MCS · TickerCove

MCSThe Marcus CorporationCommunication Services · Entertainmentas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.54 · now $27.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MCS has typically landed between $23.70 and $32.21 — a range of −14.0% to +17.0% from the issuance price $27.54.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$27.54 · 80% of range

$12.87 low$31.12 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.5%

typical move · IQR 13.4%

−14.0%worst (p90)+17.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where MCS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $27.54 (+0.0%)
typical $27.68 (+0.5%)
middle 50% $25.84–$29.52
90% range $23.7–$32.21

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−75.0%	−75.0%	+9.3%
2020-02-14	−69.7%	−69.7%	+9.0%
2020-02-20	−67.9%	−77.1%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18	+91.3%	+0.0%	+91.3%
2020-11-02	+70.9%	+0.0%	+70.9%
2020-10-28	+67.3%	−1.9%	+68.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

30%

−1.9%

n=20

Feb

55%

+0.9%

n=20

Mar

65%

+0.1%

n=20

Apr

50%

+1.8%

n=20

May

55%

−1.4%

n=20

Jun

40%

−0.7%

n=20

Jul

65%

+4.7%

n=20

Aug

40%

+0.4%

n=20

Sep

60%

−1.5%

n=20

Oct

55%

+2.8%

n=20

Nov

65%

+4.8%

n=20

Dec

60%

+1.9%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-04-15	Evans Michael Reade	officer	Sale	7,671 @ $19.04	$146K	−14.3% of holding	−15.5%	not yet — horizon still open	45,801	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-20	Evans Michael Reade	officer	Sale	37 @ $15.94	$597	−0.1% of holding	+7.9%	not yet — horizon still open	53,472	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Sale	25,000 @ $17.32	$433K	−11.1% of holding	+7.9%	+42.6%	199,700	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-02	Marcus Gregory S	director	Purchase	33,915 @ $0.00	$0	+15.4% of holding	+7.0%	+57.2%	254,256	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02	Marcus Gregory S	director	Sale	33,915 @ $0.00	$0	−6.2% of holding	+7.0%	+57.2%	515,119	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02	GERSHOWITZ DIANE M	director	Purchase	33,915 @ $0.00	$0	+88.7% of holding	+7.0%	+57.2%	72,134	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02	GERSHOWITZ DIANE M	director	Sale	33,915 @ $0.00	$0	−1.8% of holding	+7.0%	+57.2%	1,881,677	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-15	GERSHOWITZ DIANE M	director	Purchase	5,846 @ $0.00	$0	+16.1% of holding	−16.1%	−4.0%	42,045	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-15	GERSHOWITZ DIANE M	director	Sale	5,846 @ $0.00	$0	−0.3% of holding	−16.1%	−4.0%	1,915,592	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-15	Marcus Gregory S	director	Sale	5,846 @ $0.00	$0	−1.2% of holding	−16.1%	−4.0%	483,925	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-15	Marcus Gregory S	director	Purchase	5,846 @ $0.00	$0	+2.7% of holding	−16.1%	−4.0%	220,341	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-05	Evans Michael Reade	officer	Sale	935 @ $8.26	$8K	−100.0% of holding	−2.9%	−24.3%	0	Form 4 · filed 19 days after the trade
2025-05-15	Gramz Mark A	officer	Sale	5,139 @ $8.33	$43K	−100.0% of holding	−1.4%	−21.2%	0	Form 4 · filed 40 days after the trade
2025-03-03	GERSHOWITZ DIANE M	director	Purchase	21,758 @ $0.00	$0	+54.3% of holding	−1.9%	−22.7%	61,797	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03	GERSHOWITZ DIANE M	director	Sale	21,758 @ $0.00	$0	−1.1% of holding	−1.9%	−22.7%	1,921,438	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03	Marcus Gregory S	director	Sale	21,758 @ $0.00	$0	−4.3% of holding	−1.9%	−22.7%	489,771	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03	Marcus Gregory S	director	Purchase	21,758 @ $0.00	$0	+11.3% of holding	−1.9%	−22.7%	214,495	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

88 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-07	Marcus Gregory S	director	Gift	1,249	47,013	Form 4
2026-08-07	Marcus David John	director	Gift	1,249	45,134	Form 4
2026-08-03	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Withheld for tax	35,848	218,593	Form 4
2026-08-03	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Option exercise	39,000	254,441	Form 4
2026-08-03	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Option exercise	47,100	265,693	Form 4
2026-08-03	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Withheld for tax	32,728	232,965	Form 4
2026-08-03	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Withheld for tax	20,875	215,441	Form 4
2026-08-03	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Option exercise	24,400	236,316	Form 4
2026-08-03	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Option exercise	39,000	0	Form 4
2026-08-03	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Option exercise	24,400	0	Form 4
2026-08-03	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Option exercise	47,100	0	Form 4
2026-06-25	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Withheld for tax	41,723	211,916	Form 4
2026-06-25	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Option exercise	50,000	253,639	Form 4
2026-06-25	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Option exercise	50,000	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	GERSHOWITZ DIANE M	director	Award / grant	1,391	37,429	Form 4
2026-05-21	Gehl Katherine M.	director	Award / grant	1,391	18,472	Form 4
2026-05-21	HOEKSEMA TIMOTHY E	director	Award / grant	1,391	50,556	Form 4
2026-05-21	Leff Paul Adam	director	Award / grant	1,391	6,699	Form 4
2026-05-21	Marcus David John	director	Award / grant	1,391	106,476	Form 4
2026-05-21	MILSTEIN PHILIP L	director	Award / grant	1,391	79,149	Form 4
2026-05-21	OLSON BRUCE J	director	Award / grant	1,391	12,385	Form 4
2026-05-21	Ramirez Austin M	director	Award / grant	1,391	16,836	Form 4
2026-05-21	SELIG ALLAN H	director	Award / grant	1,391	65,315	Form 4
2026-05-21	STARK BRIAN JAY	director	Award / grant	1,391	48,206	Form 4
2026-05-01	Gramz Mark A	officer	Withheld for tax	12,218	37,044	Form 4
2026-04-13	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Withheld for tax	38,511	203,639	Form 4
2026-04-13	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Option exercise	42,450	242,150	Form 4
2026-04-13	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Option exercise	42,450	14,150	Form 4
2026-03-02	GERSHOWITZ DIANE M	director	Gift	36,096	36,038	Form 4
2026-02-23	Marcus Gregory S	director	Withheld for tax	7,555	549,034	Form 4
2026-02-23	Evans Michael Reade	officer	Withheld for tax	1,520	53,509	Form 4
2026-02-23	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Withheld for tax	2,467	224,700	Form 4
2026-02-23	Paris Chad M	officer	Withheld for tax	1,146	70,638	Form 4
2026-02-22	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Withheld for tax	7,292	227,167	Form 4
2026-02-22	Evans Michael Reade	officer	Withheld for tax	5,032	55,029	Form 4
2026-02-22	Paris Chad M	officer	Withheld for tax	4,643	71,784	Form 4
2026-02-22	Gramz Mark A	officer	Withheld for tax	2,899	49,262	Form 4
2026-02-22	Marcus Gregory S	director	Withheld for tax	19,976	556,589	Form 4
2026-02-11	Evans Michael Reade	officer	Award / grant	21,580	60,061	Form 4
2026-02-11	KISSINGER THOMAS F	director	Award / grant	31,990	234,459	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i