LSTRLandstar System, Inc.Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logisticsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $169.14 · now $169.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LSTR has typically landed between $152.47 and $189.00 — a range of −9.9% to +11.7% from the issuance price $169.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($169.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LSTR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $169.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$152.47worst · -9.9%$189best · +11.7%
  • now $169.14 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $169.13 (-0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $161.56–$176.69
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $152.47–$189
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-16−31.1%−31.1%+0.0%
2008-09-24−30.4%−30.4%+0.0%
2008-09-25−28.9%−29.6%+0.0%
3 best
2008-12-02+31.8%+0.0%+31.8%
2026-05-14+30.9%+0.0%+34.5%
2008-12-01+29.9%+0.0%+29.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+1.9%
n=20
Feb
60%
+2.2%
n=20
Mar
65%
+1.6%
n=20
Apr
50%
+0.5%
n=20
May
55%
+2.2%
n=20
Jun
35%
−0.5%
n=20
Jul
60%
+0.5%
n=20
Aug
40%
−1.2%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.6%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.2%
n=20
Nov
65%
+2.1%
n=20
Dec
70%
+1.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$225$1182026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $262K — Todd James P2026-06-05: 1 insider sale, $2.5M — MURPHY DIANA M2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $2.8M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Todd James P — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MURPHY DIANA M — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-15Todd James PofficerSale1,200 @ $218.17$262K−7.4% of holding−3.1%not yet — horizon still open15,122Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-05MURPHY DIANA MdirectorSale11,246 @ $221.28$2.5M−37.4% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open18,853Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

56 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-01Clement William CofficerAward / grant4,9244,924Form 4
2026-05-06HART MELANIE MdirectorAward / grant8251,470Form 4
2026-05-06Akbari Dr. HomairadirectorAward / grant82513,974Form 4
2026-05-06Scanlon George PdirectorAward / grant8259,483Form 4
2026-05-06BANNISTER DAVID G/directorAward / grant82526,513Form 4
2026-05-06Blanton Jonathan BarrdirectorAward / grant8251,470Form 4
2026-05-06WHITE TERESA LdirectorAward / grant8254,658Form 4
2026-05-06Liang James LdirectorAward / grant8254,658Form 4
2026-05-06MURPHY DIANA MdirectorAward / grant82530,099Form 4
2026-03-15Miller MatthewofficerWithheld for tax1304,841Form 4
2026-02-23Lewis Terri MofficerAward / grant1,1691,169Form 4
2026-02-23Lewis Terri MofficerAward / grant3,3424,511Form 4
2026-02-02Lonegro Frank AdirectorWithheld for tax2,08523,110Form 4
2026-01-31Lonegro Frank AdirectorWithheld for tax92225,195Form 4
2026-01-31Todd James PofficerWithheld for tax51916,322Form 4
2026-01-31CORO RICARDO SofficerWithheld for tax36622,855Form 4
2026-01-31Kneller Michael KofficerWithheld for tax36563,560Form 4
2026-01-31Dannegger Matthew MofficerWithheld for tax3575,556Form 4
2026-01-31Applegate James MofficerWithheld for tax2278,102Form 4
2026-01-31Miller MatthewofficerWithheld for tax1594,971Form 4
2026-01-30Miller MatthewofficerAward / grant1,6785,130Form 4
2026-01-30Todd James PofficerAward / grant1,67816,841Form 4
2026-01-30CORO RICARDO SofficerAward / grant1,67823,221Form 4
2026-01-30Applegate James MofficerAward / grant1,1758,329Form 4
2026-01-30Kneller Michael KofficerAward / grant1,67863,925Form 4
2026-01-30Dannegger Matthew MofficerAward / grant1,1755,913Form 4
2026-01-30Lonegro Frank AdirectorAward / grant6,71526,117Form 4
2025-10-31Blanton Jonathan BarrdirectorAward / grant645645Form 4
2025-10-31HART MELANIE MdirectorAward / grant645645Form 4
2025-05-19BANNISTER DAVID G/directorAward / grant1,04325,688Form 4
2025-05-19Scanlon George PdirectorAward / grant1,0438,658Form 4
2025-05-19MURPHY DIANA MdirectorAward / grant1,04329,274Form 4
2025-05-19Akbari Dr. HomairadirectorAward / grant1,04313,149Form 4
2025-05-19Liang James LdirectorAward / grant1,0433,833Form 4
2025-05-19ORLANDO ANTHONY JdirectorAward / grant1,04314,029Form 4
2025-05-19WHITE TERESA LdirectorAward / grant1,0433,833Form 4
2025-03-15Miller MatthewofficerWithheld for tax1523,452Form 4
2025-02-02Lonegro Frank AdirectorWithheld for tax2,08519,402Form 4
2025-01-31Lonegro Frank AdirectorWithheld for tax45421,487Form 4
2025-01-31Todd James PofficerWithheld for tax43215,163Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.