Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.95 · now $1.95 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LUNG has typically landed between $1.30 and $2.66 — a range of −33.1% to +36.3% from the issuance price $1.95.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,474 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-10-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.95) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LUNG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.95 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.95 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.91 (-2.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.63–$2.19
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.3–$2.66
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,474 windows spanning 2020-10-01 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-10-06 | −70.5% | −70.5% | +0.0% |
| 2022-10-10 | −66.7% | −66.7% | +1.1% |
| 2022-10-07 | −65.8% | −67.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-27 | +104.9% | +0.0% | +104.9% |
| 2026-07-28 | +100.0% | +0.0% | +100.0% |
| 2026-07-24 | +94.9% | +0.0% | +106.8% |
1,474 overlapping windows · 2020-10-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
33%
−12.4%
n=6
Feb
67%
+8.6%
n=6
Mar
17%
−10.9%
n=6
Apr
33%
−7.0%
n=6
May
33%
−6.0%
n=6
Jun
33%
−10.8%
n=6
Jul
67%
+3.0%
n=6
Aug
67%
+4.8%
n=6
Sep
17%
−5.2%
n=6
Oct
40%
−5.5%
n=5
Nov
50%
−5.8%
n=6
Dec
83%
+20.9%
n=6
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | French Glendon E. III | director | Sale | 37,784 @ $2.26 | $85K | −3.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,137,936 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 5,863 @ $2.26 | $13K | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 316,994 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 4,827 @ $2.26 | $11K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 361,827 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | French Glendon E. III | director | Sale | 4,098 @ $2.26 | $9K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,175,720 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 3,807 @ $2.26 | $9K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 372,354 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 3,618 @ $2.26 | $8K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 322,857 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 3,476 @ $2.26 | $8K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 366,654 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 2,643 @ $2.26 | $6K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 328,596 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 2,390 @ $2.26 | $5K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 453,108 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 2,224 @ $2.26 | $5K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 370,130 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 2,213 @ $2.26 | $5K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 455,498 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 2,121 @ $2.26 | $5K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 326,475 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 1,746 @ $2.26 | $4K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 449,832 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 1,530 @ $2.26 | $3K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 451,578 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | French Glendon E. III | director | Sale | 13,511 @ $1.57 | $21K | −1.1% of holding | −12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,178,162 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | French Glendon E. III | director | Sale | 38,467 @ $1.54 | $59K | −3.1% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,191,673 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 5,969 @ $1.54 | $9K | −1.8% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 331,239 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 4,915 @ $1.54 | $8K | −1.3% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 376,161 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | French Glendon E. III | director | Sale | 4,171 @ $1.54 | $6K | −0.3% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,230,140 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 3,876 @ $1.54 | $6K | −1.0% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 386,879 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 3,684 @ $1.54 | $6K | −1.1% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 337,208 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 3,539 @ $1.54 | $5K | −0.9% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 381,076 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 2,691 @ $1.54 | $4K | −0.8% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 343,045 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 2,434 @ $1.54 | $4K | −0.5% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 459,965 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 2,264 @ $1.54 | $3K | −0.6% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 384,615 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 2,254 @ $1.54 | $3K | −0.5% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 457,711 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 2,153 @ $1.54 | $3K | −0.6% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 340,892 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 1,778 @ $1.54 | $3K | −0.4% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 463,956 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 1,557 @ $1.54 | $2K | −0.3% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 462,399 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | French Glendon E. III | director | Sale | 58,368 @ $1.43 | $83K | −4.0% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 1,409,511 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | French Glendon E. III | director | Sale | 6,737 @ $1.43 | $10K | −0.5% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 1,467,879 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 4,433 @ $1.43 | $6K | −1.8% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 247,396 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 4,198 @ $1.43 | $6K | −2.4% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 170,736 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 4,051 @ $1.43 | $6K | −1.7% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 240,755 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 3,068 @ $1.43 | $4K | −1.7% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 177,395 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 2,911 @ $1.43 | $4K | −0.8% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 365,734 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | French Glendon E. III | director | Sale | 2,708 @ $1.43 | $4K | −0.2% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 1,474,616 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 2,590 @ $1.43 | $4K | −1.0% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 244,806 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 2,461 @ $1.43 | $4K | −1.4% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 174,934 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 2,125 @ $1.43 | $3K | −0.6% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 370,506 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 1,861 @ $1.43 | $3K | −0.5% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 368,645 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 1,163 @ $1.43 | $2K | −0.5% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 251,829 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 835 @ $1.43 | $1K | −0.2% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 372,631 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Sale | 756 @ $1.43 | $1K | −0.4% of holding | −10.7% | +43.2% | 180,463 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Florin Daniel P | director | Sale | 23,321 @ $1.99 | $46K | −19.9% of holding | +1.8% | −36.6% | 93,910 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | French Glendon E. III | director | Sale | 6,281 @ $1.57 | $10K | −2.2% of holding | +25.0% | −25.1% | 277,324 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 3,725 @ $1.57 | $6K | −1.4% of holding | +25.0% | −25.1% | 258,569 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 3,401 @ $1.57 | $5K | −1.3% of holding | +25.0% | −25.1% | 252,992 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | French Glendon E. III | director | Sale | 2,524 @ $1.57 | $4K | −0.9% of holding | +25.0% | −25.1% | 283,605 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 2,379 @ $1.57 | $4K | −0.6% of holding | +25.0% | −25.1% | 373,466 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 2,176 @ $1.57 | $3K | −0.8% of holding | +25.0% | −25.1% | 256,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 1,738 @ $1.57 | $3K | −0.5% of holding | +25.0% | −25.1% | 377,367 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 1,522 @ $1.57 | $2K | −0.4% of holding | +25.0% | −25.1% | 375,845 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 976 @ $1.57 | $2K | −0.4% of holding | +25.0% | −25.1% | 262,294 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Sale | 683 @ $1.57 | $1K | −0.2% of holding | +25.0% | −25.1% | 379,105 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Williamson Steven S. | director | Sale | 5,118 @ $1.60 | $8K | −1.4% of holding | −8.7% | −24.4% | 363,497 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Williamson Steven S. | director | Sale | 4,530 @ $1.60 | $7K | −1.2% of holding | −8.7% | −24.4% | 358,967 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Joshi Mehul | officer | Sale | 4,271 @ $1.60 | $7K | −2.0% of holding | −8.7% | −24.4% | 212,154 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Joshi Mehul | officer | Sale | 3,665 @ $1.60 | $6K | −1.7% of holding | −8.7% | −24.4% | 208,489 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Sale | 3,541 @ $1.60 | $6K | −1.3% of holding | −8.7% | −24.4% | 268,569 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
25 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Ferrari Richard | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 127,024 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Sullivan Tiffany | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 115,199 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Mead Dana G Jr. | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 139,714 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Burns Thomas William | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 113,399 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Florin Daniel P | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 133,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Melenikiotou Georgia | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 139,714 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 465,734 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Radhakrishnan Srikanth | officer | Award / grant | 175,000 | 345,736 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 390,755 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Sung Derrick | officer | Award / grant | 1,200,000 | 1,335,319 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | French Glendon E. III | director | Award / grant | 1,200,000 | 1,477,324 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | French Glendon E. III | director | Award / grant | 800,000 | 800,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Sung Derrick | officer | Award / grant | 400,000 | 400,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Sullivan Tiffany | director | Award / grant | 37,153 | 75,199 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Ferrari Richard | director | Award / grant | 37,153 | 95,024 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Florin Daniel P | director | Award / grant | 37,153 | 93,910 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | French Glendon E. III | director | Award / grant | 37,153 | 1,029,127 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Burns Thomas William | director | Award / grant | 37,153 | 73,399 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Melenikiotou Georgia | director | Award / grant | 37,153 | 99,714 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Mead Dana G Jr. | director | Award / grant | 37,153 | 99,714 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Rose Geoffrey Beran | officer | Award / grant | 108,000 | 393,278 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Lehman David Aaron | officer | Award / grant | 108,000 | 283,496 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Joshi Mehul | officer | Award / grant | 108,000 | 221,986 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Williamson Steven S. | director | Award / grant | 181,696 | 376,038 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Williamson Steven S. | director | Award / grant | 128,395 | 128,395 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.