MANManpowerGroup Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $57.93 · now $57.93 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MAN has typically landed between $49.46 and $66.46 — a range of −14.6% to +14.7% from the issuance price $57.93.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($57.93) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MAN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $57.93 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$49.46worst · -14.6%$66.46best · +14.7%
  • now $57.93 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $57.23 (-1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $53.91–$60.54
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $49.46–$66.46
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−43.7%−43.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−41.1%−41.1%+0.0%
2008-09-26−40.0%−40.0%+0.0%
3 best
2026-06-23+75.2%+0.0%+75.2%
2026-06-24+72.6%+0.0%+73.4%
2026-06-30+68.1%+0.0%+75.0%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+3.4%
n=18
Feb
53%
−1.1%
n=19
Mar
63%
+1.2%
n=19
Apr
42%
+3.3%
n=19
May
42%
−2.8%
n=19
Jun
42%
−1.0%
n=19
Jul
58%
+4.5%
n=19
Aug
53%
−0.3%
n=19
Sep
37%
−2.4%
n=19
Oct
50%
−1.2%
n=18
Nov
78%
+3.8%
n=18
Dec
67%
+2.5%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$63$25↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

274 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Gibson John BdirectorAward / grant956956Form 4
2026-02-19PRISING JONASdirectorWithheld for tax16,72918,766Form 4
2026-02-19McGinnis John TofficerWithheld for tax4,94396,634Form 4
2026-02-19Frankiewicz RebeccadirectorWithheld for tax75819,055Form 4
2026-02-19PRISING JONASdirectorGift18,7660Form 4
2026-02-17PRISING JONASdirectorWithheld for tax23,31965,041Form 4
2026-02-17McGinnis John TofficerWithheld for tax6,988101,577Form 4
2026-02-17Nettles MichelledirectorWithheld for tax2,42341,644Form 4
2026-02-17Frankiewicz RebeccadirectorWithheld for tax1,44119,813Form 4
2026-02-17Rozek EricofficerWithheld for tax1981,014Form 4
2026-02-17Rozek EricofficerOption exercise5650Form 4
2026-02-17McGinnis John TofficerOption exercise15,2500Form 4
2026-02-17PRISING JONASdirectorGift29,54635,495Form 4
2026-02-17PRISING JONASdirectorOption exercise52,8650Form 4
2026-02-17Nettles MichelledirectorOption exercise6,3540Form 4
2026-02-17Frankiewicz RebeccadirectorOption exercise4,5350Form 4
2026-02-17Frankiewicz RebeccadirectorAward / grant4,53521,254Form 4
2026-02-17Rozek EricofficerAward / grant5651,212Form 4
2026-02-17PRISING JONASdirectorAward / grant52,86588,360Form 4
2026-02-17Nettles MichelledirectorAward / grant6,35444,067Form 4
2026-02-17McGinnis John TofficerAward / grant15,250108,565Form 4
2026-02-17Nettles MichelledirectorAward / grant6,35444,067Form 4
2026-02-17Frankiewicz RebeccadirectorAward / grant4,53521,254Form 4
2026-02-17PRISING JONASdirectorAward / grant52,86588,360Form 4
2026-02-17McGinnis John TofficerAward / grant15,250108,565Form 4
2026-02-17Rozek EricofficerAward / grant5651,212Form 4
2026-02-13Frankiewicz RebeccadirectorAward / grant38,38138,381Form 4
2026-02-13PRISING JONASdirectorAward / grant145,150145,150Form 4
2026-02-13McGinnis John TofficerAward / grant41,87041,870Form 4
2026-02-13Rozek EricofficerAward / grant4,3604,360Form 4
2026-02-13Nettles MichelledirectorAward / grant22,33122,331Form 4
2026-02-13PRISING JONASdirectorAward / grant35,49535,495Form 4
2026-02-13Frankiewicz RebeccadirectorAward / grant2,03216,719Form 4
2026-02-13Frankiewicz RebeccadirectorAward / grant2,03216,719Form 4
2026-02-13McGinnis John TofficerAward / grant10,24893,315Form 4
2026-02-13PRISING JONASdirectorAward / grant35,49535,495Form 4
2026-02-13McGinnis John TofficerAward / grant10,24893,315Form 4
2026-02-12Nettles MichelledirectorAward / grant4,27039,648Form 4
2026-02-12Nettles MichelledirectorWithheld for tax1,93537,713Form 4
2026-01-01Sartain Elizabeth PdirectorAward / grant6,05439,510Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-10-222025-09-25$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-10-222025-09-11$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-06-222023-05-09$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-06-222023-05-09$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-01-192022-12-14$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2023-01-192022-12-14$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2022-03-172022-02-15$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2022-03-172022-02-15$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-01-272021-12-14$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2022-01-272021-12-14$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2020-06-152020-05-15$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2020-06-152020-05-15$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2020-05-182020-04-02$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2020-05-182020-04-02$50–100K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.