MAMastercard IncorporatedFinancial Services · Financial - Credit Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $567.75 · now $567.75 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, MA has typically landed between $514.32 and $625.10 — a range of −9.4% to +10.1% from the issuance price $567.75.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($567.75) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where MA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $567.75 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$514.32worst · -9.4%$625.1best · +10.1%
  • now $567.75 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $573.45 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $550.24$596.67
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $514.32$625.1
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−40.2%−40.2%+0.0%
2020-02-20−38.6%−38.6%+0.0%
2020-02-19−34.1%−34.1%+0.0%
3 best
2009-01-26+32.1%+0.0%+33.3%
2008-04-02+31.4%+0.0%+31.4%
2008-04-07+30.8%−0.7%+30.8%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$476.8B
market cap
$17.28
EPS (TTM)
31.2
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$32.8B
'20'25
Net income$15.0B
'20'25
Free cash flow$16.9B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr45.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr193.5%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr2.46
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 69 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $567.75$246.61$775.47
  • DCF (intrinsic)$545.54
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.4× · n=69$283.08
  • Analyst target · range $554.00$739.00$657.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$567.75

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+1.1%
n=18
Feb
58%
+2.1%
n=19
Mar
63%
+1.6%
n=19
Apr
84%
+5.0%
n=19
May
47%
+0.2%
n=19
Jun
47%
−0.9%
n=19
Jul
95%
+4.5%
n=19
Aug
63%
+1.7%
n=19
Sep
42%
−1.1%
n=19
Oct
67%
+1.9%
n=18
Nov
67%
+3.9%
n=18
Dec
56%
+1.6%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$600$4712026-09-02: 1 insider sale, $1.9M — SACHIN J. MEHRA2026-08-31: 1 insider sale, $548K — Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia2026-08-20: 1 insider sale, $572K — SACHIN J. MEHRA2026-08-19: 10 insider sales, $4.3M — SACHIN J. MEHRA …2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $673K — Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia2026-08-05: 8 insider sales, $10.6M — Miebach Michael, SACHIN J. MEHRA …2026-08-04: 8 insider sales, $2.4M — Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia …2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $9.6M — Miebach Michael2026-07-31: 1 insider sale, $9.4M — Miebach Michael2026-07-15: 9 insider sales, $10.7M — McLaughlin Edward Grunde, Arkell Sandra A …2026-07-14: 1 insider sale, $108K — Arkell Sandra A2026-07-07: 1 insider sale, $108K — Arkell Sandra A2026-07-06: 1 insider sale, $108K — Arkell Sandra A2026-07-02: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Seshadri Raj2026-07-01: 2 insider sales, $10.0M — McLaughlin Edward Grunde, Seshadri Raj2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $2.2M — Ling Hai2026-02-23: 22 insider sales, $2.3M — Ling Hai …2025-09-02: 9 insider sales, $10.2M — SACHIN J. MEHRA …2025-08-22: 1 insider sale, $2.7M — Ling Hai2025-08-19: 7 insider sales, $10.5M — SACHIN J. MEHRA …2025-08: 15 open-market sales, $17.0M2025-09: 9 open-market sales, $10.2M2026-02: 23 open-market sales, $4.5M2026-07: 16 open-market sales, $31.5M2026-08: 30 open-market sales, $28.7M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $1.9M↑ buys↓ salesdirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia — Sale on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed same daydirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Miebach Michael — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Miebach Michael — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Miebach Michael — Sale on 2026-07-31, filed 4 days after the tradedirector McLaughlin Edward Grunde — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed same daydirector McLaughlin Edward Grunde — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed same daydirector McLaughlin Edward Grunde — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed same daydirector McLaughlin Edward Grunde — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed same daydirector McLaughlin Edward Grunde — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed same daydirector McLaughlin Edward Grunde — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed same daydirector McLaughlin Edward Grunde — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed same daydirector McLaughlin Edward Grunde — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed same dayofficer Arkell Sandra A — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed same dayofficer Arkell Sandra A — Sale on 2026-07-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Arkell Sandra A — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Arkell Sandra A — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Seshadri Raj — Sale on 2026-07-02, filed same daydirector McLaughlin Edward Grunde — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Seshadri Raj — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Ling Hai — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 3 days after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SACHIN J. MEHRA — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale3,266 @ $584.00$1.9M−8.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open36,650Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-31Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerSale923 @ $593.54$548K−3.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open29,065Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-20SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale1,000 @ $572.07$572K−2.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open39,916Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale1,280 @ $576.82$738K−2.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open43,676Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale1,168 @ $575.77$672K−2.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open44,956Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale1,150 @ $574.73$661K−2.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open46,124Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale966 @ $573.99$554K−2.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open47,274Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale840 @ $581.58$489K−2.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open41,076Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale732 @ $580.39$425K−1.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open41,916Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale628 @ $577.90$363K−1.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open43,048Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale400 @ $579.35$232K−0.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open42,648Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale160 @ $582.25$93K−0.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open40,916Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale120 @ $572.41$69K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open48,240Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerSale1,191 @ $565.24$673K−3.8% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open29,988Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05Miebach MichaeldirectorSale15,372 @ $575.00$8.8M−14.1% of holding+2.2%not yet — horizon still open93,693Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale880 @ $571.38$503K−2.1% of holding+2.2%not yet — horizon still open41,916Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale880 @ $570.41$502K−2.0% of holding+2.2%not yet — horizon still open42,796Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale440 @ $573.75$252K−1.1% of holding+2.2%not yet — horizon still open41,196Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale280 @ $572.69$160K−0.7% of holding+2.2%not yet — horizon still open41,636Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale240 @ $569.18$137K−0.5% of holding+2.2%not yet — horizon still open43,676Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale200 @ $576.33$115K−0.5% of holding+2.2%not yet — horizon still open40,996Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorSale80 @ $576.96$46K−0.2% of holding+2.2%not yet — horizon still open40,916Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerSale1,680 @ $571.22$960K−5.0% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open32,179Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerSale880 @ $572.06$503K−2.7% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open31,299Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerSale600 @ $566.68$340K−1.7% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open34,819Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerSale400 @ $569.98$228K−1.2% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open33,859Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerSale360 @ $569.18$205K−1.0% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open34,259Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerSale200 @ $568.00$114K−0.6% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open34,619Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerSale120 @ $572.89$69K−0.4% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open31,179Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerSale40 @ $564.92$23K−0.1% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open35,419Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03Miebach MichaeldirectorSale16,628 @ $580.00$9.6M−13.2% of holding+1.2%not yet — horizon still open109,065Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-31Miebach MichaeldirectorSale16,628 @ $567.68$9.4M−12.5% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open115,921Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-15McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorSale6,159 @ $534.66$3.3M−11.9% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open45,769Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-15McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorSale3,431 @ $538.09$1.8M−7.9% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open39,828Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-15McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorSale3,440 @ $533.75$1.8M−6.2% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open51,928Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-15McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorSale2,510 @ $536.95$1.3M−5.5% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open43,259Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-15McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorSale1,903 @ $529.45$1.0M−3.3% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open56,636Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-15McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorSale1,108 @ $530.67$588K−2.0% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open55,528Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-15McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorSale1,089 @ $538.82$587K−2.7% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open38,739Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-15McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorSale160 @ $531.63$85K−0.3% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open55,368Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-15Arkell Sandra AofficerSale144 @ $540.00$78K−4.9% of holding+2.9%not yet — horizon still open2,778Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-14Arkell Sandra AofficerSale200 @ $540.00$108K−6.4% of holding+1.3%not yet — horizon still open2,922Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-07Arkell Sandra AofficerSale200 @ $540.00$108K−6.0% of holding+4.5%not yet — horizon still open3,122Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-06Arkell Sandra AofficerSale200 @ $540.00$108K−5.7% of holding+4.6%not yet — horizon still open3,322Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-02Seshadri RajdirectorSale1,977 @ $529.73$1.0M−10.7% of holding+4.3%not yet — horizon still open16,429Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-01McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorSale14,260 @ $525.19$7.5M−26.9% of holding+9.7%not yet — horizon still open38,739Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01Seshadri RajdirectorSale4,828 @ $525.00$2.5M−22.7% of holding+9.7%not yet — horizon still open16,429Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24Ling HaiofficerSale4,485 @ $495.71$2.2M−14.9% of holding+5.1%+8.7%25,668Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale610 @ $493.24$301K−2.1% of holding+4.6%+8.9%28,943Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale512 @ $506.07$259K−1.8% of holding+4.6%+8.9%27,245Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale454 @ $507.01$230K−1.7% of holding+4.6%+8.9%26,791Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale440 @ $504.96$222K−1.6% of holding+4.6%+8.9%27,757Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale360 @ $492.17$177K−1.2% of holding+4.6%+8.9%29,553Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale294 @ $495.18$146K−1.0% of holding+4.6%+8.9%28,529Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale240 @ $509.54$122K−0.9% of holding+4.6%+8.9%26,351Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale241 @ $490.90$118K−0.8% of holding+4.6%+8.9%29,913Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale200 @ $508.15$102K−0.7% of holding+4.6%+8.9%26,591Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale160 @ $512.22$82K−0.6% of holding+4.6%+8.9%26,109Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale120 @ $519.34$62K−0.5% of holding+4.6%+8.9%25,829Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Ling HaiofficerSale120 @ $513.43$62K−0.5% of holding+4.6%+8.9%25,989Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

154 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorOption exercise7,44448,360Form 4
2026-08-19SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorOption exercise7,4447,800Form 4
2026-08-04Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerOption exercise4,28035,459Form 4
2026-08-04Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerOption exercise4,2800Form 4
2026-08-03Miebach MichaeldirectorOption exercise9,772125,693Form 4
2026-08-03Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerAward / grant1,77131,179Form 4
2026-08-03Dosis DimitriosofficerAward / grant2,30313,863Form 4
2026-08-03Ling HaiofficerAward / grant2,65735,839Form 4
2026-08-03Miebach MichaeldirectorOption exercise9,7720Form 4
2026-07-31Miebach MichaeldirectorOption exercise16,628132,549Form 4
2026-07-31Miebach MichaeldirectorOption exercise16,6289,772Form 4
2026-07-15McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorOption exercise19,80058,539Form 4
2026-07-15McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorOption exercise19,8000Form 4
2026-07-02Seshadri RajdirectorOption exercise1,97718,406Form 4
2026-07-02Seshadri RajdirectorOption exercise1,9770Form 4
2026-07-01McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorOption exercise14,26052,999Form 4
2026-07-01Seshadri RajdirectorOption exercise2,00021,257Form 4
2026-07-01Seshadri RajdirectorOption exercise2,0001,977Form 4
2026-07-01McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorOption exercise14,2600Form 4
2026-06-21Matsumoto OkidirectorWithheld for tax988,594Form 4
2026-06-16Qureshi RimadirectorWithheld for tax1,6416,828Form 4
2026-06-16Matsumoto OkidirectorAward / grant5098,692Form 4
2026-06-16Talwar HaritdirectorAward / grant5093,175Form 4
2026-06-16Uggla Lance Darrell GordondirectorAward / grant5099,841Form 4
2026-06-16Moon Youngme EdirectorAward / grant5095,052Form 4
2026-06-16Janow Merit EdirectorAward / grant68414,605Form 4
2026-06-16Sulzberger GabrielledirectorAward / grant5095,845Form 4
2026-06-16Bracher CandidodirectorAward / grant5093,392Form 4
2026-06-16DAVIS RICHARD KdirectorAward / grant50911,255Form 4
2026-06-16GENACHOWSKI JULIUSdirectorAward / grant5098,978Form 4
2026-06-16Goh Choon PhongdirectorAward / grant5096,310Form 4
2026-03-01Miebach MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax17,61173,763Form 4
2026-03-01SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorWithheld for tax7,79225,742Form 4
2026-03-01Vosburg CraigofficerWithheld for tax6,65353,747Form 4
2026-03-01Miebach MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax4,65179,822Form 4
2026-03-01Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaofficerWithheld for tax4,23420,657Form 4
2026-03-01McLaughlin Edward GrundedirectorWithheld for tax3,84928,433Form 4
2026-03-01Seshadri RajdirectorWithheld for tax3,18310,755Form 4
2026-03-01Lambert JornofficerWithheld for tax1,89311,151Form 4
2026-03-01SACHIN J. MEHRAdirectorWithheld for tax1,85229,030Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatesale2026-07-212026-03-27$15–50K
Tommy TubervilleSenatesale2026-07-162026-06-08$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-16$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-23$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-07-022026-06-05$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-06-102026-05-13$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-06-102026-05-07$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-06-102026-05-18$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.