Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.08 · now $7.08 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LNSR has typically landed between $5.43 and $9.61 — a range of −23.3% to +35.7% from the issuance price $7.08.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,474 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-10-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.08) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LNSR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.08 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.08 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7 (-1.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.31–$7.69
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.43–$9.61
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-02-25 | −54.5% | −54.5% | +0.6% |
| 2026-03-09 | −53.5% | −53.6% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-24 | −53.3% | −53.5% | +2.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-12-12 | +102.3% | −1.4% | +102.3% |
| 2023-12-11 | +96.0% | −4.0% | +96.0% |
| 2023-12-13 | +82.5% | +0.0% | +105.1% |
1,474 overlapping windows · 2020-10-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
34 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | CURTIS NICHOLAS T | director | Award / grant | 130,662 | 1,122,758 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Connaughton Alan B. | officer | Award / grant | 34,843 | 389,173 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | ELLIS THOMAS B | director | Award / grant | 17,421 | 56,083 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | HAMMER TODD B | director | Award / grant | 17,421 | 56,083 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | LINK WILLIAM J PHD | director | Award / grant | 17,421 | 568,062 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | LINDSTROM RICHARD L MD | director | Award / grant | 17,421 | 263,831 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Winer Gary M | director | Award / grant | 17,421 | 105,635 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | O'Farrell Elizabeth G. | director | Award / grant | 17,421 | 67,368 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | WEISNER AIMEE S | director | Award / grant | 17,421 | 110,368 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Wong Kendra | officer | Award / grant | 13,066 | 56,481 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | STAAB THOMAS R II | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,350 | 174,609 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Wong Kendra | officer | Withheld for tax | 864 | 43,415 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | CURTIS NICHOLAS T | director | Other acquisition | 0 | 992,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | STAAB THOMAS R II | officer | Option exercise | 5,500 | 175,959 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | STAAB THOMAS R II | officer | Option exercise | 5,500 | 14,295 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Connaughton Alan B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,392 | 357,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | STAAB THOMAS R II | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,076 | 170,459 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | CURTIS NICHOLAS T | director | Other acquisition | 0 | 992,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-11 | Connaughton Alan B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,262 | 359,461 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-11 | STAAB THOMAS R II | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,826 | 171,535 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-11 | CURTIS NICHOLAS T | director | Other acquisition | 0 | 992,096 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-23 | LINK WILLIAM J PHD | director | Award / grant | 7,374 | 550,641 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-23 | WEISNER AIMEE S | director | Award / grant | 7,374 | 92,947 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-23 | Winer Gary M | director | Award / grant | 7,374 | 88,214 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-23 | O'Farrell Elizabeth G. | director | Award / grant | 7,374 | 49,947 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-23 | ELLIS THOMAS B | director | Award / grant | 7,374 | 38,662 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-23 | HAMMER TODD B | director | Award / grant | 7,374 | 38,662 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-23 | LINDSTROM RICHARD L MD | director | Award / grant | 7,374 | 246,410 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | STAAB THOMAS R II | officer | Award / grant | 12,766 | 173,361 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | CURTIS NICHOLAS T | director | Award / grant | 127,660 | 992,096 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | Connaughton Alan B. | officer | Award / grant | 37,234 | 361,723 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | Wong Kendra | officer | Award / grant | 6,383 | 42,236 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-11 | STAAB THOMAS R II | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,839 | 160,595 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-11 | Wong Kendra | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,132 | 35,853 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.