO JOHN W | director | Award / grant | 7,383 | 80,119 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Award / grant | 7,383 | 71,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Logan Thomas D | director | Gift | 311,851 | 52,209 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Logan Thomas D | director | Withheld for tax | 22,614 | 364,060 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,377 | 913,290 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Lee Emmanuelle | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,680 | 82,431 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Ulrich Alison | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,053 | 36,235 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Moore Christopher A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,903 | 30,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Award / grant | 1,104 | 64,047 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Logan Thomas D | director | Withheld for tax | 127,184 | 3,480,486 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Withheld for tax | 28,499 | 920,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Logan Thomas D | director | Gift | 3,093,812 | 386,674 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Logan Thomas D | director | Award / grant | 318,632 | 3,607,670 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Eloy Loic | officer | Award / grant | 15,577 | 113,347 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Award / grant | 64,906 | 949,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Logan Thomas D | director | Withheld for tax | 20,650 | 3,289,038 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,172 | 884,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Lee Emmanuelle | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,184 | 87,111 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ulrich Alison | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,360 | 38,288 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Moore Christopher A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,397 | 32,460 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Moore Christopher A. | officer | Award / grant | 5,552 | 33,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Lee Emmanuelle | officer | Award / grant | 11,568 | 90,295 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ulrich Alison | officer | Award / grant | 5,552 | 40,648 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Award / grant | 806 | 62,943 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-27 | Logan Thomas D | director | Withheld for tax | 39,863 | 3,309,688 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-27 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,500 | 893,432 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-27 | Lee Emmanuelle | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,913 | 78,727 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-27 | Ulrich Alison | officer | Withheld for tax | 134 | 35,096 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | KUO JOHN W | director | Gift | 4,860 | 72,736 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Gift | 100 | 901,932 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Bockhorst Kenneth | director | Gift | 9,680 | 69,875 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-05 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Gift | 2,400 | 902,032 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-24 | Kingsley Lawrence D | director | Gift | 40,925 | 3,859,075 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Schopfer Brian | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 1,004,432 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-19 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-10-03 | 2025-09-24 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-07-09 | 2025-06-27 | $50–100K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.