Issued 2026-09-16 at $100.54 · now $100.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LNTH has typically landed between $80.85 and $126.55 — a range of −19.6% to +25.9% from the issuance price $100.54.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,802 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-06-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($100.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LNTH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $100.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $100.54 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $102.91 (+2.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $93.6–$112.21
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $80.85–$126.55
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2015-09-09 | −49.0% | −51.7% | +0.0% |
| 2015-09-04 | −48.4% | −48.4% | +6.9% |
| 2015-09-10 | −47.7% | −49.1% | +0.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2016-08-02 | +163.7% | +0.0% | +168.7% |
| 2016-08-03 | +158.2% | +0.0% | +163.6% |
| 2016-08-01 | +147.8% | −6.7% | +150.6% |
2,802 overlapping windows · 2015-06-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-20 | FARALLON PARTNERS L L C/CA | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,365,000 @ $56.15 | $188.9M | −49.2% of holding | −14.5% | +22.9% | 3,477,227 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | PATEL RAJIV A | other | Sale | 3,365,000 @ $56.15 | $188.9M | −49.2% of holding | −14.5% | +22.9% | 3,477,227 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | FARALLON PARTNERS L L C/CA | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 41,000 @ $55.34 | $2.3M | −0.6% of holding | −10.0% | +25.1% | 6,842,227 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | PATEL RAJIV A | other | Sale | 41,000 @ $55.34 | $2.3M | −0.6% of holding | −10.0% | +25.1% | 6,842,227 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Blanchfield Paul | officer | Sale | 3,060 @ $53.57 | $164K | −2.7% of holding | −3.5% | +21.5% | 108,214 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Niedzwiecki Daniel | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $78.74 | $472K | −6.4% of holding | −9.3% | −29.3% | 87,057 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | Marshall Robert J. Jr. | director | Sale | 27,036 @ $83.40 | $2.3M | −23.3% of holding | −3.9% | −39.8% | 88,860 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | Marshall Robert J. Jr. | director | Sale | 9,243 @ $82.50 | $763K | −7.4% of holding | −3.9% | −39.8% | 115,896 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | McHugh Julie | director | Sale | 5,192 @ $81.62 | $424K | −16.7% of holding | −3.9% | −39.8% | 25,962 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | Marshall Robert J. Jr. | director | Sale | 3,494 @ $81.27 | $284K | −2.7% of holding | −3.9% | −39.8% | 125,139 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | Blanchfield Paul | officer | Sale | 6,599 @ $79.65 | $526K | −5.6% of holding | −2.3% | −39.0% | 111,792 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | Niedzwiecki Daniel | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $79.65 | $478K | −6.1% of holding | −2.3% | −39.0% | 93,057 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Sale | 22,926 @ $77.09 | $1.8M | −6.7% of holding | −1.8% | −38.8% | 318,650 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Sale | 3,140 @ $74.90 | $235K | −0.9% of holding | −1.8% | −38.8% | 341,576 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | Marshall Robert J. Jr. | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $100.52 | $1.0M | −8.1% of holding | +4.9% | −66.5% | 113,860 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-13 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Sale | 2 @ $100.13 | $200 | −0.0% of holding | +5.6% | −66.6% | 8,618 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Blanchfield Paul | officer | Sale | 2,084 @ $98.00 | $204K | −2.2% of holding | +4.4% | −58.4% | 91,828 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Sale | 17,694 @ $95.40 | $1.7M | −3.8% of holding | +6.9% | −52.0% | 445,370 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Sale | 15,017 @ $94.09 | $1.4M | −3.1% of holding | +6.9% | −52.0% | 463,064 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Sale | 9,160 @ $93.32 | $855K | −1.9% of holding | +6.9% | −52.0% | 478,081 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Sale | 6,265 @ $92.29 | $578K | −1.3% of holding | +6.9% | −52.0% | 487,241 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Sale | 4,971 @ $95.91 | $477K | −1.1% of holding | +6.9% | −52.0% | 440,399 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-15 | Thrall James H | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $94.76 | $95K | −2.9% of holding | −17.3% | −31.4% | 33,207 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-06-07 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Sale | 1 @ $81.26 | $81 | −0.0% of holding | +27.4% | −3.1% | 37,719 | Form 4 · filed 283 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
100 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Marshall Robert J. Jr. | director | Withheld for tax | 721 | 122,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Dinkelborg Ludger | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,536 | 33,195 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Brown Kimberly | officer | Withheld for tax | 463 | 13,263 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Withheld for tax | 1,227 | 321,897 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Ber Gerard | director | Withheld for tax | 381 | 27,118 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Pruden Gary J | director | Award / grant | 4,137 | 6,674 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Baylor-Henry Minnie | director | Award / grant | 4,137 | 14,018 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Ber Gerard | director | Award / grant | 4,137 | 27,499 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Maeusli Heinz Christoph | director | Award / grant | 4,137 | 30,014 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | McHugh Julie | director | Award / grant | 4,137 | 30,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | LENO SAM R | director | Award / grant | 4,137 | 67,246 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | EASTLAND JULIA MARIE | director | Award / grant | 4,137 | 8,019 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Thrall James H | director | Award / grant | 4,137 | 39,881 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Morrow Phuong Khanh | director | Award / grant | 4,137 | 7,237 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Niedzwiecki Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,911 | 117,465 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Niedzwiecki Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,283 | 119,376 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Marshall Robert J. Jr. | director | Withheld for tax | 1,182 | 122,792 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Morgan Amanda Michelle | officer | Withheld for tax | 595 | 64,153 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Brown Kimberly | officer | Withheld for tax | 133 | 13,726 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Marshall Robert J. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 38,002 | 123,974 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Dinkelborg Ludger | officer | Award / grant | 20,966 | 35,731 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Morgan Amanda Michelle | officer | Award / grant | 26,208 | 64,748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Niedzwiecki Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 36,692 | 120,659 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Brown Kimberly | officer | Award / grant | 6,158 | 13,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Withheld for tax | 41,916 | 323,124 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Marshall Robert J. Jr. | director | Withheld for tax | 10,652 | 85,972 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Niedzwiecki Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,259 | 83,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Morgan Amanda Michelle | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,336 | 38,540 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Award / grant | 32,105 | 365,040 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Marshall Robert J. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 8,491 | 96,624 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Morgan Amanda Michelle | officer | Award / grant | 2,782 | 41,876 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Niedzwiecki Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 5,169 | 92,226 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Morgan Amanda Michelle | officer | Withheld for tax | 368 | 39,094 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Award / grant | 14,285 | 332,935 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-17 | Heino Mary Anne | director | Award / grant | 26,325 | 26,325 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-29 | Marshall Robert J. Jr. | director | Withheld for tax | 727 | 88,133 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-15 | Brown Kimberly | officer | Withheld for tax | 463 | 7,701 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-15 | Dinkelborg Ludger | officer | Award / grant | 25,324 | 25,324 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-15 | Dinkelborg Ludger | officer | Award / grant | 14,765 | 14,765 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Blanchfield Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 518 | 111,274 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.