Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.32 · now $13.32 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MH has typically landed between $10.40 and $16.85 — a range of −21.9% to +26.5% from the issuance price $13.32.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
268 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-07-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.32) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.32 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $13.32 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $12.73 (-4.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.31–$14.15
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.4–$16.85
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-05-20 | −25.3% | −25.3% | +5.6% |
| 2026-05-26 | −25.1% | −25.1% | +6.1% |
| 2026-01-05 | −24.5% | −24.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-10-30 | +59.2% | +0.0% | +65.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | +58.4% | +0.0% | +65.0% |
| 2025-10-29 | +56.7% | −2.9% | +60.6% |
268 overlapping windows · 2025-07-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Moyer Philip D | director | Purchase | 22,421 @ $11.12 | $249K | +4.5% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 516,768 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | REINEMUND STEVEN | director | Purchase | 58,000 @ $13.70 | $795K | +369.2% of holding | +1.1% | −18.2% | 73,710 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | REINEMUND STEVEN | director | Purchase | 15,710 @ $15.03 | $236K | ownership Δ n/a | +7.5% | −34.5% | 15,710 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-25 | Sigler Mary Ann | director | Purchase | 7,500 @ $17.00 | $128K | ownership Δ n/a | −14.8% | −20.7% | 7,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-25 | Tiska Tracey | officer | Purchase | 4,000 @ $17.00 | $68K | ownership Δ n/a | −14.8% | −20.7% | 4,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-25 | Sallmann Robert | officer | Purchase | 3,000 @ $17.00 | $51K | ownership Δ n/a | −14.8% | −20.7% | 3,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-25 | Cortese David | officer | Purchase | 2,500 @ $17.00 | $43K | ownership Δ n/a | −14.8% | −20.7% | 2,500 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
17 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Allen Simon Jonathan | director | Award / grant | 16,086 | 16,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Alvaro Felicia | director | Award / grant | 16,086 | 26,968 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Subramanian Guhan | director | Award / grant | 16,086 | 26,968 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | REINEMUND STEVEN | director | Award / grant | 16,086 | 26,968 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Van Dam Brian Keith | officer | Award / grant | 8,473 | 8,473 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Cortese David | officer | Award / grant | 42,105 | 44,605 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Stafford David B | officer | Award / grant | 36,842 | 100,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tiska Tracey | officer | Award / grant | 36,842 | 40,842 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sallmann Robert | officer | Award / grant | 86,842 | 89,842 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Moyer Philip D | director | Award / grant | 108,381 | 385,966 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Moyer Philip D | director | Award / grant | 108,381 | 494,347 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Moyer Philip D | director | Award / grant | 277,585 | 277,585 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-23 | Subramanian Guhan | director | Award / grant | 10,882 | 10,882 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-23 | Tiska Tracey | officer | Award / grant | 22,217 | 22,217 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-23 | Alvaro Felicia | director | Award / grant | 10,882 | 10,882 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-23 | REINEMUND STEVEN | director | Award / grant | 10,882 | 10,882 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-23 | Stafford David B | officer | Award / grant | 31,061 | 31,061 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.