LOVEThe Lovesac CompanyConsumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliancesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.63 · now $14.63 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LOVE has typically landed between $10.56 and $18.91 — a range of −27.8% to +29.3% from the issuance price $14.63.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,045 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-06-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.63) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LOVE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.63 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$10.56worst · -27.8%$18.91best · +29.3%
  • now $14.63 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $14.28 (-2.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $12.44–$16.13
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.56–$18.91
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,045 windows spanning 2018-06-27 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−59.7%−60.4%+1.0%
2020-02-14−58.9%−59.0%+4.3%
2020-02-13−58.3%−58.3%+6.1%
3 best
2020-04-03+213.3%−1.7%+221.4%
2020-04-07+205.3%+0.0%+226.8%
2020-04-08+199.6%+0.0%+199.6%

2,045 overlapping windows · 2018-06-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−0.8%
n=8
Feb
38%
−3.3%
n=8
Mar
38%
−1.9%
n=8
Apr
63%
+20.0%
n=8
May
38%
+5.0%
n=8
Jun
38%
+2.0%
n=8
Jul
44%
+0.1%
n=9
Aug
22%
−8.3%
n=9
Sep
56%
+1.1%
n=9
Oct
38%
−5.0%
n=8
Nov
63%
+7.1%
n=8
Dec
75%
+6.1%
n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$21$112026-07-17: 1 insider sale, $92K — Mehra Vineet2026-06-22: 2 insider purchases, $50K — Nelson Shawn David, Fox Mary2026-06-18: 1 insider purchase, $440K — HEYER ANDREW R2026-04-16: 1 insider purchase, $25K — Nelson Shawn David2025-10-14: 1 insider purchase, $14K — Nelson Shawn David2025-09-16: 1 insider sale, $27K — Romig Shirley2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $27K2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $14K2026-04: 1 open-market purchase, $25K2026-06: 3 open-market purchases, $490K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $92K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Mehra Vineet — Sale on 2026-07-17, filed same daydirector Nelson Shawn David — Purchase on 2026-06-22, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Fox Mary — Purchase on 2026-06-22, filed same daydirector HEYER ANDREW R — Purchase on 2026-06-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Nelson Shawn David — Purchase on 2026-04-16, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Nelson Shawn David — Purchase on 2025-10-14, filed same daydirector Romig Shirley — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-17Mehra VineetdirectorSale5,000 @ $18.38$92K−21.7% of holding−9.9%not yet — horizon still open17,992Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-22Nelson Shawn DaviddirectorPurchase1,830 @ $13.64$25K+0.9% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open205,644Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-22Fox MaryofficerPurchase1,720 @ $14.41$25K+2.5% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open71,674Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-18HEYER ANDREW RdirectorPurchase30,000 @ $14.68$440K+11.4% of holding+21.4%not yet — horizon still open293,259Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-16Nelson Shawn DaviddirectorPurchase1,477 @ $16.95$25K+0.7% of holding−14.9%not yet — horizon still open202,681Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-14Nelson Shawn DaviddirectorPurchase1,000 @ $14.41$14K+0.6% of holding−10.9%+8.3%175,110Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-16Romig ShirleydirectorSale1,500 @ $17.83$27K−7.9% of holding−17.5%−41.2%17,573Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-20McLallen Walter FielddirectorPurchase1,000 @ $17.98$18K+2.6% of holding+0.9%−32.6%39,050Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-20McLallen Walter FielddirectorPurchase950 @ $18.18$17K+2.4% of holding+0.9%−32.6%40,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-17Krause Albert JackdirectorSale30,000 @ $26.33$790K−16.9% of holding−13.9%−31.9%147,849Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2024-12-23McLallen Walter FielddirectorPurchase1,000 @ $23.80$24K+4.2% of holding+4.7%−25.3%24,540Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-20McLallen Walter FielddirectorPurchase4,000 @ $24.68$99K+20.5% of holding+5.2%−27.3%23,540Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

177 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-09Boehme AlandirectorOption exercise5,2380Form 4
2026-09-09Boehme AlandirectorAward / grant5,2385,238Form 4
2026-07-17Farag AndrewofficerAward / grant1,13229,975Form 4
2026-06-23Farag AndrewofficerAward / grant28,84328,843Form 4
2026-06-11Fox MaryofficerWithheld for tax4,55374,265Form 4
2026-06-11Nelson Shawn DaviddirectorWithheld for tax4,357207,940Form 4
2026-06-11Fox MaryofficerWithheld for tax4,31169,954Form 4
2026-06-11Nelson Shawn DaviddirectorWithheld for tax4,126203,814Form 4
2026-06-11Siegner Keith R.officerWithheld for tax2,35033,808Form 4
2026-06-11Siegner Keith R.officerWithheld for tax2,22631,582Form 4
2026-06-11Fox MaryofficerOption exercise9,6169,616Form 4
2026-06-11Fox MaryofficerAward / grant9,61678,818Form 4
2026-06-11Siegner Keith R.officerOption exercise5,0715,071Form 4
2026-06-11Nelson Shawn DaviddirectorAward / grant9,616212,297Form 4
2026-06-11Nelson Shawn DaviddirectorOption exercise9,6169,616Form 4
2026-06-11Siegner Keith R.officerAward / grant5,07136,158Form 4
2026-06-10Leite Sharon MdirectorAward / grant6,30827,274Form 4
2026-06-10Leite Sharon MdirectorOption exercise6,3080Form 4
2026-06-10McLallen Walter FielddirectorAward / grant6,30846,308Form 4
2026-06-10McLallen Walter FielddirectorOption exercise6,3080Form 4
2026-06-10Mehra VineetdirectorAward / grant6,30822,992Form 4
2026-06-10Romig ShirleydirectorOption exercise6,3080Form 4
2026-06-10Romig ShirleydirectorAward / grant6,30823,881Form 4
2026-06-10HEYER ANDREW RdirectorAward / grant6,308256,951Form 4
2026-06-10HEYER ANDREW RdirectorAward / grant6,308263,259Form 4
2026-06-10Mehra VineetdirectorOption exercise6,3080Form 4
2026-06-10HEYER ANDREW RdirectorOption exercise6,3080Form 4
2026-06-09Mehra VineetdirectorAward / grant7,9477,947Form 4
2026-06-09Boehme AlandirectorAward / grant7,9477,947Form 4
2026-06-09HEYER ANDREW RdirectorAward / grant7,9477,947Form 4
2026-06-09HEYER ANDREW RdirectorAward / grant7,94715,894Form 4
2026-06-09Leite Sharon MdirectorAward / grant7,9477,947Form 4
2026-06-09McLallen Walter FielddirectorAward / grant7,9477,947Form 4
2026-06-09Romig ShirleydirectorAward / grant7,9477,947Form 4
2026-06-09Martello Wan LingdirectorAward / grant7,9477,947Form 4
2026-06-09Martello Wan LingdirectorAward / grant4,7684,768Form 4
2026-04-15Fox MaryofficerWithheld for tax8,08078,767Form 4
2026-04-15Nelson Shawn DaviddirectorWithheld for tax7,731210,357Form 4
2026-04-15Fox MaryofficerWithheld for tax7,43369,202Form 4
2026-04-15Nelson Shawn DaviddirectorWithheld for tax7,113201,204Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.