Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.16 · now $4.16 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LXEO has typically landed between $2.82 and $6.12 — a range of −32.2% to +47.2% from the issuance price $4.16.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
697 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-11-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.16) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LXEO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.16 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.16 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.05 (-2.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.49–$4.61
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.82–$6.12
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-01-30 | −55.4% | −55.4% | +10.7% |
| 2025-01-31 | −54.0% | −56.9% | +7.0% |
| 2025-02-05 | −53.5% | −59.7% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-09-22 | +80.8% | +0.0% | +80.8% |
| 2025-09-19 | +79.0% | +0.0% | +86.0% |
| 2025-09-18 | +75.5% | −5.7% | +75.5% |
697 overlapping windows · 2023-11-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Tamayo Louis Edward | officer | Sale | 4,117 @ $4.91 | $20K | −4.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 92,907 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 3,345 @ $4.95 | $17K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 374,472 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Sale | 1,304 @ $4.96 | $6K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 136,178 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 25,947 @ $4.48 | $116K | −6.4% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 377,817 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Bhalla Narinder Pal | officer | Sale | 22,306 @ $4.42 | $99K | −21.3% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 82,194 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Sale | 4,666 @ $4.48 | $21K | −3.3% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 137,482 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Tamayo Louis Edward | officer | Sale | 4,641 @ $4.49 | $21K | −4.6% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 97,024 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 3,342 @ $5.06 | $17K | −1.0% of holding | +5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 336,764 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Sale | 1,302 @ $5.07 | $7K | −1.0% of holding | +5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 130,088 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 55,000 @ $5.69 | $313K | −13.9% of holding | −6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 340,106 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 10,173 @ $6.38 | $65K | −2.5% of holding | −4.1% | −27.3% | 392,483 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Sale | 3,016 @ $6.40 | $19K | −2.3% of holding | −4.1% | −27.3% | 125,460 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 1,127 @ $9.27 | $10K | −0.5% of holding | +6.0% | −56.2% | 240,991 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Adler Eric | officer | Sale | 615 @ $9.27 | $6K | −0.8% of holding | +6.0% | −56.2% | 72,646 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Robertson Jenny | officer | Sale | 549 @ $9.27 | $5K | −0.8% of holding | +6.0% | −56.2% | 68,381 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | See Tai Sandi | officer | Sale | 386 @ $9.27 | $4K | −0.6% of holding | +6.0% | −56.2% | 65,476 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-17 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 12,985 @ $8.94 | $116K | −5.1% of holding | −1.2% | −40.9% | 242,266 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-17 | See Tai Sandi | officer | Sale | 3,844 @ $8.94 | $34K | −5.5% of holding | −1.2% | −40.9% | 65,906 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-17 | Robertson Jenny | officer | Sale | 3,486 @ $8.94 | $31K | −4.8% of holding | −1.2% | −40.9% | 68,970 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-17 | Adler Eric | officer | Sale | 3,344 @ $8.94 | $30K | −4.4% of holding | −1.2% | −40.9% | 73,299 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-17 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Sale | 2,091 @ $8.94 | $19K | −3.2% of holding | −1.2% | −40.9% | 64,221 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-17 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 148 @ $9.56 | $1K | −0.1% of holding | −1.2% | −40.9% | 242,118 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-17 | See Tai Sandi | officer | Sale | 44 @ $9.56 | $421 | −0.1% of holding | −1.2% | −40.9% | 65,862 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-17 | Robertson Jenny | officer | Sale | 40 @ $9.56 | $382 | −0.1% of holding | −1.2% | −40.9% | 68,930 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-17 | Adler Eric | officer | Sale | 38 @ $9.56 | $363 | −0.1% of holding | −1.2% | −40.9% | 73,261 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-17 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Sale | 24 @ $9.56 | $229 | −0.0% of holding | −1.2% | −40.9% | 64,197 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-18 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Sale | 2,848 @ $4.67 | $13K | −4.5% of holding | +6.5% | +20.6% | 60,372 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 2,735 @ $4.67 | $13K | −1.2% of holding | +6.5% | +20.6% | 220,058 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Sale | 721 @ $9.27 | $7K | −1.1% of holding | +6.5% | +20.6% | 63,476 | Form 4 · filed 94 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Adler Eric | officer | Sale | 608 @ $4.67 | $3K | −0.9% of holding | +6.5% | +20.6% | 67,073 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Robertson Jenny | officer | Sale | 542 @ $4.67 | $3K | −0.9% of holding | +6.5% | +20.6% | 62,556 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | See Tai Sandi | officer | Sale | 382 @ $4.67 | $2K | −0.6% of holding | +6.5% | +20.6% | 58,860 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 1,074 @ $2.77 | $3K | −0.5% of holding | +20.4% | +165.3% | 221,173 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Adler Eric | officer | Sale | 585 @ $2.77 | $2K | −0.9% of holding | +20.4% | +165.3% | 67,681 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Robertson Jenny | officer | Sale | 521 @ $2.77 | $1K | −0.8% of holding | +20.4% | +165.3% | 63,098 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | See Tai Sandi | officer | Sale | 367 @ $2.77 | $1K | −0.6% of holding | +20.4% | +165.3% | 59,242 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 4,326 @ $4.41 | $19K | −1.9% of holding | −31.9% | +2.9% | 220,119 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | Adler Eric | officer | Sale | 2,359 @ $4.41 | $10K | −3.3% of holding | −31.9% | +2.9% | 68,266 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | Robertson Jenny | officer | Sale | 2,101 @ $4.41 | $9K | −3.5% of holding | −31.9% | +2.9% | 57,899 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | See Tai Sandi | officer | Sale | 1,486 @ $4.41 | $7K | −2.7% of holding | −31.9% | +2.9% | 53,889 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $8.20 | $20K | −2.0% of holding | −20.9% | −52.5% | 120,695 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
55 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Award / grant | 12,060 | 142,148 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Bhalla Narinder Pal | officer | Award / grant | 55,000 | 104,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Tamayo Louis Edward | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 101,665 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Award / grant | 67,000 | 403,764 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Van Hauwermeiren Timothy | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | CHOLMONDELEY PAULA H | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | COOPERSTONE BRENDA | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | DIAZ REINALDO M | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Tanguler Tolga | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Agger Mette Kirstine | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Altschuler Steven | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Sepp-Lorenzino Laura | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Award / grant | 5,930 | 131,390 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Award / grant | 2,623 | 395,106 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Bhalla Narinder Pal | officer | Award / grant | 297,000 | 297,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Bhalla Narinder Pal | officer | Award / grant | 49,500 | 49,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Tamayo Louis Edward | officer | Award / grant | 226,665 | 226,665 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Award / grant | 161,665 | 402,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Award / grant | 646,665 | 646,665 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Award / grant | 65,000 | 128,476 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Award / grant | 260,000 | 260,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Tamayo Louis Edward | officer | Award / grant | 44,665 | 89,665 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-15 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Award / grant | 33,000 | 255,251 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-15 | Robertson Jenny | officer | Award / grant | 9,900 | 72,456 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-15 | See Tai Sandi | officer | Award / grant | 10,890 | 69,750 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-15 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Award / grant | 5,940 | 66,312 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-15 | Adler Eric | officer | Award / grant | 9,570 | 76,643 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | Townsend Richard Nolan | director | Award / grant | 2,193 | 222,251 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-29 | Tamayo Louis Edward | officer | Award / grant | 280,000 | 280,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-29 | Tamayo Louis Edward | officer | Award / grant | 45,000 | 45,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | DIAZ REINALDO M | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | Tanguler Tolga | director | Award / grant | 14,583 | 14,583 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | Van Hauwermeiren Timothy | director | Award / grant | 22,916 | 22,916 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | Agger Mette Kirstine | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | Altschuler Steven | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | CHOLMONDELEY PAULA H | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | COOPERSTONE BRENDA | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-14 | Otero Jose Manuel | officer | Award / grant | 5,720 | 63,220 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-14 | Robertson Jenny | officer | Award / grant | 5,720 | 63,619 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-14 | See Tai Sandi | officer | Award / grant | 5,720 | 59,609 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.