Issued 2026-09-16 at $40.73 · now $40.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LTH has typically landed between $33.80 and $49.99 — a range of −17.0% to +22.7% from the issuance price $40.73.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,219 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-10-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($40.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LTH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $40.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $40.73 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $40.96 (+0.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $37.66–$44.25
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $33.8–$49.99
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,219 windows spanning 2021-10-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-02-10 | −34.3% | −34.3% | +6.4% |
| 2022-02-09 | −31.1% | −31.1% | +7.3% |
| 2022-02-11 | −29.7% | −33.3% | +8.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-01-03 | +69.3% | +0.0% | +69.3% |
| 2023-01-04 | +64.0% | +0.0% | +64.1% |
| 2022-12-28 | +57.9% | −1.3% | +57.9% |
1,219 overlapping windows · 2021-10-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
+14.7%
n=5
Feb
60%
+0.1%
n=5
Mar
20%
−1.3%
n=5
Apr
40%
+3.5%
n=5
May
60%
+6.7%
n=5
Jun
80%
+6.6%
n=5
Jul
60%
+4.0%
n=5
Aug
20%
−3.9%
n=5
Sep
20%
−5.9%
n=5
Oct
25%
−8.5%
n=4
Nov
100%
+17.7%
n=5
Dec
0%
−7.1%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Sale | 154,912 @ $42.00 | $6.5M | −52.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 138,351 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-09 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Sale | 18,729 @ $42.04 | $787K | −11.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 138,351 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Sale | 5,666 @ $44.00 | $249K | −3.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 138,351 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Galashan John Kristofer | director | Sale | 2,879,154 @ $43.80 | $126.1M | −48.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,029,450 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | DANHAKL JOHN G | director | Sale | 2,879,154 @ $43.80 | $126.1M | −48.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,029,450 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 2,826,651 @ $43.80 | $123.8M | −48.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,974,207 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 47,715 @ $43.80 | $2.1M | −48.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 50,206 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 4,788 @ $43.80 | $210K | −48.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,037 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Galashan John Kristofer | director | Sale | 5,119,099 @ $43.16 | $220.9M | −46.4% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,908,604 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | DANHAKL JOHN G | director | Sale | 5,119,099 @ $43.16 | $220.9M | −46.4% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,908,604 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 5,025,751 @ $43.16 | $216.9M | −46.4% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,800,858 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 84,836 @ $43.16 | $3.7M | −46.4% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 97,921 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 8,512 @ $43.16 | $367K | −46.4% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,825 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Buss Eric J | officer | Sale | 479,240 @ $44.97 | $21.6M | −50.3% of holding | −9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 474,008 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Akradi Bahram | director | Sale | 433,307 @ $45.02 | $19.5M | −10.7% of holding | −9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,620,036 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Javaheri Parham | officer | Sale | 63,203 @ $45.09 | $2.8M | −25.6% of holding | −9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 183,371 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Weaver Erik | officer | Sale | 47,748 @ $44.80 | $2.1M | −34.9% of holding | −9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 88,918 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Akradi Bahram | director | Sale | 4,950 @ $46.03 | $228K | −0.1% of holding | −9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,615,086 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Sale | 67,751 @ $38.65 | $2.6M | −32.9% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 138,351 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Almendares Jimena | director | Sale | 40,589 @ $33.59 | $1.4M | −52.3% of holding | +20.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 36,983 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Galashan John Kristofer | director | Sale | 2,208,580 @ $28.60 | $63.2M | −16.7% of holding | +29.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,027,703 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | DANHAKL JOHN G | director | Sale | 2,208,580 @ $28.60 | $63.2M | −16.7% of holding | +29.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,027,703 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 2,168,305 @ $28.60 | $62.0M | −16.7% of holding | +29.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,826,609 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Partners Group Private Equity Fund, LLC | other | Sale | 329,921 @ $28.60 | $9.4M | −16.7% of holding | +29.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,651,322 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 36,602 @ $28.60 | $1.0M | −16.7% of holding | +29.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 182,757 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 3,673 @ $28.60 | $105K | −16.7% of holding | +29.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,337 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Galashan John Kristofer | director | Sale | 3,006,100 @ $32.51 | $97.7M | −18.5% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,236,283 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | DANHAKL JOHN G | director | Sale | 3,006,100 @ $32.51 | $97.7M | −18.5% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,236,283 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 2,951,282 @ $32.51 | $95.9M | −18.5% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,994,914 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Partners Group Private Equity Fund, LLC | other | Sale | 449,960 @ $32.51 | $14.6M | −18.5% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,981,243 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 49,819 @ $32.51 | $1.6M | −18.5% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 219,359 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 4,999 @ $32.51 | $163K | −18.5% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,010 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Javaheri Parham | officer | Sale | 62,900 @ $31.80 | $2.0M | −20.3% of holding | +2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 246,574 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Galashan John Kristofer | director | Sale | 4,991,749 @ $31.46 | $157.0M | −23.5% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,242,383 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | DANHAKL JOHN G | director | Sale | 4,991,749 @ $31.46 | $157.0M | −23.5% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,242,383 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 4,900,722 @ $31.46 | $154.2M | −23.5% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,946,196 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Partners Group Private Equity Fund, LLC | other | Sale | 747,178 @ $31.46 | $23.5M | −23.5% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,431,203 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Buss Eric J | officer | Sale | 192,217 @ $32.02 | $6.2M | −28.9% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 474,008 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 82,726 @ $31.46 | $2.6M | −23.5% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 269,178 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Lasher Stuart G. | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $32.42 | $1.6M | −41.3% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,058 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Weaver Erik | officer | Sale | 22,000 @ $32.69 | $719K | −16.2% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 114,166 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 8,301 @ $31.46 | $261K | −23.5% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,009 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Sale | 40,202 @ $29.95 | $1.2M | −22.5% of holding | −4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 138,351 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | DANHAKL JOHN G | director | Sale | 2,493,083 @ $28.60 | $71.3M | −10.0% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,412,978 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Galashan John Kristofer | director | Sale | 2,493,083 @ $28.60 | $71.3M | −10.0% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,412,978 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 2,447,621 @ $28.60 | $70.0M | −10.0% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,004,267 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Partners Group Private Equity Fund, LLC | other | Sale | 372,420 @ $28.60 | $10.7M | −10.0% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,348,080 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Partners Group Private Equity Fund, LLC | other | Sale | 169,699 @ $28.60 | $4.9M | −5.1% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,178,381 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 41,317 @ $28.60 | $1.2M | −10.0% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 371,441 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Sale | 4,145 @ $28.60 | $119K | −10.0% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,270 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | Javaheri Parham | officer | Sale | 11,060 @ $26.46 | $293K | −3.4% of holding | +1.2% | +42.4% | 315,175 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-03 | Weaver Erik | officer | Sale | 1,329 @ $25.73 | $34K | −1.0% of holding | +3.2% | +47.3% | 136,166 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-03 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Sale | 5,880 @ $30.31 | $178K | −5.4% of holding | −10.4% | +41.2% | 102,144 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-03 | Weaver Erik | officer | Sale | 1,493 @ $29.90 | $45K | −1.9% of holding | −10.4% | +41.2% | 77,771 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-23 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Sale | 12,088 @ $29.75 | $360K | −9.8% of holding | −6.0% | +39.5% | 110,967 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Buss Eric J | officer | Sale | 74,487 @ $28.05 | $2.1M | −16.4% of holding | −4.6% | +3.4% | 380,683 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Buss Eric J | officer | Sale | 162,722 @ $28.04 | $4.6M | −29.9% of holding | −4.7% | +0.1% | 380,683 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-13 | Weaver Erik | officer | Sale | 4,846 @ $25.10 | $122K | −5.6% of holding | −1.8% | +3.2% | 81,765 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Galashan John Kristofer | director | Sale | 4,991,976 @ $28.95 | $144.5M | −16.7% of holding | −13.2% | −11.8% | 24,906,061 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | DANHAKL JOHN G | director | Sale | 4,991,976 @ $28.95 | $144.5M | −16.7% of holding | −13.2% | −11.8% | 24,906,061 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
133 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 59,400 | 197,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 60,686 | 258,437 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 34,826 | 293,263 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 34,826 | 13,075 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 59,400 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 60,686 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 7,729 | 152,680 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 6,600 | 144,951 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 4,400 | 157,080 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 7,729 | 60,686 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 6,600 | 59,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 4,400 | 47,901 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 5,666 | 144,017 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 5,666 | 60,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Green LTF Holdings II LP | director | Other acquisition | 853,884 | 2,120,323 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | DANHAKL JOHN G | director | Other acquisition | 853,884 | 2,175,566 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Buss Eric J | officer | Option exercise | 130,000 | 604,008 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Buss Eric J | officer | Option exercise | 130,000 | 734,008 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Buss Eric J | officer | Option exercise | 85,519 | 819,527 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Buss Eric J | officer | Option exercise | 84,688 | 904,215 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Buss Eric J | officer | Option exercise | 49,033 | 953,248 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Weaver Erik | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 129,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Weaver Erik | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 136,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Weaver Erik | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 2,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Weaver Erik | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Buss Eric J | officer | Option exercise | 130,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Akradi Bahram | director | Gift | 6,222 | 11,484,792 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Akradi Bahram | director | Gift | 6,222 | 885,257 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Buss Eric J | officer | Option exercise | 49,033 | 16,344 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Buss Eric J | officer | Option exercise | 84,688 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Buss Eric J | officer | Option exercise | 85,519 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 67,751 | 206,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Singh Ritadhwaja Jebens | officer | Option exercise | 67,751 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Wagner Rachael A. | director | Award / grant | 5,429 | 5,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Buss Eric J | officer | Withheld for tax | 320,574 | 666,225 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Buss Eric J | officer | Option exercise | 512,791 | 986,799 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Lasher Stuart G. | director | Withheld for tax | 44,590 | 121,058 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Lasher Stuart G. | director | Option exercise | 150,000 | 165,648 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Lasher Stuart G. | director | Option exercise | 150,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Buss Eric J | officer | Option exercise | 512,791 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.