Issued 2026-09-16 at $23.92 · now $23.92 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MAZE has typically landed between $17.22 and $34.43 — a range of −28.0% to +43.9% from the issuance price $23.92.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
387 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-01-31 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($23.92) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where MAZE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $23.92 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $23.92 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $25.22 (+5.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $21.88–$28.57
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $17.22–$34.43
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 387 windows spanning 2025-01-31 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-03-16 | −47.6% | −47.9% | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-12 | −47.1% | −48.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-11 | −47.1% | −47.1% | +2.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-08-25 | +96.7% | +0.0% | +96.7% |
| 2025-08-27 | +94.7% | +0.0% | +94.7% |
| 2025-08-26 | +87.5% | −1.3% | +87.5% |
387 overlapping windows · 2025-01-31 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
100%
+5.2%
n=1
Feb
50%
−9.4%
n=2
Mar
0%
−22.3%
n=2
Apr
0%
−13.5%
n=2
May
50%
+3.9%
n=2
Jun
100%
+17.7%
n=2
Jul
50%
+5.2%
n=2
Aug
0%
−1.5%
n=2
Sep
50%
+34.5%
n=2
Oct
100%
+26.9%
n=1
Nov
100%
+14.7%
n=1
Dec
100%
+9.7%
n=1
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 9,705 @ $26.22 | $255K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 11,282 @ $26.01 | $293K | −29.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 27,491 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 5,130 @ $26.01 | $133K | −34.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,764 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 3,207 @ $26.01 | $83K | −9.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 32,352 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Courtney Phillips | officer | Sale | 1,990 @ $26.01 | $52K | −22.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 7,029 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 129 @ $25.77 | $3K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 27,362 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 59 @ $25.78 | $2K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,705 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 36 @ $25.81 | $929 | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 32,316 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Courtney Phillips | officer | Sale | 22 @ $25.78 | $567 | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 7,007 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 9,852 @ $26.38 | $260K | −19.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 40,148 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 4,481 @ $26.38 | $118K | −22.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 15,519 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 2,800 @ $26.38 | $74K | −7.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 35,950 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Courtney Phillips | officer | Sale | 1,738 @ $26.38 | $46K | −15.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,262 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 1,375 @ $27.12 | $37K | −3.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 38,773 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 625 @ $27.12 | $17K | −4.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 14,894 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 391 @ $27.12 | $11K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 35,559 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Courtney Phillips | officer | Sale | 243 @ $27.12 | $7K | −2.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,019 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 31,908 @ $26.29 | $839K | −12.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 223,355 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 16,141 @ $26.36 | $426K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 2,593 @ $26.31 | $68K | −12.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 18,151 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $27.58 | $207K | −22.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 26,250 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 16,142 @ $27.61 | $446K | −100.0% of holding | −8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 30,304 @ $26.71 | $810K | −10.6% of holding | −3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 256,867 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 2,439 @ $26.71 | $65K | −10.5% of holding | −3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,898 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 1,604 @ $27.09 | $43K | −0.6% of holding | −3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 255,263 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 154 @ $27.09 | $4K | −0.7% of holding | −3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,744 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 7,100 @ $27.31 | $194K | −21.0% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,650 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 400 @ $27.89 | $11K | −1.5% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,250 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 30,311 @ $29.95 | $908K | −9.5% of holding | −9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 288,768 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 13,409 @ $29.86 | $400K | −91.8% of holding | −9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,200 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 2,593 @ $29.98 | $78K | −10.0% of holding | −9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,337 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 1,597 @ $30.44 | $49K | −0.6% of holding | −9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 287,171 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $30.34 | $36K | −100.0% of holding | −9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $28.02 | $210K | −22.2% of holding | −4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,250 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 23,865 @ $26.05 | $622K | −7.0% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 319,079 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 2,040 @ $26.00 | $53K | −7.3% of holding | +11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,930 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 1,953 @ $26.00 | $51K | −0.6% of holding | +11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 342,944 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 13,253 @ $25.57 | $339K | −89.2% of holding | +18.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,600 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 6,090 @ $26.20 | $160K | −1.7% of holding | +18.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 344,897 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 1,600 @ $26.36 | $42K | −100.0% of holding | +18.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 553 @ $26.24 | $15K | −1.9% of holding | +18.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,970 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $26.34 | $198K | −23.2% of holding | +13.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,808 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 25,582 @ $26.02 | $666K | −6.8% of holding | +4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 350,987 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 4,504 @ $26.00 | $117K | −1.2% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 376,569 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 2,478 @ $26.00 | $64K | −8.0% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,523 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 1,822 @ $26.00 | $47K | −0.5% of holding | −8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 381,073 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Coloma Jason V | director | Sale | 116 @ $26.00 | $3K | −0.4% of holding | −8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,001 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $26.22 | $393K | −100.0% of holding | −9.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 7,500 @ $25.37 | $190K | −41.7% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,503 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 11,352 @ $29.24 | $332K | −75.7% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,648 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 3,348 @ $30.06 | $101K | −91.8% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 300 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Bachrodt Amy | officer | Sale | 2,200 @ $29.32 | $65K | −14.2% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,265 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 300 @ $31.07 | $9K | −100.0% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Bachrodt Amy | officer | Sale | 300 @ $30.34 | $9K | −2.3% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,965 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 6,710 @ $29.26 | $196K | −37.3% of holding | −24.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,293 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Sale | 790 @ $30.02 | $24K | −7.0% of holding | −24.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,503 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-20 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 6,161 @ $48.20 | $297K | −41.1% of holding | −55.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,839 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-20 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 5,044 @ $50.02 | $252K | −100.0% of holding | −55.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-20 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 3,795 @ $49.32 | $187K | −42.9% of holding | −55.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,044 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-10 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Sale | 29,652 @ $50.45 | $1.5M | −98.8% of holding | −46.1% | −65.0% | 348 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
178 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 16,141 | 16,141 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 38,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Courtney Phillips | officer | Option exercise | 11,000 | 11,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Coloma Jason V | director | Option exercise | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 16,141 | 160,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 33,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 14,143 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 16,142 | 16,142 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 16,142 | 176,803 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Johnson Paula A | director | Award / grant | 36,000 | 36,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Kornowski Sophie | director | Award / grant | 36,000 | 36,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 33,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 21,643 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 14,609 | 14,609 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 14,609 | 192,945 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 33,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 29,143 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Lim Jonathan E | director | Award / grant | 18,000 | 18,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | SCHELLER RICHARD H | director | Award / grant | 18,000 | 18,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | SPIEGELMAN DANIEL K | director | Award / grant | 18,000 | 18,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Andrews Nancy C | director | Award / grant | 18,000 | 18,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | HOMCY CHARLES J | director | Award / grant | 18,000 | 18,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Hoppenot Herve | director | Award / grant | 18,000 | 18,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 14,853 | 14,853 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 14,853 | 207,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 32,308 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 36,643 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 222,407 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 8,320 | 18,823 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 5,985 | 24,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 5,985 | 27,725 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | HOMCY CHARLES J | director | Gift | 7,422 | 31,113 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 8,320 | 20,204 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 18,003 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | Dandekar Atul | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 44,143 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Bernstein Harold | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Bachrodt Amy | officer | Option exercise | 2,500 | 15,465 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.