Issued 2026-09-16 at $43.17 · now $43.17 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LQDT has typically landed between $35.71 and $50.95 — a range of −17.3% to +18.0% from the issuance price $43.17.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($43.17) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LQDT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $43.17 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $43.17 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $43.89 (+1.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $41.14–$46.64
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $35.71–$50.95
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-02-05 | −42.3% | −42.3% | +0.0% |
| 2008-02-07 | −40.9% | −40.9% | +0.0% |
| 2008-02-06 | −40.1% | −40.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-11-19 | +105.9% | +0.0% | +105.9% |
| 2020-11-20 | +99.2% | −1.0% | +99.2% |
| 2020-11-18 | +94.7% | +0.0% | +94.7% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
55%
+1.3%
n=20
Feb
40%
−3.0%
n=20
Mar
45%
+2.7%
n=20
Apr
50%
+2.2%
n=20
May
65%
+6.9%
n=20
Jun
70%
+2.4%
n=20
Jul
55%
+0.3%
n=20
Aug
55%
+3.7%
n=20
Sep
45%
+2.2%
n=20
Oct
40%
−3.6%
n=20
Nov
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Dec
40%
+2.3%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 390 @ $41.27 | $16K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 38,086 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 325 @ $41.27 | $13K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 38,086 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 390 @ $39.00 | $15K | −1.0% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,086 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 325 @ $39.00 | $13K | −0.8% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,086 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 389 @ $39.13 | $15K | −1.0% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,086 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 73 @ $39.13 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,086 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 39 @ $39.09 | $2K | −0.1% of holding | −1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,086 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 7,539 @ $39.22 | $296K | −15.6% of holding | −4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,686 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 2,600 @ $39.29 | $102K | −6.4% of holding | −4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,086 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Mateus-Tique Jaime | director | Sale | 38,471 @ $37.99 | $1.5M | −19.0% of holding | −3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 164,380 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Mateus-Tique Jaime | director | Sale | 1,011 @ $37.95 | $38K | −0.5% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 202,851 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | Mateus-Tique Jaime | director | Sale | 9,791 @ $37.95 | $372K | −4.6% of holding | +2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 203,862 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Mateus-Tique Jaime | director | Sale | 33,727 @ $37.95 | $1.3M | −13.6% of holding | +6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 213,653 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Mateus-Tique Jaime | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $37.95 | $76K | −0.8% of holding | +8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 247,380 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 1,945 @ $38.00 | $74K | −2.8% of holding | −0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,895 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 464 @ $38.00 | $18K | −0.7% of holding | −0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,895 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 3,842 @ $37.26 | $143K | −5.4% of holding | +3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,895 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 3,833 @ $36.99 | $142K | −5.4% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,895 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 3,824 @ $36.74 | $140K | −5.4% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,895 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 1,927 @ $36.55 | $70K | −2.8% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,895 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 367 @ $36.55 | $13K | −0.5% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,895 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 3,815 @ $36.49 | $139K | −5.4% of holding | +9.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,895 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-28 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 2,283 @ $36.24 | $83K | −3.3% of holding | +9.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,895 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 3,797 @ $35.99 | $137K | −5.4% of holding | +11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,895 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 1,523 @ $36.24 | $55K | −2.2% of holding | +11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,895 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 3,777 @ $35.49 | $134K | −6.9% of holding | +8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,965 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 3,768 @ $35.24 | $133K | −6.9% of holding | +8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,965 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 3,758 @ $35.00 | $132K | −6.9% of holding | +8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,965 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Shaffer Mark A | officer | Sale | 45,246 @ $34.00 | $1.5M | −61.4% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,398 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Sale | 10,663 @ $34.23 | $365K | −15.4% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 58,559 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Murray Novelette | officer | Sale | 2,640 @ $34.16 | $90K | −6.9% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,769 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Murray Novelette | officer | Sale | 2,285 @ $34.16 | $78K | −6.0% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,769 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Sale | 669 @ $34.29 | $23K | −1.0% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 69,222 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Murray Novelette | officer | Sale | 589 @ $34.16 | $20K | −1.6% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,769 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Murray Novelette | officer | Sale | 580 @ $34.16 | $20K | −1.6% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,769 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Sale | 145 @ $34.29 | $5K | −0.2% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 69,222 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Murray Novelette | officer | Sale | 82 @ $34.16 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,769 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Sale | 493 @ $34.45 | $17K | −0.7% of holding | +13.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 69,222 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Mateus-Tique Jaime | director | Sale | 6,913 @ $34.52 | $239K | −38.6% of holding | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,981 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Shaffer Mark A | officer | Sale | 3,307 @ $34.62 | $114K | −4.6% of holding | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 68,666 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Shaffer Mark A | officer | Sale | 864 @ $35.15 | $30K | −1.2% of holding | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 68,666 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Shaffer Mark A | officer | Sale | 874 @ $34.62 | $30K | −1.3% of holding | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 68,666 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Shaffer Mark A | officer | Sale | 866 @ $34.62 | $30K | −1.2% of holding | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 68,666 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Shaffer Mark A | officer | Sale | 852 @ $34.62 | $29K | −1.2% of holding | +12.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 68,666 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 2,600 @ $37.00 | $96K | −6.5% of holding | −5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,652 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-24 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 2,600 @ $35.06 | $91K | −6.1% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,252 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 2,600 @ $33.02 | $86K | −5.7% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 42,852 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Daunt John | officer | Sale | 2,600 @ $31.67 | $82K | −5.4% of holding | +3.1% | +20.2% | 45,452 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Murray Novelette | officer | Sale | 750 @ $31.50 | $24K | −2.9% of holding | +3.1% | +20.2% | 25,172 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Murray Novelette | officer | Sale | 610 @ $31.50 | $19K | −2.4% of holding | +3.1% | +20.2% | 25,172 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Murray Novelette | officer | Sale | 263 @ $31.50 | $8K | −1.0% of holding | +3.1% | +20.2% | 25,172 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Murray Novelette | officer | Sale | 203 @ $31.50 | $6K | −0.8% of holding | +3.1% | +20.2% | 25,172 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 213 @ $33.04 | $7K | −0.4% of holding | −0.5% | +15.2% | 48,869 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Angrick William P III | director | Sale | 44,115 @ $32.00 | $1.4M | −0.8% of holding | −1.7% | +14.4% | 5,216,333 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Sale | 7,914 @ $32.10 | $254K | −13.9% of holding | −1.7% | +14.4% | 49,082 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Angrick William P III | director | Sale | 5,885 @ $32.05 | $189K | −0.1% of holding | +0.4% | +16.6% | 5,260,448 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Sale | 1,168 @ $31.90 | $37K | −1.8% of holding | +0.4% | +16.6% | 65,495 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Sale | 1,131 @ $32.64 | $37K | −1.7% of holding | +0.4% | +16.6% | 66,483 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Sale | 971 @ $31.90 | $31K | −1.5% of holding | +0.4% | +16.6% | 65,495 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Sale | 944 @ $31.90 | $30K | −1.4% of holding | +0.4% | +16.6% | 65,495 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
235 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 390 | 38,476 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 325 | 38,411 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 325 | 10,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 390 | 14,244 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Daunt John | officer | Other acquisition | 1,340 | 38,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Daunt John | officer | Other acquisition | 1,171 | 38,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Murray Novelette | officer | Other acquisition | 548 | 35,769 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Murray Novelette | officer | Other acquisition | 486 | 35,769 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Option exercise | 1,970 | 7,880 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Shaffer Mark A | officer | Option exercise | 1,265 | 5,060 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 2,210 | 8,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Shaffer Mark A | officer | Option exercise | 771 | 29,169 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Murray Novelette | officer | Option exercise | 486 | 36,255 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Option exercise | 980 | 59,539 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Angrick William P III | director | Option exercise | 6,163 | 6,164 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Angrick William P III | director | Option exercise | 6,305 | 5,126,411 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Option exercise | 1,047 | 69,309 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 1,340 | 39,426 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Murray Novelette | officer | Option exercise | 1,071 | 1,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Option exercise | 1,785 | 1,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Shaffer Mark A | officer | Option exercise | 1,463 | 1,463 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Murray Novelette | officer | Option exercise | 950 | 3,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Option exercise | 2,677 | 2,678 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Weiskircher Steven | officer | Option exercise | 1,081 | 60,620 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 1,171 | 39,257 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Murray Novelette | officer | Option exercise | 548 | 36,317 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Option exercise | 1,367 | 68,262 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Angrick William P III | director | Option exercise | 6,305 | 25,220 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 1,932 | 1,933 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Celaya Jorge | officer | Option exercise | 2,050 | 8,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Angrick William P III | director | Option exercise | 6,163 | 5,120,106 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Shaffer Mark A | officer | Option exercise | 667 | 29,836 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | Angrick William P III | director | Gift | 115,000 | 5,113,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 390 | 38,476 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 325 | 38,411 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 325 | 10,992 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 390 | 14,634 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 389 | 38,475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 73 | 38,159 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Daunt John | officer | Option exercise | 389 | 15,024 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.