LUCKLucky Strike Entertainment CorporationConsumer Cyclical · Leisureas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.34 · now $5.34 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LUCK has typically landed between $4.34 and $6.45 — a range of −18.7% to +20.9% from the issuance price $5.34.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,334 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-04-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.34) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LUCK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.34 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$4.34worst · -18.7%$6.45best · +20.9%
  • now $5.34 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.31 (-0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.92–$5.71
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.34–$6.45
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,334 windows spanning 2021-04-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-01-06−32.0%−32.0%+0.0%
2022-04-08−26.9%−26.9%+7.4%
2022-04-11−26.7%−26.7%+11.9%
3 best
2023-11-30+42.4%+0.0%+42.4%
2022-02-09+41.6%+0.0%+42.1%
2022-02-03+41.0%+0.0%+41.0%

1,334 overlapping windows · 2021-04-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
−5.6%
n=5
Feb
100%
+10.7%
n=5
Mar
60%
+3.5%
n=5
Apr
20%
−6.7%
n=5
May
67%
−2.4%
n=6
Jun
50%
+1.5%
n=6
Jul
50%
−0.1%
n=6
Aug
33%
−2.9%
n=6
Sep
50%
−3.4%
n=6
Oct
60%
−1.2%
n=5
Nov
40%
+2.1%
n=5
Dec
40%
+2.9%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$10$52026-09-10: 1 insider purchase, $3K — Bass Robert J2026-09-09: 1 insider purchase, $176K — Shannon Thomas F.2026-09-01: 1 insider purchase, $614K — Young John Alan2026-08-31: 1 insider purchase, $3K — Young John Alan2026-08-28: 2 insider purchases, $77K — MATHRANI SANDEEP, Young John Alan2026-06-08: 1 insider purchase, $6K — Bass Robert J2026-06-05: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Lavan Robert M.2026-04-15: 1 insider sale, $25K — Ekster Lev2026-03-06: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Lavan Robert M.2026-02-12: 1 insider purchase, $98K — Harinstein Jason2026-02-06: 1 insider purchase, $39K — Young John Alan2025-12-08: 3 insider purchases, $7K — Bass Robert J, Lavan Robert M., Ekster Lev2025-11-28: 1 insider purchase, $243K — Born Richard Meynard2025-11-17: 1 insider purchase, $36K — Young John Alan2025-11-07: 1 insider purchase, $12K — Young John Alan2025-11-06: 1 insider purchase, $795 — Young John Alan2025-09-12: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Lavan Robert M.2025-09-05: 2 insider purchases, $50K — Ekster Lev, Lavan Robert M.2025-09: 3 open-market purchases, $52K2025-11: 4 open-market purchases, $291K2025-12: 3 open-market purchases, $7K2026-02: 2 open-market purchases, $137K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $2K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $25K2026-06: 2 open-market purchases, $8K2026-08: 3 open-market purchases, $80K2026-09: 3 open-market purchases, $793K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Bass Robert J — Purchase on 2026-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Shannon Thomas F. — Purchase on 2026-09-09, filed same daydirector Young John Alan — Purchase on 2026-09-01, filed same daydirector Young John Alan — Purchase on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MATHRANI SANDEEP — Purchase on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Young John Alan — Purchase on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bass Robert J — Purchase on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lavan Robert M. — Purchase on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Ekster Lev — Sale on 2026-04-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lavan Robert M. — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Harinstein Jason — Purchase on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Young John Alan — Purchase on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bass Robert J — Purchase on 2025-12-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lavan Robert M. — Purchase on 2025-12-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Ekster Lev — Purchase on 2025-12-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Born Richard Meynard — Purchase on 2025-11-28, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Young John Alan — Purchase on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Young John Alan — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Young John Alan — Purchase on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Lavan Robert M. — Purchase on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Ekster Lev — Purchase on 2025-09-05, filed same dayofficer Lavan Robert M. — Purchase on 2025-09-05, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Bass Robert JdirectorPurchase600 @ $5.45$3K+1.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open51,848Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-09Shannon Thomas F.directorPurchase30,000 @ $5.86$176K+1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open3,144,000Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01Young John AlandirectorPurchase1,000 @ $614.00$614K+1.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open89,718Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-31Young John AlandirectorPurchase400 @ $6.25$3K+0.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open88,718Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-28MATHRANI SANDEEPdirectorPurchase9,350 @ $6.41$60Kownership Δ n/anot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open9,350Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Young John AlandirectorPurchase2,800 @ $6.23$17K+3.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open88,318Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-08Bass Robert JdirectorPurchase745 @ $8.10$6K+1.5% of holding−14.2%not yet — horizon still open51,248Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-05Lavan Robert M.officerPurchase277 @ $7.60$2K+0.3% of holding−8.8%not yet — horizon still open81,184Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-15Ekster LevofficerSale3,000 @ $8.47$25K−4.5% of holding−10.5%not yet — horizon still open64,296Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-06Lavan Robert M.officerPurchase246 @ $8.47$2K+0.3% of holding−0.8%−41.0%80,908Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-12Harinstein JasondirectorPurchase13,000 @ $7.54$98Kownership Δ n/a+8.3%−20.9%13,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-06Young John AlandirectorPurchase6,000 @ $6.50$39K+7.5% of holding+31.0%−12.4%85,518Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-08Bass Robert JdirectorPurchase520 @ $8.46$4K+1.0% of holding+1.3%−1.8%50,503Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-08Lavan Robert M.officerPurchase243 @ $8.53$2K+0.3% of holding+1.3%−1.8%80,661Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-08Ekster LevofficerPurchase38 @ $8.75$332+0.1% of holding+1.3%−1.8%67,546Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-28Born Richard MeynarddirectorPurchase30,000 @ $8.09$243Kownership Δ n/a+10.2%−11.1%30,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-17Young John AlandirectorPurchase4,685 @ $7.62$36K+6.3% of holding+18.1%+5.3%79,518Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-07Young John AlandirectorPurchase1,500 @ $7.90$12K+2.0% of holding+8.2%−7.8%74,833Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-06Young John AlandirectorPurchase100 @ $7.95$795+0.1% of holding+4.6%−11.3%73,333Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-12Lavan Robert M.officerPurchase174 @ $10.07$2K+0.2% of holding+0.4%−20.0%87,105Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-05Ekster LevofficerPurchase2,505 @ $9.99$25K+3.6% of holding−0.5%−18.0%71,800Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-05Lavan Robert M.officerPurchase2,500 @ $9.94$25K+3.0% of holding−0.5%−18.0%86,931Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-06Lavan Robert M.officerPurchase193 @ $9.04$2K+0.2% of holding+2.9%−20.3%84,431Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-06-02Young John AlandirectorPurchase785 @ $8.32$7K+1.1% of holding+11.1%−17.5%73,233Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-28Shannon Thomas F.directorPurchase20,000 @ $8.73$175K+0.9% of holding+2.3%−28.4%2,364,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-28Young John AlandirectorPurchase1,565 @ $8.72$14K+2.2% of holding+2.3%−28.4%72,448Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-09Shannon Thomas F.directorPurchase44,000 @ $8.48$373K+1.9% of holding−4.9%−26.7%2,344,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-09Ekster LevofficerPurchase3,034 @ $8.24$25K+4.6% of holding−4.9%−26.7%69,295Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-10Bass Robert JdirectorPurchase167 @ $9.80$2K+0.3% of holding−1.7%−6.8%49,983Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-07Lavan Robert M.officerPurchase161 @ $9.38$2K+0.2% of holding−2.6%−6.9%80,238Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-07Young John AlandirectorPurchase100 @ $8.95$895+0.1% of holding−2.6%−6.9%70,883Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-06Young John AlandirectorPurchase310 @ $9.50$3K+0.4% of holding+0.5%−7.7%70,783Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05Young John AlandirectorPurchase1,050 @ $9.85$10K+1.5% of holding−5.7%−4.5%70,473Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-24Young John AlandirectorPurchase3,685 @ $10.13$37K+5.6% of holding−0.3%−7.1%69,423Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-21Young John AlandirectorPurchase1,000 @ $10.50$11K+1.5% of holding+2.0%−7.6%65,738Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-20Parker Brett I.directorSale1,747,434 @ $11.54$20.2M−77.8% of holding+0.8%−9.3%498,092Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

78 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-13Shannon Thomas F.directorOption exercise3,000,0005,364,000Form 4
2026-05-13Shannon Thomas F.directorOption exercise3,000,00055,519,437Form 4
2026-05-13Shannon Thomas F.directorOption exercise3,000,00055,519,437Form 4
2026-05-13Shannon Thomas F.directorOption exercise3,000,0005,364,000Form 4
2026-03-24A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1964,920,888Form 4
2026-03-24A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1964,920,888Form 4
2026-03-24A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1964,920,888Form 4
2026-03-24Shannon Thomas F.directorAward / grant1,1964,920,252Form 4
2026-03-24A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1964,920,888Form 4
2026-03-24Shannon Thomas F.directorAward / grant1,1964,920,252Form 4
2026-03-24A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1964,920,888Form 4
2026-03-24A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1964,920,888Form 4
2026-03-24A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1964,920,888Form 4
2026-01-02Ekster LevofficerWithheld for tax25067,296Form 4
2025-12-18Lavan Robert M.officerAward / grant20,05020,050Form 4
2025-12-18Lavan Robert M.officerAward / grant11,06131,111Form 4
2025-12-18Lavan Robert M.officerAward / grant31,08931,089Form 4
2025-12-18Ekster LevofficerAward / grant20,05020,050Form 4
2025-12-18Ekster LevofficerAward / grant31,08931,089Form 4
2025-12-09Young John AlandirectorAward / grant14,80614,806Form 4
2025-12-09Harinstein JasondirectorAward / grant14,80614,806Form 4
2025-12-09Bass Robert JdirectorAward / grant14,80614,806Form 4
2025-12-09Born Richard MeynarddirectorAward / grant14,80614,806Form 4
2025-12-09Perlman AlbertodirectorAward / grant14,80614,806Form 4
2025-12-09MATHRANI SANDEEPdirectorAward / grant14,80614,806Form 4
2025-12-09A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant29,612128,088Form 4
2025-11-04Ekster LevofficerWithheld for tax3,54467,508Form 4
2025-11-04Lavan Robert M.officerWithheld for tax3,05580,418Form 4
2025-11-04Shannon Thomas F.directorAward / grant1,1224,919,056Form 4
2025-11-04A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1224,919,692Form 4
2025-11-04A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1224,919,692Form 4
2025-11-04A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1224,919,692Form 4
2025-11-04A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1224,919,692Form 4
2025-11-04A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1224,919,692Form 4
2025-11-04A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1224,919,692Form 4
2025-11-04Shannon Thomas F.directorAward / grant1,1224,919,056Form 4
2025-11-04A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant1,1224,919,692Form 4
2025-09-29Lavan Robert M.officerWithheld for tax3,63283,473Form 4
2025-09-29Ekster LevofficerWithheld for tax2,65271,052Form 4
2025-07-23A-B Parent LLCdirectorAward / grant6894,918,570Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.