MANEVeradermics, IncorporatedHealthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $102.42 · now $102.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MANE has typically landed between $86.59 and $163.21 — a range of −15.5% to +59.4% from the issuance price $102.42.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

134 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-02-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($102.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MANE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $102.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$86.59worst · -15.5%$163.21best · +59.4%
  • now $102.42 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $118.22 (+15.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $97.07–$139.36
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $86.59–$163.21
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 134 windows spanning 2026-02-04 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-07-02−21.5%−21.5%+0.0%
2026-07-01−18.3%−18.6%+1.0%
2026-05-06−16.5%−16.5%+0.0%
3 best
2026-04-07+93.6%+0.0%+102.4%
2026-04-08+85.8%+0.0%+97.8%
2026-04-06+79.9%−11.1%+79.9%

134 overlapping windows · 2026-02-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$130$372026-08-19: 2 insider sales, $80.4M — MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC …2026-08-17: 10 insider sales, $12.0M — Waldman Reid Alexander, Durso Timothy August …2026-08-12: 3 insider sales, $10.7M — CHILDS JOHN W …2026-02-06: 2 insider purchases, $1.1M — MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC …2026-02-05: 11 insider purchases, $46.2M — ENRIGHT PATRICK G, Longitude Capital Partners V, LLC, CHILDS JOHN W, MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC …2026-02-04: 12 insider purchases, $5.8M — MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC …2026-02: 25 open-market purchases, $53.1M2026-08: 15 open-market sales, $103.1M↑ buys↓ salesdirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Waldman Reid Alexander — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Waldman Reid Alexander — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Durso Timothy August — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Durso Timothy August — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Waldman Reid Alexander — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Durso Timothy August — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Waldman Reid Alexander — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Durso Timothy August — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Waldman Reid Alexander — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Durso Timothy August — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CHILDS JOHN W — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CHILDS JOHN W — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CHILDS JOHN W — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-06, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-06, filed 3 days after the tradedirector ENRIGHT PATRICK G — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed same daytenPercentOwner Longitude Capital Partners V, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed same daydirector CHILDS JOHN W — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed same daytenPercentOwner Longitude Capital Partners V, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed same daydirector ENRIGHT PATRICK G — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed same daydirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Coric Vlad — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed same daydirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLC — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-19MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorSale690,601 @ $107.25$74.1M−18.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,957,937Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-19MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorSale59,399 @ $107.25$6.4M−11.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open461,033Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-17Waldman Reid AlexanderdirectorSale27,490 @ $108.45$3.0M−13.6% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open174,073Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Waldman Reid AlexanderdirectorSale25,234 @ $107.53$2.7M−11.1% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open201,563Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Durso Timothy AugustofficerSale16,767 @ $108.38$1.8M−17.2% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open80,651Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Durso Timothy AugustofficerSale16,306 @ $107.52$1.8M−14.3% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open97,418Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Waldman Reid AlexanderdirectorSale11,527 @ $106.72$1.2M−4.8% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open226,797Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Durso Timothy AugustofficerSale7,918 @ $106.71$845K−6.5% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open113,724Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Waldman Reid AlexanderdirectorSale3,000 @ $109.38$328K−1.7% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open171,073Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Durso Timothy AugustofficerSale2,348 @ $109.34$257K−2.9% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open78,303Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Waldman Reid AlexanderdirectorSale249 @ $111.28$28K−0.1% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open170,824Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Durso Timothy AugustofficerSale161 @ $111.28$18K−0.2% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open78,142Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12CHILDS JOHN WdirectorSale80,000 @ $107.23$8.6M−28.7% of holding−8.2%not yet — horizon still open199,117Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-12CHILDS JOHN WdirectorSale15,000 @ $106.14$1.6M−5.1% of holding−8.2%not yet — horizon still open279,117Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-12CHILDS JOHN WdirectorSale5,000 @ $108.24$541K−2.5% of holding−8.2%not yet — horizon still open194,117Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-06MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase19,338 @ $36.55$707K+3.9% of holding+33.6%+175.3%520,453Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-06MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase11,183 @ $35.97$402K+2.3% of holding+33.6%+175.3%501,115Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-05ENRIGHT PATRICK GdirectorPurchase882,353 @ $17.00$15.0M+75.3% of holding+38.0%+193.1%2,053,474Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase882,353 @ $17.00$15.0M+75.3% of holding+38.0%+193.1%2,053,474Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05CHILDS JOHN WdirectorPurchase294,117 @ $17.00$5.0M+15.4% of holding+38.0%+193.1%2,202,006Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerPurchase192,647 @ $17.00$3.3M+8.0% of holding+38.0%+193.1%2,600,399Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05ENRIGHT PATRICK GdirectorPurchase192,647 @ $17.00$3.3M+8.0% of holding+38.0%+193.1%2,600,399Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase38,771 @ $37.63$1.5M+9.3% of holding+38.0%+193.1%455,534Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05Coric VladdirectorPurchase58,823 @ $17.00$1000K+22.6% of holding+38.0%+193.1%319,398Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase19,199 @ $36.93$709K+4.8% of holding+38.0%+193.1%416,763Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase17,835 @ $38.67$690K+3.9% of holding+38.0%+193.1%473,369Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase16,563 @ $39.80$659K+3.5% of holding+38.0%+193.1%489,932Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase3,832 @ $36.07$138K+1.0% of holding+38.0%+193.1%397,564Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase53,344 @ $37.11$2.0M+1.5% of holding+30.6%+175.2%3,604,141Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase25,908 @ $38.09$987K+0.7% of holding+30.6%+175.2%3,630,049Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase18,489 @ $38.90$719K+0.5% of holding+30.6%+175.2%3,648,538Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase14,659 @ $36.27$532K+0.4% of holding+30.6%+175.2%3,550,797Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase10,676 @ $34.74$371K+0.3% of holding+30.6%+175.2%3,536,138Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase10,004 @ $34.25$343K+0.3% of holding+30.6%+175.2%3,525,462Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase9,168 @ $37.11$340K+2.4% of holding+30.6%+175.2%386,101Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase4,453 @ $38.09$170K+1.2% of holding+30.6%+175.2%390,554Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase3,178 @ $38.90$124K+0.8% of holding+30.6%+175.2%393,732Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase2,519 @ $36.27$91K+0.7% of holding+30.6%+175.2%376,933Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase1,835 @ $34.74$64K+0.5% of holding+30.6%+175.2%374,414Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-04MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorPurchase1,720 @ $34.25$59K+0.5% of holding+30.6%+175.2%372,579Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

125 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Hollander DaviddirectorAward / grant19,30019,300Form 4
2026-09-01Hollander DaviddirectorAward / grant9,6509,650Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise151,0000Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise149,0000Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise149,0003,106,937Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise151,000612,033Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise149,0003,106,937Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise151,000612,033Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise149,0003,106,937Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise149,0003,106,937Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise151,000612,033Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise151,000612,033Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise149,0003,106,937Form 4
2026-08-20MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorExercise151,000612,033Form 4
2026-08-17Durso Timothy AugustofficerOption exercise3,452121,642Form 4
2026-08-17Waldman Reid AlexanderdirectorOption exercise3,452238,324Form 4
2026-08-17Waldman Reid AlexanderdirectorOption exercise3,4520Form 4
2026-08-17Durso Timothy AugustofficerOption exercise3,4520Form 4
2026-05-01MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorAward / grant151,000151,000Form 4
2026-05-01MONTANOVA CAPITAL, LLCdirectorAward / grant149,000149,000Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1210Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,236,6311,236,631Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,236,6311,236,631Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1212,407,752Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1211,171,121Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,236,6310Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1210Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,236,6311,236,631Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1212,407,752Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1211,171,121Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,236,6310Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1210Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1210Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,236,6311,236,631Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1212,407,752Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1211,171,121Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,236,6310Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1210Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1210Form 4
2026-02-05Longitude Capital Partners V, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion1,171,1212,407,752Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.