METAMeta Platforms, Inc.Communication Services · Internet Content & Informationas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $751.66 · now $751.66 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, META has typically landed between $621.67 and $896.28 — a range of −17.3% to +19.2% from the issuance price $751.66.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,588 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-05-18 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($751.66) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where META has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $751.66 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$621.67worst · -17.3%$896.28best · +19.2%
  • now $751.66 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $767.04 (+2.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $713.33–$820.75
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $621.67–$896.28
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,588 windows spanning 2012-05-18 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-02-02−38.1%−38.6%+0.0%
2022-02-01−36.4%−37.8%+1.3%
2022-10-05−36.0%−36.0%+0.1%
3 best
2013-07-05+60.8%+0.0%+60.8%
2013-07-08+56.0%+0.0%+58.6%
2013-07-03+55.2%−0.6%+55.2%

3,588 overlapping windows · 2012-05-18 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$1.5T
market cap
$27.50
EPS (TTM)
21.6
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$201.0B
'20'25
Net income$60.5B
'20'25
Free cash flow$46.1B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr30.1%
'20'25
ROE · by yr27.8%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.39
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 17 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $751.66$216.29$950.65
  • DCF (intrinsic)$266.94
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.0× · n=17$440.73
  • Analyst target · range $700.00–$900.00$842.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-25$751.66

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~15 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
71%
+9.1%
n=14
Feb
36%
−1.0%
n=14
Mar
50%
−0.6%
n=14
Apr
64%
+4.5%
n=14
May
79%
+3.3%
n=14
Jun
73%
+2.5%
n=15
Jul
67%
+4.5%
n=15
Aug
67%
+1.3%
n=15
Sep
53%
+2.8%
n=15
Oct
43%
−2.5%
n=14
Nov
64%
+4.3%
n=14
Dec
64%
+1.4%
n=14

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$778$5252026-09-21: 6 insider sales, $29.5M — Cox Christopher K, Olivan Javier …2026-09-15: 1 insider sale, $13.5M — Cox Christopher K2026-09-14: 4 insider sales, $982K — Olivan Javier …2026-09-09: 2 insider sales, $13.0M — Cox Christopher K …2026-09-08: 20 insider sales, $3.1M — Olivan Javier …2026-09-03: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Anderson Aaron2026-08-18: 15 insider sales, $10.3M — Bosworth Andrew, LI SUSAN J, Mahoney Curtis J. …2026-08-15: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — LI SUSAN J2026-08-10: 8 insider sales, $918K — Olivan Javier …2026-08-04: 4 insider sales, $251K — Andreessen Marc L …2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $281K — KIMMITT ROBERT M2026-07-31: 1 insider sale, $252K — Alford Peggy2026-07-27: 4 insider sales, $841K — Olivan Javier …2026-07-20: 4 insider sales, $894K — Olivan Javier …2026-07-13: 4 insider sales, $1.4M — Olivan Javier …2026-07-06: 9 insider sales, $3.0M — Olivan Javier …2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $304K — KIMMITT ROBERT M2026-06-15: 4 insider sales, $740K — Olivan Javier …2026-06-01: 5 insider sales, $1.2M — Olivan Javier, KIMMITT ROBERT M …2026-05-27: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Mahoney Curtis J.2026-05-26: 4 insider sales, $843K — Olivan Javier …2026-05-18: 19 insider sales, $11.2M — LI SUSAN J, Bosworth Andrew, Olivan Javier …2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — LI SUSAN J2025-08: 158 open-market sales, $194.3M2025-09: 11 open-market sales, $4.3M2025-10: 10 open-market sales, $3.7M2025-11: 21 open-market sales, $19.2M2025-12: 11 open-market sales, $3.8M2026-01: 5 open-market sales, $1.7M2026-02: 38 open-market sales, $97.5M2026-03: 17 open-market sales, $4.1M2026-04: 28 open-market sales, $5.2M2026-05: 34 open-market sales, $16.7M2026-06: 9 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-07: 23 open-market sales, $6.7M2026-08: 29 open-market sales, $13.2M2026-09: 34 open-market sales, $62.1M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Cox Christopher K — Sale on 2026-09-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Cox Christopher K — Sale on 2026-09-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Cox Christopher K — Sale on 2026-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Cox Christopher K — Sale on 2026-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Cox Christopher K — Sale on 2026-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Anderson Aaron — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Bosworth Andrew — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Mahoney Curtis J. — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Andreessen Marc L — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Andreessen Marc L — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Andreessen Marc L — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Andreessen Marc L — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector KIMMITT ROBERT M — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Alford Peggy — Sale on 2026-07-31, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-13, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-13, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-13, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-13, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector KIMMITT ROBERT M — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector KIMMITT ROBERT M — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Mahoney Curtis J. — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bosworth Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bosworth Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bosworth Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bosworth Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bosworth Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bosworth Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bosworth Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Olivan Javier — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bosworth Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer LI SUSAN J — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-21Cox Christopher KofficerSale20,000 @ $725.02$14.5M−9.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open184,516Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-21Cox Christopher KofficerSale20,000 @ $700.50$14.0M−8.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open204,516Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-21Olivan JavierofficerSale946 @ $680.27$644K−8.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open9,770Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-21Olivan JavierofficerSale408 @ $680.27$278K−0.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open77,437Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-21Olivan JavierofficerSale82 @ $680.27$56K−1.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open5,998Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-21Olivan JavierofficerSale57 @ $680.27$39K−4.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,175Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-15Cox Christopher KofficerSale20,000 @ $675.23$13.5M−8.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open224,516Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-14Olivan JavierofficerSale946 @ $657.73$622K−8.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open10,716Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-14Olivan JavierofficerSale408 @ $657.73$268K−0.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open77,845Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-14Olivan JavierofficerSale82 @ $657.73$54K−1.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open6,080Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-14Olivan JavierofficerSale57 @ $657.73$37K−4.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,232Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-09Cox Christopher KofficerSale18,578 @ $650.21$12.1M−7.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open245,938Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-09Cox Christopher KofficerSale1,422 @ $651.15$926K−0.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open244,516Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale855 @ $616.32$527K−6.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open13,008Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale555 @ $617.28$343K−4.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open12,453Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale529 @ $618.18$327K−4.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open11,924Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale473 @ $616.79$292K−0.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open78,766Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale354 @ $615.88$218K−0.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open79,239Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale328 @ $616.06$202K−5.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open6,162Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale304 @ $618.00$188K−0.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open78,462Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale262 @ $615.23$161K−1.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open13,863Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale258 @ $612.99$158K−1.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open14,242Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale228 @ $616.06$140K−15.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,289Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale200 @ $614.49$123K−0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open79,593Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale157 @ $619.11$97K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open78,305Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale120 @ $618.93$74K−1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open11,804Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale117 @ $614.22$72K−0.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open14,125Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale78 @ $620.37$48K−0.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open11,726Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale52 @ $620.27$32K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open78,253Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale52 @ $612.21$32K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open79,833Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale40 @ $621.03$25K−0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open11,686Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale40 @ $613.30$25K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open79,793Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Olivan JavierofficerSale24 @ $622.99$15K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open11,662Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-03Anderson AaronofficerSale3,240 @ $618.06$2.0M−34.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open6,271Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-08-18Bosworth AndrewofficerSale7,848 @ $558.00$4.4M−90.5% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open828Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale1,864 @ $548.20$1.0M−9.1% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open18,673Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale1,845 @ $547.51$1.0M−8.2% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open20,537Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18Mahoney Curtis J.officerSale1,559 @ $558.00$870K−44.3% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open1,957Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale1,219 @ $549.25$670K−6.5% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open17,454Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale1,031 @ $551.25$568K−6.2% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open15,715Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale768 @ $553.42$425K−5.1% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open14,386Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale720 @ $557.57$401K−5.1% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open13,466Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale708 @ $550.20$390K−4.1% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open16,746Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale561 @ $552.47$310K−3.6% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open15,154Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale160 @ $554.39$89K−1.1% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open14,226Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale120 @ $560.63$67K−0.9% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open13,186Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale120 @ $558.12$67K−0.9% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open13,346Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale40 @ $559.59$22K−0.3% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open13,306Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LI SUSAN JofficerSale40 @ $555.83$22K−0.3% of holding+26.3%not yet — horizon still open14,186Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-15LI SUSAN JofficerSale2,127 @ $689.85$1.5M−12.2% of holding+16.2%not yet — horizon still open15,347Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-10Olivan JavierofficerSale816 @ $600.00$490K−1.0% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open79,885Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Olivan JavierofficerSale164 @ $600.00$98K−2.5% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open6,490Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Olivan JavierofficerSale149 @ $600.00$89K−2.4% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open6,141Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Olivan JavierofficerSale114 @ $600.00$68K−7.0% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open1,517Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Olivan JavierofficerSale113 @ $602.41$68K−1.8% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open6,028Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Olivan JavierofficerSale92 @ $604.08$56K−1.5% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open5,936Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Olivan JavierofficerSale40 @ $607.14$24K−0.7% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open5,856Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Olivan JavierofficerSale40 @ $605.97$24K−0.7% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open5,896Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04Andreessen Marc LdirectorSale250 @ $588.16$147K−58.7% of holding+1.6%not yet — horizon still open176Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04Andreessen Marc LdirectorSale87 @ $589.24$51K−49.4% of holding+1.6%not yet — horizon still open89Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

180 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-15Cox Christopher KofficerWithheld for tax8,127264,516Form 4
2026-08-15Bosworth AndrewofficerWithheld for tax8,1278,676Form 4
2026-08-15Olivan JavierofficerWithheld for tax7,74414,500Form 4
2026-08-15LI SUSAN JofficerWithheld for tax6,92222,382Form 4
2026-08-15Powell Dina H.directorWithheld for tax3,51810,826Form 4
2026-08-15Mahoney Curtis J.officerWithheld for tax2,3593,516Form 4
2026-08-15Anderson AaronofficerWithheld for tax1,2169,511Form 4
2026-08-15Songhurst CharlesdirectorWithheld for tax141,360Form 4
2026-08-15Elkann JohndirectorWithheld for tax81,445Form 4
2026-08-15Arnold John DouglasdirectorOption exercise1671,004Form 4
2026-08-15Bosworth AndrewofficerOption exercise6,7917,205Form 4
2026-08-15Powell Dina H.directorOption exercise5,70878,014Form 4
2026-08-15Powell Dina H.directorOption exercise2,0248,636Form 4
2026-08-15White DanadirectorOption exercise1101,504Form 4
2026-08-15Olivan JavierofficerOption exercise6,79112,647Form 4
2026-08-15Olivan JavierofficerOption exercise4,95869,409Form 4
2026-08-15Olivan JavierofficerOption exercise2,67916,077Form 4
2026-08-15Olivan JavierofficerOption exercise6,79113,582Form 4
2026-08-15LI SUSAN JofficerOption exercise2,70437,859Form 4
2026-08-15LI SUSAN JofficerConversion1,88816,994Form 4
2026-08-15LI SUSAN JofficerConversion1,88817,474Form 4
2026-08-15Anderson AaronofficerOption exercise1,4509,729Form 4
2026-08-15Cox Christopher KofficerOption exercise2,679265,725Form 4
2026-08-15Cox Christopher KofficerOption exercise6,791263,046Form 4
2026-08-15Cox Christopher KofficerOption exercise6,79113,582Form 4
2026-08-15Powell Dina H.directorOption exercise2,02426,316Form 4
2026-08-15Cox Christopher KofficerOption exercise4,95869,409Form 4
2026-08-15Anderson AaronofficerOption exercise1,4504,351Form 4
2026-08-15Songhurst CharlesdirectorOption exercise1101,374Form 4
2026-08-15Anderson AaronofficerOption exercise33110,392Form 4
2026-08-15Elkann JohndirectorOption exercise1101,095Form 4
2026-08-15Olivan JavierofficerOption exercise1,96019,607Form 4
2026-08-15Arnold John DouglasdirectorOption exercise1673,329Form 4
2026-08-15Anderson AaronofficerOption exercise3354,694Form 4
2026-08-15Olivan JavierofficerOption exercise4,95822,244Form 4
2026-08-15Olivan JavierofficerOption exercise1,96017,286Form 4
2026-08-15Olivan JavierofficerOption exercise2,67915,326Form 4
2026-08-15Songhurst CharlesdirectorOption exercise1101,095Form 4
2026-08-15White DanadirectorOption exercise1101,095Form 4
2026-08-15Anderson AaronofficerOption exercise3321,997Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$15–50K
Daniel CrenshawHousesale2026-07-162026-05-05$1–15K
Daniel CrenshawHousepurchase2026-07-162026-04-28$1–15K
Daniel CrenshawHousesale2026-07-162026-06-01$1–15K
Matthew Robert Van EppsHousesale2026-06-172026-06-16$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-06-102026-05-28$15–50K
John McguireHousepurchase2026-06-102026-06-04$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-05-042026-04-17$1–15K
Angus KingSenatesale2026-03-242026-02-13$1–15K
Julia LetlowHousepurchase2026-03-122026-02-12$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-03-102026-02-11$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-03-102026-02-20$1–15K
Cleo FieldsHousepurchase2026-02-242026-02-03$100–250K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-02-132026-01-30$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.