MDXG · TickerCove

MDXGMiMedx Group, Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.73 · now $4.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MDXG has typically landed between $3.74 and $5.92 — a range of −20.8% to +25.2% from the issuance price $4.73.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,655 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-02-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$4.73 · 34% of range

$3.09 low$7.96 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.7%

typical move · IQR 19.0%

−20.8%worst (p90)+25.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where MDXG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $4.73 (+0.0%)
typical $4.65 (-1.7%)
middle 50% $4.2–$5.1
90% range $3.74–$5.92

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,655 windows spanning 2008-02-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2009-01-12	−86.2%	−86.2%	+0.0%
2009-01-09	−85.1%	−85.1%	+0.0%
2018-11-06	−81.5%	−81.5%	+0.0%
3 best
2010-01-08	+124.4%	+0.0%	+124.4%
2009-12-29	+123.1%	+0.0%	+132.3%
2018-12-07	+120.9%	+0.0%	+120.9%

4,655 overlapping windows · 2008-02-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

39%

+4.1%

n=18

Feb

56%

−2.8%

n=18

Mar

37%

−7.0%

n=19

Apr

32%

−1.4%

n=19

May

63%

+10.7%

n=19

Jun

53%

+6.1%

n=19

Jul

53%

+3.4%

n=19

Aug

42%

+2.2%

n=19

Sep

37%

−2.7%

n=19

Oct

56%

+3.9%

n=18

Nov

67%

+3.9%

n=18

Dec

67%

+5.9%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-11-06	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Sale	58,300 @ $7.42	$432K	−19.7% of holding	−10.9%	−62.4%	236,982	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-02	Capper Joseph H	director	Purchase	200,000 @ $6.34	$1.3M	+60.7% of holding	−2.6%	+0.0%	529,530	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-17	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Sale	1,759 @ $8.04	$14K	−0.6% of holding	−10.5%	−30.4%	309,077	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-13	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Sale	34,230 @ $7.89	$270K	−6.9% of holding	−10.4%	−32.0%	460,544	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-13	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Sale	20,366 @ $7.89	$161K	−4.4% of holding	−10.4%	−32.0%	440,178	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-13	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Sale	4,106 @ $7.89	$32K	−1.3% of holding	−10.4%	−32.0%	310,836	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Sale	81,446 @ $7.80	$635K	−14.1% of holding	−0.8%	−25.3%	494,774	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-28	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Sale	2,111 @ $8.40	$18K	−0.8% of holding	−4.0%	−24.7%	265,271	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-02-13	Whitlow Ricci S	officer	Sale	61,420 @ $8.28	$509K	−13.2% of holding	+4.1%	−20.3%	403,019	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

51 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-02	DOUG RICE	officer	Withheld for tax	12,749	399,566	Form 4
2026-06-24	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Withheld for tax	19,820	309,630	Form 4
2026-06-10	HAWKINS WILLIAM A	director	Award / grant	50,913	254,931	Form 4
2026-06-10	Newton Todd	director	Award / grant	50,913	463,684	Form 4
2026-06-10	PUHY DOROTHY E	director	Award / grant	50,913	108,510	Form 4
2026-06-10	Olson Tiffany	director	Award / grant	50,913	108,510	Form 4
2026-06-10	BIERMAN JAMES L	director	Award / grant	50,913	263,684	Form 4
2026-03-13	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Withheld for tax	20,245	543,195	Form 4
2026-03-13	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Withheld for tax	6,762	329,450	Form 4
2026-03-10	DOUG RICE	officer	Option exercise	243,000	508,678	Form 4
2026-03-10	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Option exercise	136,364	624,900	Form 4
2026-03-10	DOUG RICE	officer	Withheld for tax	96,363	412,315	Form 4
2026-03-10	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Withheld for tax	61,460	563,440	Form 4
2026-03-10	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Option exercise	42,845	357,482	Form 4
2026-03-10	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Withheld for tax	21,270	336,212	Form 4
2026-03-04	Capper Joseph H	director	Award / grant	310,574	4,087,938	Form 4
2026-03-04	DOUG RICE	officer	Award / grant	74,163	265,678	Form 4
2026-03-04	DOUG RICE	officer	Award / grant	62,068	263,309	Form 4
2026-03-04	Capper Joseph H	director	Award / grant	371,094	904,656	Form 4
2026-03-04	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Award / grant	74,163	314,637	Form 4
2026-03-04	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Award / grant	62,068	137,862	Form 4
2026-03-04	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Award / grant	74,987	488,536	Form 4
2026-03-04	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Award / grant	62,758	171,190	Form 4
2026-03-04	Whitlow Ricci S	officer	Award / grant	74,163	462,825	Form 4
2026-03-04	Whitlow Ricci S	officer	Award / grant	62,068	169,309	Form 4
2026-02-13	Whitlow Ricci S	officer	Withheld for tax	61,961	388,662	Form 4
2025-07-03	DOUG RICE	officer	Withheld for tax	12,749	188,024	Form 4
2025-06-24	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Withheld for tax	12,034	295,282	Form 4
2025-06-18	BEHRENS M KATHLEEN	director	Award / grant	28,609	212,771	Form 4
2025-06-18	LAURENCIN CATO T	director	Award / grant	28,609	181,923	Form 4
2025-06-18	BIERMAN JAMES L	director	Award / grant	28,609	212,771	Form 4
2025-06-18	HAWKINS WILLIAM A	director	Award / grant	28,609	204,018	Form 4
2025-06-18	PUHY DOROTHY E	director	Award / grant	28,609	57,597	Form 4
2025-06-18	Olson Tiffany	director	Award / grant	28,609	57,597	Form 4
2025-05-08	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Withheld for tax	8,877	413,549	Form 4
2025-04-23	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Withheld for tax	8,876	422,426	Form 4
2025-04-08	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Withheld for tax	8,876	431,302	Form 4
2025-04-01	Maersk-Moller Kimberly	officer	Withheld for tax	1,761	307,316	Form 4
2025-03-03	Whitlow Ricci S	officer	Award / grant	36,486	107,241	Form 4
2025-03-03	Hulse William Frank IV	officer	Award / grant	46,439	576,220	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i