LNTAlliant Energy CorporationUtilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $66.11 · now $66.11 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LNT has typically landed between $61.18 and $71.68 — a range of −7.5% to +8.4% from the issuance price $66.11.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($66.11) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LNT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $66.11 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$61.18worst · -7.5%$71.68best · +8.4%
  • now $66.11 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $66.77 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $64.56–$68.98
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $61.18–$71.68
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−32.4%−32.4%+0.0%
2020-02-20−31.7%−31.7%+0.0%
2009-02-05−31.2%−31.2%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+27.6%+0.0%+34.1%
2020-03-20+22.1%−1.7%+31.7%
2008-10-10+21.5%+0.0%+35.6%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$19.4B
market cap
$3.19
EPS (TTM)
23.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$4.4B
'20'25
Net income$810M
'20'25
Free cash flow−$1.3B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr18.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr11.0%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.68
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $66.11$-7.17$89.68
  • DCF (intrinsic)$-0.4862
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$72.01
  • Analyst target · range $74.00–$83.00$76.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$66.11

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+1.1%
n=18
Feb
53%
−0.8%
n=19
Mar
74%
+3.5%
n=19
Apr
68%
+1.4%
n=19
May
58%
+0.5%
n=19
Jun
47%
+0.2%
n=19
Jul
79%
+3.2%
n=19
Aug
63%
+0.1%
n=19
Sep
37%
−1.6%
n=19
Oct
67%
+2.1%
n=18
Nov
67%
+1.9%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.5%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$78$622026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $7 — DURIAN ROBERT J2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $7↑ buys↓ salesofficer DURIAN ROBERT J — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10DURIAN ROBERT JofficerSale0 @ $68.60$7−0.0% of holding+0.9%not yet — horizon still open158,146Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

86 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-10Asthana ManudirectorAward / grant998998Form 4
2026-07-10Raymond ChristiedirectorAward / grant9989,648Form 4
2026-07-10Garcia Michael DennisdirectorAward / grant83826,794Form 4
2026-07-10Falotico Nancy JoydirectorAward / grant74420,523Form 4
2026-07-10Newport Roger KdirectorAward / grant73632,420Form 4
2026-07-10Cortina Ignacio AdirectorAward / grant63810,943Form 4
2026-07-10Cox StephaniedirectorAward / grant52417,907Form 4
2026-07-10ALLEN PATRICK EdirectorAward / grant49146,349Form 4
2026-04-15Smyth Antonio PofficerWithheld for tax1,25920,678Form 4
2026-04-10Raymond ChristiedirectorAward / grant1,0438,585Form 4
2026-04-10Garcia Michael DennisdirectorAward / grant87625,762Form 4
2026-04-10Falotico Nancy JoydirectorAward / grant77819,630Form 4
2026-04-10Newport Roger KdirectorAward / grant76931,446Form 4
2026-04-10Cortina Ignacio AdirectorAward / grant66710,227Form 4
2026-04-10Cox StephaniedirectorAward / grant54717,253Form 4
2026-04-10ALLEN PATRICK EdirectorAward / grant51345,515Form 4
2026-02-19Barton Lisa MdirectorWithheld for tax28,594107,452Form 4
2026-02-19DURIAN ROBERT JofficerWithheld for tax16,630157,126Form 4
2026-02-19Sundararajan RajaofficerWithheld for tax11,32433,050Form 4
2026-02-19Smyth Antonio PofficerWithheld for tax6,22621,855Form 4
2026-02-19de Leon David AofficerWithheld for tax5,20747,708Form 4
2026-02-19Farlinger MayuriofficerWithheld for tax1,17910,432Form 4
2026-02-19Syse DylanofficerWithheld for tax5064,020Form 4
2026-02-19Smyth Antonio PofficerAward / grant13,11422,841Form 4
2026-02-19Smyth Antonio PofficerAward / grant5,24028,081Form 4
2026-02-19de Leon David AofficerAward / grant8,61650,609Form 4
2026-02-19de Leon David AofficerAward / grant2,30652,915Form 4
2026-02-19Sundararajan RajaofficerAward / grant18,76835,590Form 4
2026-02-19Sundararajan RajaofficerAward / grant8,78444,374Form 4
2026-02-19Farlinger MayuriofficerAward / grant1,09811,611Form 4
2026-02-19Farlinger MayuriofficerAward / grant3,02610,513Form 4
2026-02-19Barton Lisa MdirectorAward / grant29,527136,046Form 4
2026-02-19Valcq Rebecca C.officerAward / grant1,0042,773Form 4
2026-02-19Barton Lisa MdirectorAward / grant47,533106,519Form 4
2026-02-19Syse DylanofficerAward / grant1,0633,776Form 4
2026-02-19Syse DylanofficerAward / grant7504,526Form 4
2026-02-19DURIAN ROBERT JofficerAward / grant27,882167,806Form 4
2026-02-19DURIAN ROBERT JofficerAward / grant5,950173,756Form 4
2026-01-09Raymond ChristiedirectorAward / grant1,1737,486Form 4
2026-01-09Garcia Michael DennisdirectorAward / grant98424,701Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'25 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-09-122025-08-04$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-09-122025-08-13$1–15K
Lois FrankelHousesale2023-10-102023-09-08$1–15K
Lois FrankelHousepurchase2023-03-132023-01-31$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-08-312022-07-22$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-08-312022-07-22$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-08-312022-07-22$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-08-312022-07-22$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-05-262022-04-25$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-05-262022-04-25$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-05-262022-04-25$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-05-262022-05-02$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-05-262022-05-12$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-05-262022-05-12$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.