MAMAMama's Creations, Inc.Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foodsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.25 · now $14.25 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MAMA has typically landed between $11.58 and $18.53 — a range of −18.7% to +30.0% from the issuance price $14.25.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,276 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.25) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MAMA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.25 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$11.58worst · -18.7%$18.53best · +30.0%
  • now $14.25 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $14.54 (+2.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $13.16–$15.92
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $11.58–$18.53
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,276 windows spanning 2021-07-19 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-04-25−38.3%−38.3%+0.0%
2022-04-21−35.5%−35.5%+0.0%
2022-04-26−32.4%−33.5%+2.9%
3 best
2022-12-01+85.0%+0.0%+90.0%
2022-12-02+83.2%+0.0%+88.1%
2022-11-28+79.2%−5.7%+79.2%

1,276 overlapping windows · 2021-07-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
+0.8%
n=5
Feb
40%
−2.4%
n=5
Mar
60%
−0.5%
n=5
Apr
80%
+5.0%
n=5
May
60%
+8.8%
n=5
Jun
40%
+9.0%
n=5
Jul
80%
+8.6%
n=5
Aug
50%
−0.8%
n=6
Sep
33%
−2.6%
n=6
Oct
60%
−2.9%
n=5
Nov
60%
+6.7%
n=5
Dec
60%
+19.3%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$21$82026-07-08: 1 insider sale, $9K — Tappan Moore III2026-04-16: 2 insider sales, $248K — Michaels Adam Laurance …2025-10-13: 1 insider sale, $38K — Michaels Adam Laurance2025-10-03: 1 insider sale, $21K — Tappan Moore III2025-09-23: 1 insider sale, $710K — Michaels Adam Laurance2025-09-18: 1 insider sale, $41K — Romig Shirley2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $751K2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $59K2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $248K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $9K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Tappan Moore III — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Michaels Adam Laurance — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Michaels Adam Laurance — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Michaels Adam Laurance — Sale on 2025-10-13, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Tappan Moore III — Sale on 2025-10-03, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Michaels Adam Laurance — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Romig Shirley — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-08Tappan Moore IIIofficerSale472 @ $18.65$9K−3.5% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open12,869Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-16Michaels Adam LaurancedirectorSale15,379 @ $15.27$235K−2.2% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open696,132Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-16Michaels Adam LaurancedirectorSale844 @ $15.84$13K−0.1% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open695,288Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-13Michaels Adam LaurancedirectorSale3,512 @ $10.70$38K−0.6% of holding−9.1%+37.2%595,148Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-03Tappan Moore IIIofficerSale2,039 @ $10.50$21K−17.2% of holding−1.0%+47.5%9,841Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-23Michaels Adam LaurancedirectorSale65,220 @ $10.89$710K−9.8% of holding−0.6%+44.6%598,660Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-18Romig ShirleydirectorSale4,000 @ $10.18$41K−18.9% of holding−0.1%+36.9%17,139Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

22 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-06Blake Lynn LarsondirectorAward / grant2,20020,135Form 4
2026-07-06HALVIN FREDdirectorAward / grant2,2002,200Form 4
2026-07-06Henson MeghandirectorAward / grant2,20023,339Form 4
2026-07-06Janeway DeandirectorAward / grant2,200347,419Form 4
2026-04-17Tappan Moore IIIofficerAward / grant3,50013,341Form 4
2026-04-17Gruber AnthonyofficerAward / grant3,5009,200Form 4
2026-04-17Michaels Adam LaurancedirectorAward / grant82,300777,588Form 4
2026-04-08Michaels Adam LaurancedirectorAward / grant97,478711,511Form 4
2025-10-31Michaels Adam LaurancedirectorAward / grant18,885614,033Form 4
2025-07-07Blake Lynn LarsondirectorAward / grant4,50017,935Form 4
2025-07-07Henson MeghandirectorAward / grant4,50021,139Form 4
2025-07-07Romig ShirleydirectorAward / grant4,50021,139Form 4
2025-07-07Janeway DeandirectorAward / grant4,500345,219Form 4
2025-07-07Henson MeghandirectorAward / grant4,50021,139Form 4
2025-07-07Janeway DeandirectorAward / grant4,500345,219Form 4
2025-07-07Romig ShirleydirectorAward / grant4,50021,139Form 4
2025-07-07Blake Lynn LarsondirectorAward / grant4,50017,935Form 4
2025-06-06Gruber AnthonyofficerAward / grant5,7005,700Form 4
2025-06-06Gruber AnthonyofficerAward / grant5,7005,700Form 4
2025-06-06Tappan Moore IIIofficerAward / grant5,70011,880Form 4
2025-06-06Tappan Moore IIIofficerAward / grant5,70011,880Form 4
2025-04-15Michaels Adam LaurancedirectorAward / grant94,200663,880Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.