LTC · TickerCove

LTCLTC Properties, Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $43.08 · now $43.08 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LTC has typically landed between $39.44 and $47.38 — a range of −8.5% to +10.0% from the issuance price $43.08.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($43.08) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$43.08 · 97% of range

$32.45 low$43.46 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.2%

typical move · IQR 6.5%

−8.5%worst (p90)+10.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

1 open-market sale

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

1 buys · 1 sells · 1 member

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where LTC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $43.08 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $43.08 (+0.0%)
typical $43.59 (+1.2%)
middle 50% $42.18–$44.99
90% range $39.44–$47.38

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−48.1%	−48.1%	+2.6%
2020-02-21	−47.0%	−49.1%	+0.7%
2020-03-05	−43.9%	−48.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18	+42.8%	+0.0%	+45.7%
2009-07-09	+34.1%	−0.1%	+34.1%
2009-07-07	+32.1%	−1.2%	+32.1%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

67%

+3.2%

n=18

Feb

47%

−1.2%

n=19

Mar

74%

+1.1%

n=19

Apr

74%

+2.1%

n=19

May

53%

+1.5%

n=19

Jun

47%

+1.0%

n=19

Jul

58%

+3.5%

n=19

Aug

42%

−0.1%

n=19

Sep

47%

−1.1%

n=19

Oct

56%

+1.2%

n=18

Nov

56%

+0.1%

n=18

Dec

56%

+0.1%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-12	Gruber David L	director	Purchase	500 @ $38.30	$19K	+1.1% of holding	+10.3%	not yet — horizon still open	48,070	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11	Gruber David L	director	Purchase	3,500 @ $38.30	$134K	+7.9% of holding	+13.2%	not yet — horizon still open	47,545	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-13	TRICHE TIMOTHY	director	Sale	3,125 @ $39.54	$124K	−7.6% of holding	−0.4%	not yet — horizon still open	37,786	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04	BOITANO DAVID M	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $34.85	$174K	+12.1% of holding	+14.1%	not yet — horizon still open	46,160	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-04	BOITANO DAVID M	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $34.69	$173K	+13.8% of holding	+14.1%	not yet — horizon still open	41,160	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-21	Gruber David L	director	Purchase	4,000 @ $38.41	$154K	+10.0% of holding	−2.1%	not yet — horizon still open	44,045	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05	Gruber David L	director	Purchase	7,000 @ $38.00	$266K	+23.4% of holding	+3.4%	not yet — horizon still open	36,931	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-31	BOITANO DAVID M	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $34.58	$173K	+24.2% of holding	+3.7%	+5.5%	25,626	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-31	BOITANO DAVID M	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $34.30	$172K	+32.0% of holding	+3.7%	+5.5%	20,626	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-07	Gruber David L	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $35.94	$36K	+3.5% of holding	−3.5%	+0.2%	29,834	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-06	Gruber David L	director	Purchase	2,000 @ $35.46	$71K	+7.5% of holding	−2.5%	+0.8%	28,738	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-06	Gruber David L	director	Purchase	2,000 @ $35.35	$71K	+8.1% of holding	−2.5%	+0.8%	26,738	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-27	BOITANO DAVID M	officer	Purchase	3,000 @ $34.80	$104K	+23.8% of holding	−2.3%	−10.7%	15,626	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-27	BOITANO DAVID M	officer	Purchase	3,000 @ $34.62	$104K	+31.2% of holding	−2.3%	−10.7%	12,626	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-26	BOITANO DAVID M	officer	Purchase	4,000 @ $34.50	$138K	+71.1% of holding	−4.9%	−12.0%	9,626	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-11	Gruber David L	director	Purchase	3,000 @ $37.16	$111K	+16.2% of holding	−3.5%	−3.1%	21,516	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

62 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-20	TRICHE TIMOTHY	director	Award / grant	3,077	40,909	Form 4
2026-05-20	Preber Bradley J	director	Award / grant	3,077	9,566	Form 4
2026-05-20	HAWKEN JEFFREY C	director	Award / grant	3,077	6,387	Form 4
2026-05-20	Gruber David L	director	Award / grant	3,077	39,970	Form 4
2026-05-20	Cheng Cornelia	director	Award / grant	3,077	21,409	Form 4
2026-03-09	SIMPSON WENDY	director	Award / grant	67,721	430,079	Form 4
2026-03-09	SIMPSON WENDY	director	Withheld for tax	36,536	393,543	Form 4
2026-03-09	Malin Clint B	officer	Award / grant	33,226	245,613	Form 4
2026-03-09	SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELA	director	Award / grant	33,226	253,767	Form 4
2026-03-09	Malin Clint B	officer	Withheld for tax	17,926	227,687	Form 4
2026-03-09	SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELA	director	Withheld for tax	15,726	238,041	Form 4
2026-03-09	CHIKHALE CAROLINE	officer	Award / grant	10,286	74,297	Form 4
2026-03-09	Satterwhite John Gibson	officer	Award / grant	7,714	36,496	Form 4
2026-03-09	CHIKHALE CAROLINE	officer	Withheld for tax	5,550	68,747	Form 4
2026-03-09	Satterwhite John Gibson	officer	Withheld for tax	4,162	32,334	Form 4
2026-02-19	Malin Clint B	officer	Award / grant	33,466	212,387	Form 4
2026-02-19	SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELA	director	Award / grant	33,466	220,541	Form 4
2026-02-19	CHIKHALE CAROLINE	officer	Award / grant	13,618	64,011	Form 4
2026-02-19	Satterwhite John Gibson	officer	Award / grant	10,663	28,782	Form 4
2026-02-19	BOITANO DAVID M	officer	Award / grant	10,534	36,160	Form 4
2026-02-19	Malin Clint B	officer	Withheld for tax	5,801	178,921	Form 4
2026-02-19	SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELA	director	Withheld for tax	5,089	187,075	Form 4
2026-02-19	CHIKHALE CAROLINE	officer	Withheld for tax	2,062	50,393	Form 4
2026-02-19	Satterwhite John Gibson	officer	Withheld for tax	1,547	18,119	Form 4
2026-02-13	SIMPSON WENDY	director	Withheld for tax	8,635	362,358	Form 4
2026-02-13	Malin Clint B	officer	Withheld for tax	4,391	184,722	Form 4
2026-02-13	SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELA	director	Withheld for tax	3,852	192,164	Form 4
2026-02-13	CHIKHALE CAROLINE	officer	Withheld for tax	2,010	52,455	Form 4
2026-02-13	Satterwhite John Gibson	officer	Withheld for tax	1,533	19,666	Form 4
2026-02-09	SIMPSON WENDY	director	Withheld for tax	7,326	370,993	Form 4
2026-02-09	Malin Clint B	officer	Withheld for tax	3,676	189,113	Form 4
2026-02-09	SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELA	director	Withheld for tax	3,246	196,015	Form 4
2026-02-09	CHIKHALE CAROLINE	officer	Withheld for tax	1,702	54,465	Form 4
2026-02-09	Satterwhite John Gibson	officer	Withheld for tax	1,276	21,199	Form 4
2025-05-28	Preber Bradley J	director	Award / grant	3,125	6,304	Form 4
2025-05-28	TRICHE TIMOTHY	director	Award / grant	3,125	37,647	Form 4
2025-05-28	HAWKEN JEFFREY C	director	Award / grant	3,125	3,125	Form 4
2025-05-28	Cheng Cornelia	director	Award / grant	3,125	17,196	Form 4
2025-05-28	Gruber David L	director	Award / grant	3,125	24,738	Form 4
2025-04-21	BOITANO DAVID M	officer	Award / grant	5,626	5,626	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Zoe Lofgren	House	sale	2018-07-05	2018-06-13	$1–15K
Zoe Lofgren	House	purchase	2017-07-18	2017-06-15	$1–15K

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i