LRN · TickerCove

LRNStride, Inc.Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $82.04 · now $82.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LRN has typically landed between $69.77 and $99.60 — a range of −15.0% to +21.4% from the issuance price $82.04.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,697 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-12-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($82.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$82.04 · 23% of range

$61.02 low$153.53 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+2.6%

typical move · IQR 15.1%

−15.0%worst (p90)+21.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where LRN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $82.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $82.04 (+0.0%)
typical $84.17 (+2.6%)
middle 50% $77.99–$90.34
90% range $69.77–$99.6

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,697 windows spanning 2007-12-13 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2025-10-27	−58.8%	−58.9%	+0.6%
2025-10-24	−58.5%	−58.8%	+0.9%
2025-10-28	−58.4%	−59.1%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-06-16	+92.0%	−1.6%	+92.0%
2020-06-17	+89.7%	+0.0%	+95.1%
2020-06-22	+86.3%	−3.1%	+86.3%

4,697 overlapping windows · 2007-12-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

68%

+8.7%

n=19

Feb

58%

+3.9%

n=19

Mar

63%

+0.9%

n=19

Apr

84%

+9.7%

n=19

May

42%

−0.6%

n=19

Jun

47%

−0.1%

n=19

Jul

42%

+4.0%

n=19

Aug

58%

+0.5%

n=19

Sep

47%

−1.0%

n=19

Oct

33%

−7.8%

n=18

Nov

50%

+0.2%

n=18

Dec

56%

+0.3%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-08-19	Rhyu James Jeaho	director	Sale	13,961 @ $162.66	$2.3M	−1.9% of holding	−17.4%	−56.9%	706,353	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

102 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-15	McMullen Greerson Greene	officer	Withheld for tax	648	24,035	Form 4
2026-08-20	Shepherd Brian A.	director	Award / grant	186	186	Form 4
2026-08-18	Blackman Donna	officer	Withheld for tax	3,395	179,856	Form 4
2026-08-18	Goldthwaite Todd	officer	Withheld for tax	452	103,409	Form 4
2026-08-10	KNOWLING ROBERT E JR	director	Award / grant	13,633	13,633	Form 4
2026-08-10	KNOWLING ROBERT E JR	director	Award / grant	87,249	93,800	Form 4
2026-08-10	KNOWLING ROBERT E JR	director	Award / grant	46,741	140,541	Form 4
2026-08-09	Blackman Donna	officer	Withheld for tax	1,806	183,251	Form 4
2026-08-09	Goldthwaite Todd	officer	Withheld for tax	112	103,861	Form 4
2026-08-08	Blackman Donna	officer	Withheld for tax	562	185,057	Form 4
2026-08-08	Goldthwaite Todd	officer	Withheld for tax	124	103,973	Form 4
2026-08-08	McMullen Greerson Greene	officer	Withheld for tax	81	21,653	Form 4
2026-08-07	Blackman Donna	officer	Award / grant	5,303	5,303	Form 4
2026-08-07	Blackman Donna	officer	Award / grant	18,180	185,619	Form 4
2026-08-07	McMullen Greerson Greene	officer	Award / grant	2,651	2,651	Form 4
2026-08-07	Goldthwaite Todd	officer	Award / grant	3,636	104,097	Form 4
2026-08-07	Goldthwaite Todd	officer	Award / grant	1,061	1,061	Form 4
2026-08-07	McMullen Greerson Greene	officer	Award / grant	9,090	21,734	Form 4
2026-07-29	Blackman Donna	officer	Withheld for tax	38,188	167,439	Form 4
2026-07-29	Goldthwaite Todd	officer	Withheld for tax	4,085	100,461	Form 4
2026-07-29	Blackman Donna	officer	Award / grant	77,380	205,627	Form 4
2026-07-29	Shepherd Brian A.	director	Award / grant	1,094	1,094	Form 4
2026-07-29	Goldthwaite Todd	officer	Award / grant	11,040	104,546	Form 4
2026-03-15	McMullen Greerson Greene	officer	Withheld for tax	363	12,644	Form 4
2026-02-19	Rhyu James Jeaho	director	Gift	1,350	733,227	Form 4
2026-02-18	Rhyu James Jeaho	director	Withheld for tax	9,282	734,577	Form 4
2026-02-18	Blackman Donna	officer	Withheld for tax	2,235	128,247	Form 4
2026-02-18	Goldthwaite Todd	officer	Withheld for tax	354	93,506	Form 4
2026-02-09	Rhyu James Jeaho	director	Withheld for tax	6,527	743,859	Form 4
2026-02-09	Blackman Donna	officer	Withheld for tax	1,109	130,482	Form 4
2026-02-09	Goldthwaite Todd	officer	Withheld for tax	88	93,860	Form 4
2026-02-08	Rhyu James Jeaho	director	Withheld for tax	1,623	750,386	Form 4
2026-02-08	Blackman Donna	officer	Withheld for tax	394	131,591	Form 4
2026-02-08	Goldthwaite Todd	officer	Withheld for tax	98	93,948	Form 4
2026-02-08	McMullen Greerson Greene	officer	Withheld for tax	95	13,007	Form 4
2025-12-04	Lawrence Allison	director	Award / grant	4,097	13,218	Form 4
2025-12-04	ALVAREZ AIDA	director	Award / grant	4,097	42,201	Form 4
2025-12-04	SMITH RALPH R	director	Award / grant	4,097	12,333	Form 4
2025-12-04	McFadden Eliza	director	Award / grant	4,097	6,359	Form 4
2025-12-04	KNOWLING ROBERT E JR	director	Award / grant	4,097	6,551	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i