MEI · TickerCove

MEIMethode Electronics, Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.28 · now $13.28 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MEI has typically landed between $10.04 and $17.25 — a range of −24.4% to +29.9% from the issuance price $13.28.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.28) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$13.28 · 58% of range

$5 low$19.36 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.6%

typical move · IQR 19.3%

−24.4%worst (p90)+29.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where MEI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.28 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $13.28 (+0.0%)
typical $13.2 (-0.6%)
middle 50% $11.92–$14.48
90% range $10.04–$17.25

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2009-02-12	−48.2%	−48.2%	+0.0%
2024-02-26	−47.1%	−47.1%	+1.9%
2024-02-15	−47.1%	−47.1%	+1.0%
3 best
2026-04-14	+88.5%	−4.6%	+88.5%
2009-03-18	+83.9%	+0.0%	+83.9%
2009-03-16	+83.4%	+0.0%	+87.2%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

39%

−0.5%

n=18

Feb

58%

+1.8%

n=19

Mar

47%

−6.4%

n=19

Apr

68%

+7.2%

n=19

May

58%

+3.7%

n=19

Jun

58%

+4.0%

n=19

Jul

53%

−0.0%

n=19

Aug

58%

+2.3%

n=19

Sep

53%

−2.9%

n=19

Oct

61%

−1.3%

n=18

Nov

83%

+7.6%

n=18

Dec

50%

+0.5%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-03-14	Ullrich Lars	officer	Purchase	15,150 @ $6.69	$101K	ownership Δ n/a	−7.9%	+11.2%	15,150	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-11	DeGaynor Jonathan B	director	Purchase	32,733 @ $6.46	$211K	ownership Δ n/a	−6.1%	+16.0%	32,733	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

64 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	Erwin John Thomas	officer	Disposition	5,667	48,936	Form 4
2026-09-02	Schulz Stacie	officer	Disposition	1,649	9,811	Form 4
2026-08-08	DeGaynor Jonathan B	director	Disposition	47,268	366,324	Form 4
2026-08-08	Kowalchik Laura Michele	director	Disposition	11,268	149,436	Form 4
2026-08-08	Ullrich Lars	officer	Disposition	8,157	83,604	Form 4
2026-08-08	Vyverberg Kerry A.	officer	Disposition	4,327	35,904	Form 4
2026-08-08	Erwin John Thomas	officer	Disposition	4,068	54,603	Form 4
2026-07-31	Cadwallader Brian J	director	Award / grant	168	47,143	Form 4
2026-07-31	SCHWABERO MARK D	director	Award / grant	168	47,143	Form 4
2026-07-31	LINDSEY MARY A	director	Award / grant	112	31,588	Form 4
2026-07-31	Bobek Therese M	director	Award / grant	100	28,168	Form 4
2026-07-15	DeGaynor Jonathan B	director	Withheld for tax	7,986	413,592	Form 4
2026-05-02	Vyverberg Kerry A.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,801	40,231	Form 4
2026-05-01	Cadwallader Brian J	director	Award / grant	271	46,975	Form 4
2026-05-01	SCHWABERO MARK D	director	Award / grant	271	46,975	Form 4
2026-05-01	LINDSEY MARY A	director	Award / grant	181	31,476	Form 4
2026-05-01	Bobek Therese M	director	Award / grant	162	28,068	Form 4
2026-04-30	DeGaynor Jonathan B	director	Withheld for tax	14,647	421,578	Form 4
2026-01-31	Cadwallader Brian J	director	Award / grant	432	46,846	Form 4
2026-01-31	SCHWABERO MARK D	director	Award / grant	432	46,846	Form 4
2026-01-31	LINDSEY MARY A	director	Award / grant	290	31,389	Form 4
2026-01-31	Bobek Therese M	director	Award / grant	258	27,991	Form 4
2026-01-15	Erwin John Thomas	officer	Withheld for tax	142	58,671	Form 4
2025-12-02	Ullrich Lars	officer	Withheld for tax	3,696	91,761	Form 4
2025-10-31	Cadwallader Brian J	director	Award / grant	342	46,414	Form 4
2025-10-31	SCHWABERO MARK D	director	Award / grant	342	46,414	Form 4
2025-10-31	LINDSEY MARY A	director	Award / grant	229	31,100	Form 4
2025-10-31	Bobek Therese M	director	Award / grant	205	27,733	Form 4
2025-10-01	Kowalchik Laura Michele	director	Code E	14,012	160,704	Form 4
2025-09-16	CROWTHER BRUCE K	director	Award / grant	18,543	50,654	Form 4
2025-09-16	Bobek Therese M	director	Award / grant	18,543	21,543	Form 4
2025-09-16	Blom David P	director	Award / grant	18,543	18,543	Form 4
2025-09-16	LINDSEY MARY A	director	Award / grant	18,543	30,870	Form 4
2025-09-16	SCHWABERO MARK D	director	Award / grant	18,543	46,071	Form 4
2025-09-16	Cadwallader Brian J	director	Award / grant	18,543	46,071	Form 4
2025-09-12	Erwin John Thomas	officer	Withheld for tax	5,667	58,813	Form 4
2025-08-08	Ullrich Lars	officer	Award / grant	56,689	95,457	Form 4
2025-08-08	DeGaynor Jonathan B	director	Award / grant	328,520	436,225	Form 4
2025-08-08	Vyverberg Kerry A.	officer	Award / grant	29,595	42,032	Form 4
2025-08-08	Erwin John Thomas	officer	Award / grant	31,324	64,480	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i