MANHManhattan Associates, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $212.03 · now $212.03 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MANH has typically landed between $180.72 and $247.99 — a range of −14.8% to +17.0% from the issuance price $212.03.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-262026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($212.03) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MANH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $212.03 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$180.72worst · -14.8%$247.99best · +17.0%
  • now $212.03 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $214.21 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $200.91$227.5
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $180.72$247.99
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−53.9%−53.9%+0.5%
2020-02-21−44.7%−51.5%+0.0%
2020-02-19−44.4%−54.1%+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-03+54.2%+0.0%+58.5%
2020-04-02+53.6%−1.4%+56.3%
2020-03-18+53.6%+0.0%+59.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-262026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Feb
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Mar
60%
+0.4%
n=20
Apr
70%
+5.1%
n=20
May
70%
+3.4%
n=20
Jun
60%
+2.0%
n=20
Jul
70%
+5.5%
n=20
Aug
50%
+1.7%
n=20
Sep
35%
+0.8%
n=20
Oct
55%
+2.8%
n=20
Nov
65%
+2.8%
n=20
Dec
40%
−1.6%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$224$1212026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $593K — Clark Eric Andrew2026-08-06: 1 insider sale, $300K — Hollembaek Linda T.2026-07-30: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Gantt James Stewart2026-06-10: 1 insider sale, $147K — Clark Eric Andrew2026-04-24: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Gantt James Stewart2025-11-28: 1 insider sale, $282K — Clark Eric Andrew2025-08-28: 2 insider sales, $503K — Gantt James Stewart …2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $503K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $282K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $1.0M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $147K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $1.0M2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $893K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Clark Eric Andrew — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed same daydirector Hollembaek Linda T. — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Gantt James Stewart — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Clark Eric Andrew — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed same dayofficer Gantt James Stewart — Sale on 2026-04-24, filed same daydirector Clark Eric Andrew — Sale on 2025-11-28, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Gantt James Stewart — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Gantt James Stewart — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11Clark Eric AndrewdirectorSale3,000 @ $197.76$593K−3.2% of holding+6.7%not yet — horizon still open89,638Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-06Hollembaek Linda T.directorSale1,579 @ $189.88$300K−11.4% of holding+11.9%not yet — horizon still open12,268Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-30Gantt James StewartofficerSale5,139 @ $195.53$1.0M−8.5% of holding+13.2%not yet — horizon still open55,676Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-10Clark Eric AndrewdirectorSale1,000 @ $146.77$147K−1.1% of holding+5.5%not yet — horizon still open92,638Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-24Gantt James StewartofficerSale7,300 @ $139.25$1.0M−10.7% of holding−7.0%not yet — horizon still open60,815Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-28Clark Eric AndrewdirectorSale1,600 @ $176.40$282K−3.1% of holding−1.8%−23.9%50,486Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-28Gantt James StewartofficerSale1,274 @ $218.62$279K−2.5% of holding−7.5%−42.3%49,168Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-28Gantt James StewartofficerSale1,026 @ $218.79$224K−2.0% of holding−7.5%−42.3%50,442Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-07-29Capel EddiedirectorSale9,365 @ $223.66$2.1M−5.4% of holding−4.7%−38.6%162,988Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29Capel EddiedirectorSale7,088 @ $220.21$1.6M−4.0% of holding−4.7%−38.6%172,353Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29Capel EddiedirectorSale6,310 @ $224.37$1.4M−3.4% of holding−4.7%−38.6%179,441Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29Capel EddiedirectorSale5,429 @ $222.12$1.2M−2.8% of holding−4.7%−38.6%185,751Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29Capel EddiedirectorSale4,597 @ $219.48$1.0M−2.3% of holding−4.7%−38.6%191,180Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29Capel EddiedirectorSale3,957 @ $221.47$876K−2.0% of holding−4.7%−38.6%195,777Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29Hollembaek Linda T.directorSale1,724 @ $221.42$382K−12.6% of holding−4.7%−38.6%11,907Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29Capel EddiedirectorSale596 @ $225.04$134K−0.3% of holding−4.7%−38.6%199,734Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29Hollembaek Linda T.directorSale300 @ $222.18$67K−2.2% of holding−4.7%−38.6%13,631Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-25Gantt James StewartofficerSale2,300 @ $220.33$507K−4.5% of holding−2.2%−27.9%48,660Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-06STORY DENNIS BofficerSale2,788 @ $170.83$476K−2.7% of holding+1.4%+13.7%101,263Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

87 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-15MORAN CHARLES EdirectorGift1,3301,940Form 4
2026-05-14NOONAN THOMAS EdirectorAward / grant1,940103,800Form 4
2026-05-14MORAN CHARLES EdirectorAward / grant1,9403,270Form 4
2026-05-14Eger EdmonddirectorAward / grant1,9408,453Form 4
2026-05-14Hollembaek Linda T.directorAward / grant1,94013,847Form 4
2026-05-14Kuryea Kimberly AdirectorAward / grant1,9408,027Form 4
2026-05-14Capel EddiedirectorAward / grant1,940156,329Form 4
2026-05-14SHEER DANIELLEdirectorAward / grant1,9403,270Form 4
2026-04-01Pinne Linda C.officerAward / grant5,32347,920Form 4
2026-02-28Capel EddiedirectorWithheld for tax2,213154,389Form 4
2026-02-28Clark Eric AndrewdirectorWithheld for tax1,59593,638Form 4
2026-02-28Gantt James StewartofficerWithheld for tax1,46768,115Form 4
2026-02-28Howell Robert GofficerWithheld for tax1,467177,706Form 4
2026-02-28STORY DENNIS BofficerWithheld for tax1,334118,588Form 4
2026-02-28Richards BruceofficerWithheld for tax50830,389Form 4
2026-02-28Pinne Linda C.officerWithheld for tax7542,597Form 4
2026-02-14Clark Eric AndrewdirectorWithheld for tax4,75895,233Form 4
2026-02-04Richards BruceofficerAward / grant3,41726,329Form 4
2026-02-04Howell Robert GofficerAward / grant13,668166,011Form 4
2026-02-04Gantt James StewartofficerAward / grant13,66856,420Form 4
2026-02-04STORY DENNIS BofficerAward / grant13,668107,945Form 4
2026-02-04Pinne Linda C.officerAward / grant2,05041,657Form 4
2026-02-04Clark Eric AndrewdirectorAward / grant34,16983,777Form 4
2026-01-31Capel EddiedirectorWithheld for tax26,263136,725Form 4
2026-01-31STORY DENNIS BofficerWithheld for tax9,54194,277Form 4
2026-01-31Howell Robert GofficerWithheld for tax8,202152,343Form 4
2026-01-31Gantt James StewartofficerWithheld for tax6,41642,752Form 4
2026-01-31Richards BruceofficerWithheld for tax2,33922,912Form 4
2026-01-31Pinne Linda C.officerWithheld for tax1,29239,607Form 4
2026-01-31Clark Eric AndrewdirectorWithheld for tax87849,608Form 4
2026-01-22STORY DENNIS BofficerAward / grant2,556115,795Form 4
2026-01-22Howell Robert GofficerAward / grant2,809173,707Form 4
2026-01-22Howell Robert GofficerAward / grant10,353170,898Form 4
2026-01-22Pinne Linda C.officerAward / grant21741,914Form 4
2026-01-22Pinne Linda C.officerAward / grant79841,697Form 4
2026-01-22Gantt James StewartofficerAward / grant2,80962,330Form 4
2026-01-22Richards BruceofficerAward / grant97529,819Form 4
2026-01-22Gantt James StewartofficerAward / grant10,35359,521Form 4
2026-01-22Richards BruceofficerAward / grant3,59328,844Form 4
2026-01-22Clark Eric AndrewdirectorAward / grant16,21466,700Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.