Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.25 · now $7.25 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MHH has typically landed between $5.98 and $8.51 — a range of −17.6% to +17.4% from the issuance price $7.25.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,502 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-09-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.25) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MHH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.25 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.25 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.13 (-1.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.69–$7.58
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.98–$8.51
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-23 | −81.4% | −83.5% | +13.9% |
| 2008-09-24 | −81.3% | −82.6% | +20.2% |
| 2008-09-25 | −80.9% | −81.7% | +26.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-12-04 | +128.6% | +0.0% | +128.6% |
| 2008-10-10 | +113.6% | +0.0% | +140.9% |
| 2008-12-05 | +113.3% | +0.0% | +128.6% |
4,502 overlapping windows · 2008-09-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~18 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,000 @ $7.47 | $37K | +10.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 55,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000 @ $7.04 | $7K | +2.0% of holding | −3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-15 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,000 @ $6.84 | $21K | +6.5% of holding | −3.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-10 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,000 @ $6.19 | $12K | +4.5% of holding | +6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-09 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 4,000 @ $6.05 | $24K | +10.0% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 44,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,242 @ $6.24 | $8K | +3.2% of holding | −3.2% | +7.7% | 40,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,800 @ $5.94 | $23K | +10.9% of holding | +5.5% | +11.5% | 38,758 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-30 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 400 @ $7.08 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | −8.0% | +4.5% | 1,345,058 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-29 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 4,480 @ $6.96 | $31K | +0.3% of holding | −9.4% | +3.8% | 1,344,658 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,315 @ $7.47 | $10K | +0.1% of holding | −5.5% | +0.5% | 1,340,178 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-09 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,758 @ $7.11 | $20K | +0.2% of holding | −7.9% | −2.5% | 1,338,863 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-19 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 4,537 @ $7.76 | $35K | +0.3% of holding | −16.4% | −18.7% | 1,336,105 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,500 @ $8.00 | $28K | +0.3% of holding | −9.4% | −28.6% | 1,331,568 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 4,800 @ $7.78 | $37K | +0.4% of holding | +1.6% | −18.9% | 1,328,068 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-16 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $7.94 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | −4.8% | −18.5% | 1,323,268 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-16 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 300 @ $7.92 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −4.8% | −18.5% | 1,322,768 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-15 | SHAW STEVEN A | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,068 @ $7.90 | $24K | +0.2% of holding | −5.3% | −18.0% | 1,322,468 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
7 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Sugantharaman Kannan | officer | Award / grant | 20,000 | 170,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-14 | Sugantharaman Kannan | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-30 | NAYAR ARUN | director | Award / grant | 5,535 | 9,041 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-30 | Smith Bonnie K. | director | Award / grant | 5,535 | 9,041 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-30 | Kandula Srinivas | director | Award / grant | 5,535 | 9,041 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-30 | Rak Vladimir | director | Award / grant | 5,535 | 20,594 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Patel Nirav | director | Award / grant | 702,358 | 702,358 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.