Issued 2026-09-16 at $48.57 · now $48.57 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LMND has typically landed between $34.88 and $69.59 — a range of −28.2% to +43.3% from the issuance price $48.57.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,538 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-07-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($48.57) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LMND has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $48.57 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $48.57 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $47.76 (-1.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $41.47–$54.05
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $34.88–$69.59
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,538 windows spanning 2020-07-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-22 | −47.7% | −47.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-23 | −44.0% | −45.8% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-28 | −43.8% | −45.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-10-25 | +176.8% | −2.0% | +176.8% |
| 2024-10-30 | +176.3% | +0.0% | +176.3% |
| 2024-10-29 | +172.1% | +0.0% | +182.3% |
1,538 overlapping windows · 2020-07-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
+4.0%
n=6
Feb
50%
−10.3%
n=6
Mar
50%
−4.4%
n=6
Apr
17%
−9.9%
n=6
May
83%
+13.9%
n=6
Jun
50%
+6.8%
n=6
Jul
50%
−1.6%
n=6
Aug
71%
+2.2%
n=7
Sep
14%
−9.0%
n=7
Oct
67%
+9.8%
n=6
Nov
67%
+34.8%
n=6
Dec
17%
−2.6%
n=6
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 2,249 @ $54.45 | $122K | −3.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 73,834 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 1,893 @ $54.63 | $103K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 172,370 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Prosor Maya | officer | Sale | 1,040 @ $54.63 | $57K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 186,533 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 859 @ $54.63 | $47K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 76,083 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 11,000 @ $52.55 | $578K | −12.5% of holding | −3.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,942 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 73,000 @ $79.18 | $5.8M | −29.5% of holding | −35.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 174,263 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 3,444 @ $79.00 | $272K | −4.2% of holding | −33.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 77,942 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 3,608 @ $52.94 | $191K | −4.2% of holding | +51.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 81,386 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 2,227 @ $53.17 | $118K | −0.9% of holding | +49.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 247,263 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 1,735 @ $53.17 | $92K | −2.0% of holding | +49.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,994 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Prosor Maya | officer | Sale | 1,220 @ $53.17 | $65K | −0.6% of holding | +49.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 187,573 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 3,571 @ $52.50 | $187K | −4.4% of holding | +16.2% | −15.2% | 76,729 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 2,135 @ $50.12 | $107K | −0.8% of holding | +21.2% | −13.6% | 249,490 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 1,773 @ $50.12 | $89K | −2.2% of holding | +21.2% | −13.6% | 80,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Prosor Maya | officer | Sale | 223 @ $50.12 | $11K | −2.9% of holding | +21.2% | −13.6% | 7,404 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-23 | Schreiber Daniel A. | director | Sale | 9,108 @ $99.04 | $902K | −0.6% of holding | −43.7% | −41.3% | 1,514,426 | Form 4 · filed 12 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-22 | Schreiber Daniel A. | director | Sale | 126,625 @ $94.74 | $12.0M | −7.7% of holding | −46.7% | −45.5% | 1,523,534 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-22 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 9,000 @ $90.00 | $810K | −11.4% of holding | −46.7% | −45.5% | 70,228 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $80.00 | $800K | −14.1% of holding | −12.4% | −21.3% | 60,771 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 7,919 @ $84.15 | $666K | −4.0% of holding | −1.7% | −36.1% | 188,391 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Schwartz Debra | director | Sale | 4,200 @ $83.59 | $351K | −16.3% of holding | −1.7% | −36.1% | 21,567 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 7,919 @ $81.15 | $643K | −3.9% of holding | +9.0% | −35.1% | 196,310 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 3,554 @ $81.00 | $288K | −4.8% of holding | +9.0% | −35.1% | 70,771 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-09 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 29,237 @ $77.17 | $2.3M | −12.5% of holding | −1.3% | −36.4% | 204,229 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 17,799 @ $78.97 | $1.4M | −7.2% of holding | +3.5% | −34.3% | 227,987 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 15,839 @ $78.92 | $1.3M | −6.9% of holding | +3.5% | −34.3% | 212,148 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 7,919 @ $78.94 | $625K | −3.7% of holding | +3.5% | −34.3% | 204,229 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 2,667 @ $72.37 | $193K | −3.5% of holding | +3.6% | −38.5% | 74,325 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 2,862 @ $72.74 | $208K | −1.1% of holding | +4.7% | −40.3% | 251,625 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 2,677 @ $72.74 | $195K | −3.4% of holding | +4.7% | −40.3% | 76,992 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Prosor Maya | officer | Sale | 198 @ $72.74 | $14K | −2.5% of holding | +4.7% | −40.3% | 7,627 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 3,798 @ $73.25 | $278K | −4.6% of holding | +5.8% | −34.0% | 79,669 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-20 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 18,930 @ $72.77 | $1.4M | −18.5% of holding | +16.1% | −31.3% | 83,467 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $75.51 | $2.3M | −100.0% of holding | +2.7% | −42.2% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 5,988 @ $78.00 | $467K | −2.6% of holding | −1.5% | −42.5% | 227,987 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $74.00 | $1.5M | −8.1% of holding | +3.7% | −37.1% | 227,987 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $72.04 | $1.4M | −8.1% of holding | +3.7% | −37.1% | 227,987 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 2,906 @ $50.34 | $146K | −1.1% of holding | +2.7% | +3.9% | 260,487 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 2,718 @ $50.34 | $137K | −2.6% of holding | +2.7% | +3.9% | 102,397 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Prosor Maya | officer | Sale | 282 @ $50.34 | $14K | −3.5% of holding | +2.7% | +3.9% | 7,825 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 38,155 @ $60.00 | $2.3M | −26.6% of holding | −13.9% | −2.5% | 105,115 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $58.00 | $290K | −2.6% of holding | −13.9% | −2.5% | 189,653 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 0 @ $53.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −8.7% | +27.3% | 189,653 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $49.00 | $245K | −2.6% of holding | +2.4% | +44.9% | 189,653 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-21 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $42.70 | $43K | −0.4% of holding | +40.5% | +86.2% | 263,393 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-18 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $42.50 | $255K | −2.2% of holding | +39.3% | +77.6% | 263,393 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-14 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $38.16 | $191K | −1.9% of holding | +32.7% | +102.9% | 263,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-07 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $42.50 | $255K | −2.2% of holding | +11.3% | +68.9% | 263,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-07 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $42.28 | $211K | −1.8% of holding | +11.3% | +68.9% | 269,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-30 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 11,000 @ $42.69 | $470K | −4.0% of holding | −19.9% | +50.8% | 263,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 11,000 @ $43.36 | $477K | −4.0% of holding | −14.2% | +66.4% | 263,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 6,543 @ $45.00 | $294K | −5.8% of holding | −14.2% | +66.4% | 106,115 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $45.00 | $225K | −2.6% of holding | −14.2% | +66.4% | 189,653 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $42.50 | $255K | −2.2% of holding | −7.5% | +65.3% | 263,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $41.06 | $205K | −1.8% of holding | −7.5% | +65.3% | 269,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $42.50 | $255K | −2.2% of holding | −9.3% | +69.7% | 263,393 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $40.30 | $202K | −1.9% of holding | −7.6% | +73.8% | 263,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $37.50 | $188K | −1.9% of holding | +11.7% | +98.7% | 263,393 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Sale | 1,916 @ $35.25 | $68K | −0.7% of holding | +15.8% | +90.7% | 263,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Sale | 1,494 @ $35.25 | $53K | −1.4% of holding | +15.8% | +90.7% | 106,115 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
90 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Wininger Shai | director | Gift | 1,876 | 4,416,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 87,942 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Eisenberg Michael A | director | Gift | 5,000 | 195,452 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Haj-Yehia Samer | director | Award / grant | 2,848 | 27,187 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Angelidis-Smith Maria | director | Award / grant | 2,848 | 17,744 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ratanchandani Prashant | director | Award / grant | 2,848 | 6,185 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Schwartz Debra | director | Award / grant | 2,848 | 24,415 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Seeley Geoff | director | Award / grant | 2,848 | 5,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Schreiber Daniel A. | director | Award / grant | 180,000 | 1,024,327 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Wininger Shai | director | Award / grant | 820,000 | 4,238,749 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Wininger Shai | director | Award / grant | 180,000 | 4,418,749 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Schreiber Daniel A. | director | Award / grant | 820,000 | 844,327 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Angelidis-Smith Maria | director | Award / grant | 5,390 | 38,944 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Angelidis-Smith Maria | director | Award / grant | 3,350 | 14,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-08 | Prosor Maya | officer | Award / grant | 181,389 | 188,793 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-08 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Award / grant | 145,112 | 333,503 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-08 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Award / grant | 54,417 | 54,417 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Option exercise | 11,845 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Option exercise | 11,845 | 82,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-08 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Option exercise | 18,457 | 79,228 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-08 | Peters John Sheldon | officer | Option exercise | 18,457 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Option exercise | 29,237 | 4,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Option exercise | 29,237 | 233,466 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Option exercise | 16,250 | 244,237 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Option exercise | 16,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Option exercise | 1,549 | 33,751 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Option exercise | 1,549 | 245,786 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | Schreiber Daniel A. | director | Gift | 35,000 | 24,327 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Option exercise | 5,988 | 7,074 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Option exercise | 5,988 | 233,975 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Option exercise | 40,000 | 13,062 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 247,987 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-07 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Gift | 6,000 | 254,487 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-16 | Ratanchandani Prashant | director | Award / grant | 3,337 | 3,337 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-07 | Seeley Geoff | director | Award / grant | 3,119 | 3,119 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | Eisenberg Michael A | director | Gift | 4,000 | 200,452 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-21 | Eckstein Adina | officer | Award / grant | 38,334 | 227,987 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-21 | BIXBY TIMOTHY E | director | Award / grant | 127,780 | 127,780 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-21 | Wininger Shai | director | Award / grant | 127,780 | 127,780 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-21 | Prosor Maya | officer | Award / grant | 76,668 | 76,668 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.