LXULSB Industries, Inc.Basic Materials · Chemicalsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.06 · now $11.06 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LXU has typically landed between $8.88 and $13.80 — a range of −19.7% to +24.8% from the issuance price $11.06.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.06) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LXU has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.06 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$8.88worst · -19.7%$13.8best · +24.8%
  • now $11.06 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.05 (-0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.98–$12.11
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.88–$13.8
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2015-10-14−65.0%−65.0%+0.0%
2015-11-04−62.9%−62.9%+0.0%
2015-10-16−61.5%−64.8%+0.0%
3 best
2020-07-17+161.1%−9.5%+161.1%
2016-02-19+153.6%−1.5%+153.6%
2016-02-18+144.0%−4.9%+144.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
+0.6%
n=20
Feb
55%
+7.2%
n=20
Mar
60%
+9.0%
n=20
Apr
55%
+1.8%
n=20
May
50%
−1.3%
n=20
Jun
50%
−1.6%
n=20
Jul
55%
+4.3%
n=20
Aug
55%
+5.8%
n=20
Sep
60%
−2.8%
n=20
Oct
60%
−0.0%
n=20
Nov
50%
−1.2%
n=20
Dec
60%
+4.0%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$17$82026-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $10K — Ackerman Jonathan Z.2026-06-10: 1 insider sale, $472K — White Lynn F2026-06-08: 1 insider sale, $118K — CARVER KRISTY2026-03-26: 1 insider sale, $72.6M — Boehly Todd L2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $2.9M — BEHRMAN MARK T2026-02-26: 1 insider sale, $23K — CARVER KRISTY2026-02-11: 2 insider sales, $179K — GOLSEN BARRY H …2026-02-10: 2 insider sales, $256K — GOLSEN BARRY H …2026-02-09: 2 insider sales, $33K — GOLSEN BARRY H …2026-01-23: 2 insider sales, $160K — GOLSEN BARRY H …2026-01-22: 2 insider sales, $65K — GOLSEN BARRY H …2026-01-21: 2 insider sales, $971K — GOLSEN BARRY H …2026-01-15: 3 insider sales, $31K — MAGUIRE CHERYL, GOLSEN BARRY H …2026-01-14: 4 insider sales, $427K — CARVER KRISTY, GOLSEN BARRY H, MAGUIRE CHERYL …2026-01-09: 1 insider sale, $516K — GOLSEN BARRY H2026-01-08: 3 insider sales, $1.1M — GOLSEN BARRY H …2025-12-12: 2 insider sales, $272K — GOLSEN BARRY H …2025-12-11: 2 insider sales, $490K — GOLSEN BARRY H …2025-12-05: 2 insider sales, $245K — GOLSEN BARRY H …2025-12-04: 2 insider sales, $1.0M — GOLSEN BARRY H …2025-12: 8 open-market sales, $2.0M2026-01: 17 open-market sales, $3.3M2026-02: 7 open-market sales, $491K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $75.5M2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $590K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $10K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Ackerman Jonathan Z. — Purchase on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector White Lynn F — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer CARVER KRISTY — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Boehly Todd L — Sale on 2026-03-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BEHRMAN MARK T — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer CARVER KRISTY — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed same daydirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed same daydirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed same daydirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed same daydirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed 2 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer MAGUIRE CHERYL — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer CARVER KRISTY — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer MAGUIRE CHERYL — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 3 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-08, filed 4 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-08, filed 4 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2026-01-08, filed 4 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector GOLSEN BARRY H — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12Ackerman Jonathan Z.directorPurchase1,000 @ $9.89$10K+10.8% of holding+18.4%not yet — horizon still open10,252Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-10White Lynn FdirectorSale40,000 @ $11.80$472K−16.5% of holding−8.8%not yet — horizon still open202,489Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08CARVER KRISTYofficerSale9,554 @ $12.38$118K−16.8% of holding−13.5%not yet — horizon still open47,452Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-26Boehly Todd LdirectorSale4,889,159 @ $14.85$72.6M−32.0% of holding−24.6%not yet — horizon still open10,374,334Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-02BEHRMAN MARK TdirectorSale250,000 @ $11.75$2.9M−14.4% of holding+29.8%−23.0%1,487,195Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-26CARVER KRISTYofficerSale2,091 @ $10.99$23K−3.5% of holding+49.0%−22.0%57,006Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-11GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale13,386 @ $10.04$134K−100.0% of holding+48.7%−17.5%0Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-11GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale4,427 @ $10.04$44K−8.7% of holding+48.7%−17.5%46,619Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-10GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale19,162 @ $10.04$192K−58.9% of holding+58.6%−13.2%13,386Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale6,339 @ $10.04$64K−11.0% of holding+58.6%−13.2%51,046Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale2,495 @ $10.00$25K−7.1% of holding+38.2%−11.2%32,548Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale826 @ $10.00$8K−1.4% of holding+38.2%−11.2%57,385Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-23GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale11,967 @ $10.03$120K−25.5% of holding+2.1%+8.2%35,043Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-23GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale3,959 @ $10.03$40K−6.4% of holding+2.1%+8.2%58,211Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-22GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale4,884 @ $10.02$49K−9.4% of holding+4.2%+17.7%47,010Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-22GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale1,616 @ $10.02$16K−2.5% of holding+4.2%+17.7%62,170Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-21GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale72,553 @ $10.06$730K−58.3% of holding+0.2%+14.3%51,894Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-21GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale24,001 @ $10.06$241K−27.3% of holding+0.2%+14.3%63,786Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-15MAGUIRE CHERYLofficerSale1,550 @ $10.00$16K−0.8% of holding−1.4%+6.2%199,169Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-15GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale1,164 @ $10.00$12K−0.9% of holding−1.4%+6.2%124,447Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-15GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale386 @ $10.00$4K−0.4% of holding−1.4%+6.2%87,787Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-14CARVER KRISTYofficerSale19,550 @ $9.99$195K−27.1% of holding+0.6%+6.7%52,613Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-14GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale8,600 @ $10.00$86K−8.9% of holding+0.6%+6.7%88,173Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-14MAGUIRE CHERYLofficerSale7,551 @ $10.00$76K−3.6% of holding+0.6%+6.7%200,719Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-14GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale7,000 @ $10.00$70K−5.3% of holding+0.6%+6.7%125,611Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-09GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale56,744 @ $9.10$516K−30.0% of holding+7.5%+11.4%132,611Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-08GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale87,772 @ $9.23$810K−31.7% of holding+6.6%+12.1%189,355Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-08GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale18,695 @ $9.06$169K−16.2% of holding+6.6%+12.1%96,773Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-08GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale12,486 @ $9.09$113K−9.8% of holding+6.6%+12.1%115,468Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-12GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale22,572 @ $9.04$204K−12.6% of holding+9.8%+21.1%156,954Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-12GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale7,500 @ $9.04$68K−2.9% of holding+9.8%+21.1%248,127Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-11GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale40,916 @ $9.03$369K−18.6% of holding+6.3%+22.6%179,526Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-11GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale13,400 @ $9.03$121K−5.0% of holding+6.3%+22.6%255,627Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-05GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale20,704 @ $9.07$188K−8.6% of holding−0.5%+27.1%220,442Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-05GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale6,350 @ $9.07$58K−2.3% of holding−0.5%+27.1%269,027Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-04GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale84,034 @ $9.16$770K−25.8% of holding−3.6%+25.1%241,146Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-04GOLSEN BARRY HdirectorSale28,234 @ $9.16$259K−9.3% of holding−3.6%+25.1%275,377Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-05CHANDLER JOHN DdirectorPurchase8,000 @ $6.57$53Kownership Δ n/a+18.1%+10.5%8,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

79 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-22Peninger Diana MdirectorAward / grant9,25274,065Form 4
2026-05-22White Lynn FdirectorAward / grant9,252242,489Form 4
2026-05-22CHANDLER JOHN DdirectorAward / grant9,25234,012Form 4
2026-05-22Ackerman Jonathan Z.directorAward / grant9,2529,252Form 4
2026-05-22Bertocco RiccardodirectorAward / grant9,25226,012Form 4
2026-04-24BEHRMAN MARK TdirectorAward / grant706,8802,194,075Form 4
2026-03-12MAGUIRE CHERYLofficerDisposition20,000198,065Form 4
2026-02-04Bemis Scott DofficerAward / grant10,58432,156Form 4
2026-02-04CARVER KRISTYofficerAward / grant8,12459,097Form 4
2026-02-04BEHRMAN MARK TdirectorAward / grant153,6041,737,195Form 4
2026-02-04Renwick DamienofficerAward / grant25,115123,829Form 4
2026-02-04Foster Michael J.officerAward / grant26,545351,575Form 4
2026-02-04MAGUIRE CHERYLofficerAward / grant29,462218,065Form 4
2026-01-26BEHRMAN MARK TdirectorAward / grant67,8841,613,528Form 4
2026-01-26BEHRMAN MARK TdirectorWithheld for tax29,9371,583,591Form 4
2026-01-26BEHRMAN MARK TdirectorWithheld for tax14,0341,545,644Form 4
2026-01-26MAGUIRE CHERYLofficerAward / grant12,274194,016Form 4
2026-01-26Foster Michael J.officerAward / grant12,159330,393Form 4
2026-01-26Renwick DamienofficerAward / grant8,182102,310Form 4
2026-01-26MAGUIRE CHERYLofficerWithheld for tax5,413188,603Form 4
2026-01-26Foster Michael J.officerWithheld for tax5,363325,030Form 4
2026-01-26CARVER KRISTYofficerAward / grant3,74752,825Form 4
2026-01-26Renwick DamienofficerWithheld for tax3,59798,713Form 4
2026-01-26MAGUIRE CHERYLofficerWithheld for tax2,538181,742Form 4
2026-01-26Foster Michael J.officerWithheld for tax2,514318,234Form 4
2026-01-26CARVER KRISTYofficerWithheld for tax1,85250,973Form 4
2026-01-26Renwick DamienofficerWithheld for tax1,69294,128Form 4
2026-01-26CARVER KRISTYofficerWithheld for tax86849,078Form 4
2026-01-21MAGUIRE CHERYLofficerDisposition5,899184,280Form 4
2026-01-17BEHRMAN MARK TdirectorWithheld for tax23,1981,559,678Form 4
2026-01-17Foster Michael J.officerWithheld for tax4,514320,748Form 4
2026-01-17MAGUIRE CHERYLofficerWithheld for tax4,508190,179Form 4
2026-01-17Renwick DamienofficerWithheld for tax4,16195,820Form 4
2026-01-17CARVER KRISTYofficerWithheld for tax1,42549,946Form 4
2026-01-16BEHRMAN MARK TdirectorWithheld for tax21,5271,582,876Form 4
2026-01-16MAGUIRE CHERYLofficerWithheld for tax4,482194,687Form 4
2026-01-16Foster Michael J.officerWithheld for tax4,049325,262Form 4
2026-01-16Renwick DamienofficerWithheld for tax3,63699,981Form 4
2026-01-16Bemis Scott DofficerWithheld for tax1,61121,572Form 4
2026-01-16CARVER KRISTYofficerWithheld for tax1,24251,371Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.