MDPediatrix Medical Group, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $26.13 · now $26.13 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MD has typically landed between $22.21 and $31.38 — a range of −15.0% to +20.1% from the issuance price $26.13.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($26.13) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $26.13 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$22.21worst · -15.0%$31.38best · +20.1%
  • now $26.13 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $25.96 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $24.27–$27.66
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $22.21–$31.38
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−70.4%−70.4%+0.0%
2020-02-19−67.0%−70.3%+0.0%
2020-02-14−62.2%−62.2%+0.0%
3 best
2020-11-04+66.1%+0.0%+66.1%
2020-10-30+60.8%+0.0%+61.4%
2020-10-28+57.8%+0.0%+61.5%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+0.8%
n=18
Feb
42%
−2.6%
n=19
Mar
58%
−1.0%
n=19
Apr
42%
−1.1%
n=19
May
47%
−1.2%
n=19
Jun
68%
+3.3%
n=19
Jul
42%
−0.4%
n=19
Aug
47%
+3.4%
n=19
Sep
37%
−1.2%
n=19
Oct
44%
−2.3%
n=18
Nov
72%
+6.7%
n=18
Dec
72%
+1.9%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$27$152026-05-13: 1 insider sale, $856K — Weis Shirley A2025-12-15: 1 insider sale, $515K — ORDAN MARK S2025-11-17: 1 insider sale, $241K — Rucker Michael A.2025-11-06: 1 insider sale, $217K — Linynsky Laura A2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $457K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $515K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $856K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Weis Shirley A — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ORDAN MARK S — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rucker Michael A. — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Linynsky Laura A — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-13Weis Shirley AdirectorSale36,028 @ $23.75$856K−100.0% of holding+1.4%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-15ORDAN MARK SdirectorSale23,000 @ $22.41$515K−7.1% of holding−2.1%−5.7%302,805Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17Rucker Michael A.directorSale10,478 @ $23.00$241K−15.1% of holding−2.9%−14.4%59,101Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-06Linynsky Laura AdirectorSale10,000 @ $21.65$217K−23.7% of holding−3.1%−3.8%32,232Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

62 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Linynsky Laura AdirectorDisposition6,00033,900Form 4
2026-08-14Young Sylvia JeandirectorDisposition18,50029,786Form 4
2026-08-12SANSONE GUY PdirectorAward / grant47287,416Form 4
2026-08-12McEachin ThomasdirectorAward / grant4727,668Form 4
2026-08-12Newman Kurt DouglasdirectorAward / grant47217,405Form 4
2026-08-12Young Sylvia JeandirectorAward / grant47248,286Form 4
2026-08-12Rucker Michael A.directorAward / grant47266,769Form 4
2026-08-12Starcher John M. Jr.directorAward / grant47273,732Form 4
2026-08-12Weis Shirley AdirectorAward / grant47219,095Form 4
2026-08-12Linynsky Laura AdirectorAward / grant47239,900Form 4
2026-06-22Haddock DavidofficerAward / grant20,03620,036Form 4
2026-06-22Haddock DavidofficerAward / grant51,00051,000Form 4
2026-06-09Moore Mary Ann EofficerGift18,40778,059Form 4
2026-06-09Moore Mary Ann EofficerGift18,407111,831Form 4
2026-06-02ORDAN MARK SdirectorAward / grant97,174410,884Form 4
2026-06-02ORDAN MARK SdirectorDisposition97,174313,710Form 4
2026-06-01ORDAN MARK SdirectorWithheld for tax19,119410,884Form 4
2026-06-01Moore Mary Ann EofficerWithheld for tax11,94496,466Form 4
2026-06-01Neeb Don GregoryofficerWithheld for tax8,003137,231Form 4
2026-06-01Rossi Kasandra HofficerWithheld for tax3,701101,399Form 4
2026-06-01Neeb Don GregoryofficerAward / grant63,888145,234Form 4
2026-06-01Rossi Kasandra HofficerAward / grant31,800105,100Form 4
2026-06-01ORDAN MARK SdirectorAward / grant127,198430,003Form 4
2026-05-13McEachin ThomasdirectorGift11,4277,196Form 4
2026-05-13McEachin ThomasdirectorGift11,42766,073Form 4
2026-05-11Moore Mary Ann EofficerGift40,826108,410Form 4
2026-05-07SANSONE GUY PdirectorAward / grant7,19686,944Form 4
2026-05-07Rucker Michael A.directorAward / grant7,19666,297Form 4
2026-05-07Weis Shirley AdirectorAward / grant7,19618,623Form 4
2026-05-07Starcher John M. Jr.directorAward / grant7,19673,260Form 4
2026-05-07Young Sylvia JeandirectorAward / grant7,19647,814Form 4
2026-05-07Linynsky Laura AdirectorAward / grant7,19639,428Form 4
2026-05-07Newman Kurt DouglasdirectorAward / grant7,19616,933Form 4
2026-05-07McEachin ThomasdirectorAward / grant7,19618,623Form 4
2026-03-01Moore Mary Ann EofficerWithheld for tax26,931149,236Form 4
2026-03-01Rossi Kasandra HofficerWithheld for tax3,67673,300Form 4
2026-03-01Moore Mary Ann EofficerAward / grant39,925176,167Form 4
2025-08-20McEachin ThomasdirectorGift62511,427Form 4
2025-08-19McEachin ThomasdirectorGift54,02112,052Form 4
2025-08-01Neeb Don GregoryofficerAward / grant81,34681,346Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Donna ShalalaHousesale2020-04-272019-10-15$50–100K
Ro KhannaHousesale2019-11-122019-10-21$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2019-10-162019-09-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2019-05-102019-04-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2019-04-112019-03-26$1–15K
Greg GianforteSenatesale2018-10-292018-10-26$50–100K
Greg GianforteSenatepurchase2018-02-082018-01-29$100–250K
Greg GianforteSenatesale2018-01-042017-12-29$100–250K
Lamar SmithHousesale2017-05-072017-04-25$1–15K
Lamar SmithHousesale2017-04-102017-03-17$1–15K
Lamar SmithHousepurchase2016-03-152016-02-22$1–15K
Lamar SmithHousepurchase2016-02-092016-01-25$1–15K
Thomas MacarthurHousesale2015-06-072015-05-27$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.