Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.18 · now $30.18 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LZB has typically landed between $26.48 and $34.82 — a range of −12.3% to +15.4% from the issuance price $30.18.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.18) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LZB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30.18 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $30.18 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $30.13 (-0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $28.38–$31.88
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $26.48–$34.82
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-01-05 | −68.2% | −68.2% | +5.0% |
| 2009-01-06 | −66.8% | −69.7% | +0.0% |
| 2009-01-09 | −65.5% | −65.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-05 | +169.4% | +0.0% | +169.4% |
| 2009-05-28 | +165.3% | +0.0% | +165.3% |
| 2009-05-29 | +156.1% | +0.0% | +163.5% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Sundy Robert II | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $30.85 | $154K | −7.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 59,297 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | KERR JANET | director | Sale | 3,653 @ $31.75 | $116K | −47.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,125 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Linz Terrence James | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $40.23 | $101K | −3.7% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 64,383 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Richmond Raphaell Z. | officer | Sale | 13,671 @ $39.83 | $545K | −20.9% of holding | +4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 51,695 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | McCurry Jennifer Lynn | officer | Sale | 3,715 @ $41.05 | $153K | −18.1% of holding | −1.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,763 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Leggett Michael Adam | officer | Sale | 9,000 @ $41.66 | $375K | −15.9% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 47,551 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Whittington Melinda D | director | Sale | 7,364 @ $40.00 | $295K | −1.7% of holding | −4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 415,061 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Whittington Melinda D | director | Sale | 26,639 @ $40.24 | $1.1M | −7.8% of holding | −2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 316,038 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | McCurry Jennifer Lynn | officer | Sale | 3,410 @ $40.60 | $138K | −18.1% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,453 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Leggett Michael Adam | officer | Sale | 2,200 @ $37.00 | $81K | −4.9% of holding | −6.0% | −19.4% | 42,473 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | KERR JANET | director | Sale | 3,372 @ $35.70 | $120K | −48.0% of holding | −10.9% | −9.0% | 3,653 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
270 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Alexander Erika L. | director | Award / grant | 4,125 | 19,622 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Boor William C | director | Award / grant | 4,125 | 6,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Baer Matt | director | Award / grant | 4,125 | 9,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | O'Grady Rebecca L | director | Award / grant | 4,125 | 19,622 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | LaVigne Mark Stephen | director | Award / grant | 4,125 | 16,893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Lawton Michael T | director | Award / grant | 4,125 | 19,622 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | PETERS LAUREN B | director | Award / grant | 4,125 | 19,622 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | KERR JANET | director | Award / grant | 4,125 | 7,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | Haider Raza Syed | director | Award / grant | 4,125 | 15,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lee Carol Young | officer | Withheld for tax | 122 | 36,645 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | McCurry Jennifer Lynn | officer | Withheld for tax | 108 | 16,266 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Richmond Raphaell Z. | officer | Option exercise | 13,671 | 65,366 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Richmond Raphaell Z. | officer | Option exercise | 13,671 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-28 | Whittington Melinda D | director | Withheld for tax | 3,381 | 393,984 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-28 | Leggett Michael Adam | officer | Withheld for tax | 365 | 46,018 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-28 | Richmond Raphaell Z. | officer | Withheld for tax | 317 | 51,695 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-28 | Sundy Robert II | officer | Withheld for tax | 296 | 64,297 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-28 | Linz Terrence James | officer | Withheld for tax | 295 | 66,883 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-28 | Vanderjagt Katherine E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 283 | 56,289 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-28 | Lee Carol Young | officer | Withheld for tax | 194 | 36,767 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-28 | McCurry Jennifer Lynn | officer | Withheld for tax | 136 | 16,374 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-28 | Luebke Taylor Edward | officer | Withheld for tax | 127 | 37,123 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Whittington Melinda D | director | Withheld for tax | 6,376 | 397,365 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Sundy Robert II | officer | Withheld for tax | 683 | 64,593 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Linz Terrence James | officer | Withheld for tax | 661 | 67,178 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Leggett Michael Adam | officer | Withheld for tax | 659 | 46,383 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Richmond Raphaell Z. | officer | Withheld for tax | 608 | 52,012 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Vanderjagt Katherine E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 534 | 56,572 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Lee Carol Young | officer | Withheld for tax | 342 | 36,961 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | McCurry Jennifer Lynn | officer | Withheld for tax | 253 | 16,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Luebke Taylor Edward | officer | Withheld for tax | 214 | 37,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Whittington Melinda D | director | Withheld for tax | 5,096 | 403,741 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Leggett Michael Adam | officer | Withheld for tax | 509 | 47,042 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Sundy Robert II | officer | Withheld for tax | 497 | 65,276 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Linz Terrence James | officer | Withheld for tax | 482 | 67,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Richmond Raphaell Z. | officer | Withheld for tax | 474 | 52,620 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Vanderjagt Katherine E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 408 | 57,106 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Lee Carol Young | officer | Withheld for tax | 262 | 37,303 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | McCurry Jennifer Lynn | officer | Withheld for tax | 193 | 20,478 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Luebke Taylor Edward | officer | Withheld for tax | 159 | 37,464 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.