LYTS · TickerCove

LYTSLSI Industries Inc.Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $20.33 · now $20.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LYTS has typically landed between $17.37 and $25.56 — a range of −14.5% to +25.7% from the issuance price $20.33.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($20.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$20.33 · 33% of range

$17.17 low$26.8 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.5%

typical move · IQR 14.2%

−14.5%worst (p90)+25.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where LYTS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $20.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $20.33 (+0.0%)
typical $20.64 (+1.5%)
middle 50% $19.19–$22.09
90% range $17.37–$25.56

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−62.3%	−62.3%	+6.2%
2020-02-21	−61.9%	−64.5%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−61.3%	−64.1%	+1.1%
3 best
2020-03-18	+109.5%	+0.0%	+110.4%
2009-03-05	+93.4%	+0.0%	+93.4%
2020-03-24	+92.3%	+0.0%	+92.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

+0.2%

n=20

Feb

45%

−1.6%

n=20

Mar

50%

−1.3%

n=20

Apr

50%

+4.6%

n=20

May

35%

−1.3%

n=20

Jun

55%

+0.5%

n=20

Jul

50%

+0.7%

n=20

Aug

50%

+3.5%

n=20

Sep

55%

+1.7%

n=20

Oct

55%

+3.8%

n=20

Nov

55%

+3.8%

n=20

Dec

50%

+0.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-26	Clark James Anthony	director	Sale	13,907 @ $20.28	$282K	−2.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	595,734	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-26	Galeese James E	officer	Sale	4,778 @ $20.28	$97K	−2.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	185,962	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-26	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Sale	3,170 @ $20.28	$64K	−4.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	73,109	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25	Clark James Anthony	director	Sale	23,706 @ $20.09	$476K	−3.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	609,641	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25	Galeese James E	officer	Sale	8,269 @ $20.09	$166K	−4.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	190,740	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Sale	5,560 @ $20.09	$112K	−6.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	76,279	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-24	Clark James Anthony	director	Sale	23,340 @ $19.78	$462K	−3.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	633,347	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-24	Galeese James E	officer	Sale	8,141 @ $19.78	$161K	−3.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	199,009	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-24	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Sale	5,474 @ $19.78	$108K	−6.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	81,839	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-24	MARSHALL ERNEST W JR	director	Purchase	1,300 @ $19.77	$26K	+4.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	27,943	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-24	MARSHALL ERNEST W JR	director	Purchase	700 @ $19.65	$14K	+2.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	28,643	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-01	OGARA WILFRED T	director	Sale	10,369 @ $24.09	$250K	−9.1% of holding	+10.9%	not yet — horizon still open	103,686	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-01	OGARA WILFRED T	director	Sale	10,369 @ $24.09	$250K	−9.1% of holding	+10.9%	not yet — horizon still open	103,686	Form 4 · filed 42 days after the trade
2026-05-28	Galeese James E	officer	Sale	75,606 @ $24.29	$1.8M	−30.4% of holding	+10.7%	not yet — horizon still open	173,288	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-28	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Sale	60,000 @ $24.29	$1.5M	−34.5% of holding	+10.7%	not yet — horizon still open	114,016	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-28	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Sale	41,075 @ $24.29	$998K	−38.8% of holding	+10.7%	not yet — horizon still open	64,790	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-28	Galeese James E	officer	Sale	38,386 @ $24.29	$932K	−18.1% of holding	+10.7%	not yet — horizon still open	173,288	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-28	Galeese James E	officer	Sale	22,586 @ $24.29	$549K	−11.5% of holding	+10.7%	not yet — horizon still open	173,288	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-28	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Sale	8,151 @ $24.29	$198K	−7.1% of holding	+10.7%	not yet — horizon still open	105,865	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11	Clark James Anthony	director	Sale	29,891 @ $22.66	$677K	+7.6% of holding	−5.0%	−16.5%	421,313	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-10	Clark James Anthony	director	Sale	220,109 @ $22.75	$5.0M	+109.4% of holding	−6.0%	−16.8%	421,313	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10	Clark James Anthony	director	Sale	39,067 @ $22.75	$889K	−8.5% of holding	−6.0%	−16.8%	421,313	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-09	Clark James Anthony	director	Sale	210,933 @ $22.86	$4.8M	−33.4% of holding	−6.5%	−18.3%	421,313	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-08	Galeese James E	officer	Sale	32,874 @ $23.29	$766K	−15.9% of holding	−11.4%	−22.3%	173,288	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-08	Galeese James E	officer	Sale	21,701 @ $23.29	$505K	−11.1% of holding	−11.4%	−22.3%	173,288	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-27	Clark James Anthony	director	Sale	26,597 @ $23.08	$614K	−5.9% of holding	+2.4%	−10.4%	421,313	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-27	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Sale	7,544 @ $23.08	$174K	−6.2% of holding	+2.4%	−10.4%	114,016	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-27	Galeese James E	officer	Sale	6,064 @ $23.08	$140K	−3.4% of holding	+2.4%	−10.4%	173,288	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-26	Clark James Anthony	director	Sale	24,020 @ $22.95	$551K	−5.1% of holding	+0.1%	−16.5%	447,910	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Sale	6,449 @ $22.95	$148K	−5.0% of holding	+0.1%	−16.5%	121,864	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26	Galeese James E	officer	Sale	6,268 @ $22.95	$144K	−3.4% of holding	+0.1%	−16.5%	179,352	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25	Clark James Anthony	director	Sale	23,109 @ $23.01	$532K	−4.7% of holding	+0.5%	−8.3%	471,930	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-25	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Sale	6,239 @ $23.01	$144K	−4.6% of holding	+0.5%	−8.3%	128,319	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-25	Galeese James E	officer	Sale	6,013 @ $23.01	$138K	−3.1% of holding	+0.5%	−8.3%	185,620	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

99 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-19	MARSHALL ERNEST W JR	director	Award / grant	1,455	26,643	Form 4
2026-08-19	BROWN RONALD D	director	Award / grant	1,455	79,228	Form 4
2026-08-19	Hanson Amy	director	Award / grant	1,455	72,309	Form 4
2026-08-19	OGARA WILFRED T	director	Award / grant	1,455	110,977	Form 4
2026-08-19	Beech Robert P.	director	Award / grant	1,455	107,006	Form 4
2026-08-19	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Award / grant	15,207	87,313	Form 4
2026-08-19	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Award / grant	7,316	72,106	Form 4
2026-08-19	Clark James Anthony	director	Award / grant	41,563	462,876	Form 4
2026-08-19	Clark James Anthony	director	Award / grant	69,122	531,998	Form 4
2026-08-19	Clark James Anthony	director	Award / grant	124,689	656,687	Form 4
2026-08-19	Galeese James E	officer	Award / grant	8,978	182,266	Form 4
2026-08-19	Galeese James E	officer	Award / grant	24,884	207,150	Form 4
2026-07-01	MARSHALL ERNEST W JR	director	Award / grant	853	22,631	Form 4
2026-07-01	Beech Robert P.	director	Award / grant	853	102,994	Form 4
2026-07-01	BROWN RONALD D	director	Award / grant	853	75,216	Form 4
2026-07-01	OGARA WILFRED T	director	Award / grant	853	106,965	Form 4
2026-07-01	Hanson Amy	director	Award / grant	853	68,297	Form 4
2026-06-30	Clark James Anthony	director	Award / grant	7,125	217,366	Form 4
2026-06-30	Galeese James E	officer	Award / grant	2,463	79,412	Form 4
2026-06-30	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Award / grant	3,925	163,652	Form 4
2026-06-30	Galeese James E	officer	Award / grant	2,463	79,412	Form 4
2026-06-30	Clark James Anthony	director	Award / grant	7,125	217,366	Form 4
2026-06-30	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Award / grant	3,925	163,652	Form 4
2026-05-28	Galeese James E	officer	Option exercise	75,606	248,894	Form 4
2026-05-28	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Option exercise	60,000	174,016	Form 4
2026-05-28	Galeese James E	officer	Option exercise	38,386	211,674	Form 4
2026-05-28	Galeese James E	officer	Option exercise	22,586	195,874	Form 4
2026-05-28	Caneris Thomas A	officer	Option exercise	60,000	40,000	Form 4
2026-05-28	Galeese James E	officer	Option exercise	22,586	0	Form 4
2026-05-28	Galeese James E	officer	Option exercise	38,386	0	Form 4
2026-05-28	Galeese James E	officer	Option exercise	75,606	0	Form 4
2026-04-01	MARSHALL ERNEST W JR	director	Award / grant	1,200	21,770	Form 4
2026-04-01	Hanson Amy	director	Award / grant	1,200	67,436	Form 4
2026-04-01	OGARA WILFRED T	director	Award / grant	1,200	106,104	Form 4
2026-04-01	Lenard Chantel E	director	Award / grant	1,200	39,191	Form 4
2026-04-01	Beech Robert P.	director	Award / grant	1,200	102,141	Form 4
2026-04-01	BROWN RONALD D	director	Award / grant	1,200	74,363	Form 4
2026-01-02	Beech Robert P.	director	Award / grant	1,218	100,941	Form 4
2026-01-02	MARSHALL ERNEST W JR	director	Award / grant	1,218	20,570	Form 4
2026-01-02	Lenard Chantel E	director	Award / grant	1,218	37,991	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i