Issued 2026-09-17 at $102.54 · now $102.54 (2026-09-17, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-17 close, LOGI has typically landed between $88.12 and $118.47 — a range of −14.1% to +15.5% from the issuance price $102.54.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,004 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-18 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,377 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-17 issuance close ($102.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-16, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LOGI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-17 close of $102.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $102.54 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $103.24 (+0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $95.75–$110.73
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $88.12–$118.47
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-26 | −43.1% | −43.1% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-23 | −40.2% | −40.2% | +1.4% |
| 2009-01-02 | −39.9% | −41.1% | +0.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-11 | +45.8% | +0.0% | +45.8% |
| 2009-03-06 | +45.4% | −4.6% | +45.4% |
| 2009-03-09 | +44.6% | +0.0% | +52.3% |
5,004 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-17 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Harnett Samantha | officer | Sale | 5,884 @ $102.31 | $602K | −13.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 37,597 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Harnett Samantha | officer | Sale | 5,830 @ $101.22 | $590K | −11.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 43,481 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Harnett Samantha | officer | Sale | 4,051 @ $99.96 | $405K | −7.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 49,311 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Harnett Samantha | officer | Sale | 500 @ $102.79 | $51K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 37,097 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Montgomery Neela | director | Sale | 5,833 @ $120.61 | $704K | −31.3% of holding | −2.8% | −19.3% | 12,781 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Arunkundrum Prakash | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $111.03 | $555K | −7.4% of holding | −3.1% | −19.4% | 62,437 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | Arunkundrum Prakash | officer | Sale | 9,900 @ $105.00 | $1.0M | −14.7% of holding | +4.2% | −16.4% | 57,437 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-03 | Harnett Samantha | officer | Sale | 300 @ $96.60 | $29K | −3.9% of holding | +3.7% | −6.9% | 7,348 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-27 | Harnett Samantha | officer | Sale | 280 @ $80.09 | $22K | −3.5% of holding | +5.7% | +4.9% | 7,648 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
65 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Montgomery Neela | director | Withheld for tax | 721 | 14,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Jones Christopher Richardson | director | Withheld for tax | 720 | 11,121 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Mahoney Owen | director | Withheld for tax | 719 | 7,224 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | LAO MARJORIE | director | Withheld for tax | 719 | 20,692 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Thomas Deborah | director | Withheld for tax | 714 | 14,805 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | GECHT GUY | director | Withheld for tax | 585 | 21,934 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Allan Donald | director | Withheld for tax | 585 | 7,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Bugnion Edouard | director | Withheld for tax | 138 | 51,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Zahnd Sascha | director | Withheld for tax | 136 | 14,230 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Ng Kwok Wang | director | Withheld for tax | 136 | 15,427 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Allan Donald | director | Award / grant | 1,022 | 7,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Mahoney Owen | director | Award / grant | 813 | 7,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Allan Donald | director | Award / grant | 2,518 | 6,752 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Montgomery Neela | director | Award / grant | 2,518 | 15,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Thomas Deborah | director | Award / grant | 2,518 | 15,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Mahoney Owen | director | Award / grant | 2,518 | 7,130 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Ng Kwok Wang | director | Award / grant | 2,518 | 15,563 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Zahnd Sascha | director | Award / grant | 2,518 | 14,366 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | LAO MARJORIE | director | Award / grant | 2,518 | 21,411 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Jones Christopher Richardson | director | Award / grant | 2,518 | 11,841 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | GECHT GUY | director | Award / grant | 2,518 | 22,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Bugnion Edouard | director | Award / grant | 2,518 | 52,034 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Harnett Samantha | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,712 | 53,362 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Harnett Samantha | officer | Award / grant | 15,247 | 61,074 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Faber Johanna W. | director | Award / grant | 90 | 14,905 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Harnett Samantha | officer | Withheld for tax | 23,348 | 45,827 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Harnett Samantha | officer | Award / grant | 47,153 | 69,175 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Harnett Samantha | officer | Award / grant | 5,757 | 22,022 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Anversa Matteo | director | Award / grant | 8,956 | 16,558 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Anversa Matteo | director | Withheld for tax | 3,231 | 7,602 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Faber Johanna W. | director | Withheld for tax | 7,388 | 14,815 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Faber Johanna W. | director | Award / grant | 100 | 22,203 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-16 | Arunkundrum Prakash | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 67,437 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-16 | Arunkundrum Prakash | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 28,692 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Mahoney Owen | director | Award / grant | 377 | 2,274 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Montgomery Neela | director | Award / grant | 2,338 | 18,614 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Bugnion Edouard | director | Award / grant | 2,338 | 49,516 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Thomas Deborah | director | Award / grant | 2,338 | 13,001 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | LAO MARJORIE | director | Award / grant | 2,338 | 18,893 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-09 | GECHT GUY | director | Award / grant | 2,338 | 20,001 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.