LNGCheniere Energy, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Midstreamas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $267.75 · now $267.75 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LNG has typically landed between $243.01 and $311.07 — a range of −9.2% to +16.2% from the issuance price $267.75.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($267.75) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LNG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $267.75 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$243.01worst · -9.2%$311.07best · +16.2%
  • now $267.75 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $271.18 (+1.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $259.17–$283.19
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $243.01–$311.07
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-04-10−71.2%−71.2%+0.0%
2008-09-16−69.4%−69.4%+0.0%
2008-04-14−68.8%−68.9%+0.0%
3 best
2008-10-15+291.7%+0.0%+370.2%
2011-10-03+192.9%+0.0%+197.9%
2008-10-09+188.6%−13.9%+304.8%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
75%
+7.9%
n=20
Feb
75%
+7.2%
n=20
Mar
65%
+0.9%
n=20
Apr
45%
+2.8%
n=20
May
55%
−2.4%
n=20
Jun
55%
−0.2%
n=20
Jul
50%
+0.1%
n=20
Aug
60%
+0.4%
n=20
Sep
60%
−2.1%
n=20
Oct
65%
+9.7%
n=20
Nov
50%
+3.5%
n=20
Dec
40%
−1.1%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$296$1872026-03-30: 1 insider sale, $8.7M — Davis Zach2026-03-27: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — BOTTA G ANDREA2026-03-26: 4 insider sales, $18.2M — Feygin Anatol, Markowitz Sean N …2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — SHEAR NEAL A2025-11-04: 2 insider purchases, $1.0M — MORELAND W BENJAMIN …2025-11: 2 open-market purchases, $1.0M2026-03: 7 open-market sales, $29.4M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Davis Zach — Sale on 2026-03-30, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BOTTA G ANDREA — Sale on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Feygin Anatol — Sale on 2026-03-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Markowitz Sean N — Sale on 2026-03-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Feygin Anatol — Sale on 2026-03-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Markowitz Sean N — Sale on 2026-03-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SHEAR NEAL A — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MORELAND W BENJAMIN — Purchase on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MORELAND W BENJAMIN — Purchase on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-30Davis ZachofficerSale29,000 @ $300.00$8.7M−25.0% of holding−19.9%not yet — horizon still open87,146Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-27BOTTA G ANDREAdirectorSale5,000 @ $296.47$1.5M−14.2% of holding−23.0%not yet — horizon still open30,186Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-26Feygin AnatolofficerSale30,183 @ $290.89$8.8M−16.1% of holding−21.8%not yet — horizon still open157,357Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-26Markowitz Sean NofficerSale13,436 @ $291.30$3.9M−17.4% of holding−21.8%not yet — horizon still open64,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-26Feygin AnatolofficerSale10,249 @ $291.24$3.0M−6.5% of holding−21.8%not yet — horizon still open147,108Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-26Markowitz Sean NofficerSale8,810 @ $290.50$2.6M−10.2% of holding−21.8%not yet — horizon still open77,436Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-02SHEAR NEAL AdirectorSale4,100 @ $248.71$1.0M−13.8% of holding+19.0%+5.4%25,633Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-04MORELAND W BENJAMINdirectorPurchase3,900 @ $208.06$811K+80.3% of holding−0.5%+11.0%8,756Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-04MORELAND W BENJAMINdirectorPurchase1,100 @ $208.77$230K+12.6% of holding−0.5%+11.0%9,856Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-05SHEAR NEAL AdirectorSale4,300 @ $245.93$1.1M−12.6% of holding−7.8%−30.4%29,733Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-27BOTTA G ANDREAdirectorSale9,000 @ $219.51$2.0M−21.0% of holding+7.6%−1.0%33,934Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-26Feygin AnatolofficerSale23,478 @ $216.43$5.1M−11.0% of holding+7.9%+1.4%189,003Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

217 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-15Mitchelmore LorrainedirectorWithheld for tax517,972Form 4
2026-07-14Vitalone Britt J.directorAward / grant6142,614Form 4
2026-05-14Mitchelmore LorrainedirectorAward / grant1,3078,023Form 4
2026-05-14Hinz MaasofficerAward / grant2,9112,911Form 4
2026-05-14Robillard Donald F JRdirectorAward / grant1,43251,489Form 4
2026-05-14SHEAR NEAL AdirectorAward / grant1,30726,940Form 4
2026-05-14Edwards Brian EdirectorAward / grant8094,913Form 4
2026-05-14COLLAWN PATRICIA KdirectorAward / grant1,39111,873Form 4
2026-05-14Gray DenisedirectorAward / grant1,3076,532Form 4
2026-05-14MORELAND W BENJAMINdirectorAward / grant1,41111,267Form 4
2026-05-13Mitchelmore LorrainedirectorWithheld for tax3946,716Form 4
2026-02-15Mitchelmore LorrainedirectorWithheld for tax537,110Form 4
2026-02-11Fusco Jack AdirectorDisposition8,0825,244Form 4
2026-02-11Fusco Jack AdirectorWithheld for tax5,2440Form 4
2026-02-11Davis ZachofficerWithheld for tax1,293116,146Form 4
2026-02-11Feygin AnatolofficerWithheld for tax1,157187,540Form 4
2026-02-11Markowitz Sean NofficerWithheld for tax1,15786,246Form 4
2026-02-11Hinz MaasofficerDisposition1,26720,668Form 4
2026-02-11Hinz MaasofficerWithheld for tax82319,845Form 4
2026-02-11Slack David LofficerWithheld for tax57913,618Form 4
2026-02-11Fusco Jack AdirectorOption exercise13,32626,652Form 4
2026-02-11Davis ZachofficerOption exercise3,2856,570Form 4
2026-02-11Davis ZachofficerAward / grant11,56111,561Form 4
2026-02-11Slack David LofficerOption exercise1,5083,017Form 4
2026-02-11Slack David LofficerAward / grant6,0506,050Form 4
2026-02-11Fusco Jack AdirectorAward / grant44,61744,617Form 4
2026-02-11Hinz MaasofficerOption exercise2,0904,181Form 4
2026-02-11Hinz MaasofficerAward / grant7,7497,749Form 4
2026-02-11Feygin AnatolofficerOption exercise2,9395,880Form 4
2026-02-11Feygin AnatolofficerAward / grant10,18610,186Form 4
2026-02-11Markowitz Sean NofficerOption exercise2,9395,880Form 4
2026-02-11Markowitz Sean NofficerAward / grant10,18610,186Form 4
2026-02-11Markowitz Sean NofficerOption exercise2,93987,403Form 4
2026-02-11Davis ZachofficerOption exercise3,285117,439Form 4
2026-02-11Hinz MaasofficerOption exercise2,09021,935Form 4
2026-02-11Markowitz Sean NofficerOption exercise2,93987,403Form 4
2026-02-11Feygin AnatolofficerOption exercise2,939188,697Form 4
2026-02-11Slack David LofficerOption exercise1,50814,197Form 4
2026-02-11Feygin AnatolofficerOption exercise2,939188,697Form 4
2026-02-11Fusco Jack AdirectorOption exercise13,32613,326Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.