MGRCMcGrath RentCorpIndustrials · Rental & Leasing Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $111.22 · now $111.22 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MGRC has typically landed between $100.75 and $124.68 — a range of −9.4% to +12.1% from the issuance price $111.22.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($111.22) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MGRC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $111.22 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$100.75worst · -9.4%$124.68best · +12.1%
  • now $111.22 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $112.21 (+0.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $107.19–$117.23
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $100.75–$124.68
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-05−48.1%−48.1%+3.7%
2020-02-18−42.6%−42.6%+0.7%
2020-02-11−42.5%−42.5%+1.4%
3 best
2009-04-08+43.4%−2.5%+43.4%
2009-03-09+41.4%+0.0%+62.1%
2008-12-01+39.3%+0.0%+39.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−0.1%
n=20
Feb
45%
+0.4%
n=20
Mar
60%
−0.2%
n=20
Apr
60%
+2.3%
n=20
May
50%
+0.1%
n=20
Jun
60%
+1.8%
n=20
Jul
65%
+1.4%
n=20
Aug
45%
−0.3%
n=20
Sep
50%
+1.7%
n=20
Oct
70%
+2.3%
n=20
Nov
70%
+2.8%
n=20
Dec
65%
+2.0%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$124$942026-08-18: 1 insider sale, $162K — Wescott Tara2026-08-11: 3 insider sales, $777K — Hawkins Philip B, Skenesky John P …2026-07-01: 3 insider sales, $905K — HANNA JOSEPH F …2026-06-26: 1 insider sale, $63K — Lieffrig John2026-06-25: 1 insider sale, $250K — Lieffrig John2026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $160K — Malek Gilda2026-06-10: 2 insider sales, $860K — Whitney David M, VAN TREASE KRISTINA2026-05-15: 2 insider sales, $124K — VAN TREASE KRISTINA, Whitney David M2026-05-05: 1 insider sale, $59K — HANNA JOSEPH F2026-05-04: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — HANNA JOSEPH F …2025-12-15: 1 insider sale, $89K — Malek Gilda2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $178K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $89K2026-05: 5 open-market sales, $1.2M2026-06: 5 open-market sales, $1.3M2026-07: 3 open-market sales, $905K2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $939K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Wescott Tara — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hawkins Philip B — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Skenesky John P — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hawkins Philip B — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HANNA JOSEPH F — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HANNA JOSEPH F — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HANNA JOSEPH F — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lieffrig John — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Lieffrig John — Sale on 2026-06-25, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Malek Gilda — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Whitney David M — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer VAN TREASE KRISTINA — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer VAN TREASE KRISTINA — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Whitney David M — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HANNA JOSEPH F — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed same daydirector HANNA JOSEPH F — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HANNA JOSEPH F — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Malek Gilda — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-18Wescott TaraofficerSale1,325 @ $122.00$162K−14.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open7,831Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-11Hawkins Philip BofficerSale4,430 @ $120.91$536K−24.9% of holding−7.5%not yet — horizon still open13,376Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-11Skenesky John PofficerSale2,000 @ $120.41$241K−15.8% of holding−7.5%not yet — horizon still open10,634Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-11Hawkins Philip BofficerSale5 @ $124.00$620−0.0% of holding−7.5%not yet — horizon still open13,371Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-01HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale4,803 @ $120.51$579K−3.0% of holding−3.7%not yet — horizon still open153,786Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale2,237 @ $121.23$271K−1.5% of holding−3.7%not yet — horizon still open151,549Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale460 @ $119.21$55K−0.3% of holding−3.7%not yet — horizon still open158,589Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-26Lieffrig JohnofficerSale500 @ $125.00$63K−2.1% of holding−3.9%not yet — horizon still open23,551Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-25Lieffrig JohnofficerSale2,000 @ $125.00$250K−7.7% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open24,051Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-15Malek GildaofficerSale1,407 @ $114.04$160K−14.9% of holding+6.3%not yet — horizon still open8,018Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-10Whitney David MofficerSale3,783 @ $113.65$430K−36.7% of holding+0.2%not yet — horizon still open6,533Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-10VAN TREASE KRISTINAofficerSale3,783 @ $113.65$430K−36.7% of holding+0.2%not yet — horizon still open6,533Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-15VAN TREASE KRISTINAofficerSale539 @ $115.00$62K−5.0% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open10,316Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15Whitney David MofficerSale539 @ $115.00$62K−5.0% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open10,316Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-05HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale530 @ $112.00$59K−0.3% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open159,049Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-04HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale9,070 @ $112.46$1.0M−5.4% of holding−9.1%not yet — horizon still open159,979Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale400 @ $113.19$45K−0.3% of holding−9.1%not yet — horizon still open159,579Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-15Malek GildaofficerSale829 @ $107.29$89K−16.9% of holding+1.1%−3.1%4,068Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06Box Kimberly AnndirectorSale1,500 @ $118.50$178K−17.6% of holding+3.8%−5.4%7,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-30PRATT KEITH EofficerSale3,000 @ $127.17$382K−5.5% of holding−3.6%−21.6%51,767Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-29PRATT KEITH EofficerSale6,603 @ $125.61$829K−10.7% of holding−3.9%−17.4%55,164Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale6,317 @ $125.67$794K−3.8% of holding−3.9%−17.4%161,897Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale5,685 @ $126.90$721K−3.5% of holding−3.9%−17.4%156,212Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale2,575 @ $127.91$329K−1.6% of holding−3.9%−17.4%153,637Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29PRATT KEITH EofficerSale397 @ $126.23$50K−0.7% of holding−3.9%−17.4%54,767Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-06Whitney David MofficerSale1,860 @ $114.05$212K−20.9% of holding+0.4%−24.1%7,055Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-06VAN TREASE KRISTINAofficerSale1,860 @ $114.05$212K−20.9% of holding+0.4%−24.1%7,055Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-06Whitney David MofficerSale361 @ $115.02$42K−5.1% of holding+0.4%−24.1%6,694Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-06VAN TREASE KRISTINAofficerSale361 @ $115.02$42K−5.1% of holding+0.4%−24.1%6,694Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-04VAN TREASE KRISTINAofficerSale500 @ $116.01$58K−5.3% of holding−0.1%−23.1%8,915Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-04Whitney David MofficerSale500 @ $116.01$58K−5.3% of holding−0.1%−23.1%8,915Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-19PRATT KEITH EofficerSale5,000 @ $115.22$576K−7.5% of holding−1.8%−27.7%61,767Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-08Skenesky John PofficerSale2,500 @ $111.32$278K−22.3% of holding−2.4%−23.9%8,692Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-02HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale8,601 @ $108.79$936K−4.9% of holding+0.9%−22.2%168,296Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-02HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale82 @ $109.82$9K−0.0% of holding+0.9%−22.2%168,214Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-01HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorSale5,567 @ $108.89$606K−3.1% of holding+0.4%−19.8%176,897Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-28Hawkins Philip BofficerSale4,486 @ $103.54$464K−56.4% of holding+0.2%−16.6%3,468Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-28Hawkins Philip BofficerSale318 @ $103.90$33K−9.2% of holding+0.2%−16.6%3,150Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-27Box Kimberly AnndirectorSale1,000 @ $124.69$125K−11.8% of holding−3.7%−10.3%7,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-09Malek GildaofficerSale919 @ $121.78$112K−100.0% of holding−4.5%−4.3%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

240 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12Skenesky John PofficerOther acquisition6,0770Form 4
2026-05-05HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorOther acquisition4000Form 4
2026-03-31Malek GildaofficerWithheld for tax7009,425Form 4
2026-03-31Malek GildaofficerOption exercise1,4310Form 4
2026-03-31Malek GildaofficerOption exercise1,43110,125Form 4
2026-03-31VAN TREASE KRISTINAofficerAward / grant2,2657,236Form 4
2026-03-31Whitney David MofficerAward / grant2,2657,236Form 4
2026-03-12VAN TREASE KRISTINAofficerOther acquisition5,9667,334Form 4
2026-03-12Whitney David MofficerOther acquisition5,9667,334Form 4
2026-02-27Anderson Nicolas CdirectorAward / grant1,3004,800Form 4
2026-02-27Whitney David MofficerAward / grant1,1704,971Form 4
2026-02-27PRATT KEITH EofficerAward / grant6,08060,522Form 4
2026-02-27DAWSON WILLIAM JdirectorAward / grant1,3007,300Form 4
2026-02-27Lieffrig JohnofficerAward / grant1,53026,051Form 4
2026-02-27Malek GildaofficerAward / grant4,5108,694Form 4
2026-02-27SHUSTER BRADLEY MdirectorAward / grant1,30015,000Form 4
2026-02-27Box Kimberly AnndirectorAward / grant1,3008,300Form 4
2026-02-27Wescott TaraofficerAward / grant1,8009,156Form 4
2026-02-27VAN TREASE KRISTINAofficerAward / grant1,1704,971Form 4
2026-02-27Conjeevaram SmitadirectorAward / grant1,3007,800Form 4
2026-02-27Hawkins Philip BofficerAward / grant11,27017,806Form 4
2026-02-27Whitney David MofficerAward / grant2,70010,855Form 4
2026-02-27VAN TREASE KRISTINAofficerAward / grant2,70010,855Form 4
2026-02-27Skenesky John PofficerAward / grant1,40012,634Form 4
2026-02-27HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorAward / grant1,300169,049Form 4
2026-02-24HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorWithheld for tax15,939167,749Form 4
2026-02-24PRATT KEITH EofficerWithheld for tax3,85954,442Form 4
2026-02-24Whitney David MofficerWithheld for tax1,5828,155Form 4
2026-02-24VAN TREASE KRISTINAofficerWithheld for tax1,5828,155Form 4
2026-02-24Wescott TaraofficerWithheld for tax1,4827,356Form 4
2026-02-24VAN TREASE KRISTINAofficerWithheld for tax1,1093,801Form 4
2026-02-24Whitney David MofficerWithheld for tax1,1093,801Form 4
2026-02-24Hawkins Philip BofficerWithheld for tax1,0386,536Form 4
2026-02-24Lieffrig JohnofficerWithheld for tax70624,521Form 4
2026-02-24Skenesky John PofficerWithheld for tax67711,234Form 4
2026-02-24Lieffrig JohnofficerOption exercise4170Form 4
2026-02-24Lieffrig JohnofficerOption exercise41723,237Form 4
2026-02-24Whitney David MofficerOption exercise1,0600Form 4
2026-02-24Whitney David MofficerOption exercise5110Form 4
2026-02-24Whitney David MofficerOption exercise1,5300Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.