MAGN · TickerCove

MAGNMagnera CorpConsumer Defensive · Household & Personal Productsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.64 · now $11.64 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MAGN has typically landed between $8.35 and $15.06 — a range of −28.3% to +29.4% from the issuance price $11.64.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.64) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$11.64 · 50% of range

$7.96 low$15.26 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−5.2%

typical move · IQR 21.9%

−28.3%worst (p90)+29.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where MAGN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.64 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $11.64 (+0.0%)
typical $11.03 (-5.2%)
middle 50% $9.76–$12.31
90% range $8.35–$15.06

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-09-15	−52.9%	−52.9%	+5.7%
2022-09-14	−47.0%	−47.0%	+13.1%
2009-02-05	−45.9%	−45.9%	+1.4%
3 best
2025-11-19	+87.6%	+0.0%	+87.8%
2025-11-18	+85.0%	−1.1%	+85.7%
2025-11-17	+80.4%	−2.5%	+83.2%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

+2.8%

n=20

Feb

45%

+0.1%

n=20

Mar

55%

−0.5%

n=20

Apr

55%

+2.6%

n=20

May

45%

−4.4%

n=20

Jun

55%

−1.0%

n=20

Jul

60%

+2.2%

n=20

Aug

45%

−3.7%

n=20

Sep

40%

−1.5%

n=20

Oct

65%

+1.6%

n=20

Nov

45%

+1.0%

n=20

Dec

65%

+1.0%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-06-05	Marnick Samantha J.	director	Purchase	4,000 @ $12.38	$50K	ownership Δ n/a	−0.5%	−9.2%	4,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-04	Curless Michael S	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $12.29	$123K	ownership Δ n/a	+3.1%	−1.3%	10,000	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-29	Brown Bruce	director	Purchase	16,940 @ $11.81	$200K	+5881.9% of holding	−2.7%	+0.8%	17,228	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-28	Salmon Tom	director	Purchase	17,000 @ $11.94	$203K	+93.0% of holding	+4.1%	+1.3%	35,289	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-15	RICKERTSEN CARL J	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $13.65	$273K	+93.9% of holding	−4.6%	−47.5%	41,306	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-12	Fogarty Kevin Michael	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $15.15	$303K	+173.3% of holding	−7.4%	−56.5%	31,538	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-09	Begle Curt	director	Purchase	20,275 @ $14.01	$284K	+84.2% of holding	−6.2%	−56.6%	44,341	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-27	RICKERTSEN CARL J	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $20.33	$407K	+1531.4% of holding	−5.1%	−50.8%	21,306	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11	Begle Curt	director	Purchase	23,786 @ $21.08	$501K	+8495.0% of holding	−4.8%	−43.8%	24,066	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

79 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-09	Fahnemann Thomas	director	Award / grant	12,998	12,998	Form 4
2026-03-09	Curless Michael S	director	Award / grant	12,998	12,998	Form 4
2026-03-09	Hall Mary Dean	director	Award / grant	12,998	12,998	Form 4
2026-03-09	Fogarty Kevin Michael	director	Award / grant	12,998	12,998	Form 4
2026-03-09	Brown Bruce	director	Award / grant	12,998	12,998	Form 4
2026-03-09	RICKERTSEN CARL J	director	Award / grant	12,998	12,998	Form 4
2026-03-09	Marnick Samantha J.	director	Award / grant	12,998	12,998	Form 4
2026-03-09	Salmon Tom	director	Award / grant	12,998	12,998	Form 4
2026-02-28	Urey Jill L.	officer	Option exercise	1,571	5,655	Form 4
2026-02-28	Urey Jill L.	officer	Withheld for tax	521	5,134	Form 4
2026-02-28	Urey Jill L.	officer	Option exercise	1,571	1,620	Form 4
2026-02-24	Urey Jill L.	officer	Option exercise	205	4,152	Form 4
2026-02-24	Urey Jill L.	officer	Withheld for tax	68	4,084	Form 4
2026-02-24	Urey Jill L.	officer	Option exercise	205	0	Form 4
2025-11-14	RICKERTSEN CARL J	director	Award / grant	5,871	5,871	Form 4
2025-11-14	Urey Jill L.	officer	Award / grant	14,285	14,285	Form 4
2025-11-14	Salmon Tom	director	Award / grant	5,871	5,871	Form 4
2025-11-14	Manroa Tarun	officer	Award / grant	34,285	34,285	Form 4
2025-11-14	Begle Curt	director	Award / grant	131,428	131,428	Form 4
2025-11-14	Till James	officer	Award / grant	34,285	34,285	Form 4
2025-11-14	Marnick Samantha J.	director	Award / grant	5,871	5,871	Form 4
2025-11-14	Brown Bruce	director	Award / grant	5,871	5,871	Form 4
2025-11-14	Hall Mary Dean	director	Award / grant	5,871	5,871	Form 4
2025-11-14	Curless Michael S	director	Award / grant	5,871	5,871	Form 4
2025-11-14	Fahnemann Thomas	director	Award / grant	5,871	5,871	Form 4
2025-11-14	Fogarty Kevin Michael	director	Award / grant	5,871	5,871	Form 4
2025-11-04	Begle Curt	director	Option exercise	18,208	18,208	Form 4
2025-11-04	Hall Mary Dean	director	Option exercise	9,501	9,501	Form 4
2025-11-04	Curless Michael S	director	Option exercise	9,501	9,501	Form 4
2025-11-04	Fogarty Kevin Michael	director	Option exercise	9,501	22,314	Form 4
2025-11-04	Brown Bruce	director	Option exercise	9,501	21,533	Form 4
2025-11-04	Salmon Tom	director	Option exercise	9,501	9,501	Form 4
2025-11-04	RICKERTSEN CARL J	director	Option exercise	9,501	50,807	Form 4
2025-11-04	Marnick Samantha J.	director	Option exercise	9,501	13,501	Form 4
2025-11-04	Fahnemann Thomas	director	Option exercise	7,125	83,622	Form 4
2025-11-04	Till James	officer	Option exercise	4,749	4,749	Form 4
2025-11-04	Manroa Tarun	officer	Option exercise	3,562	3,595	Form 4
2025-11-04	Till James	officer	Withheld for tax	2,023	2,726	Form 4
2025-11-04	Urey Jill L.	officer	Option exercise	1,583	4,388	Form 4
2025-11-04	Manroa Tarun	officer	Withheld for tax	1,580	2,015	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i