Issued 2026-09-16 at $52.56 · now $52.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LMB has typically landed between $42.22 and $69.10 — a range of −19.7% to +31.5% from the issuance price $52.56.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,023 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-08-08 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($52.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LMB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $52.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $52.56 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $54.58 (+3.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $48.55–$60.61
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $42.22–$69.1
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,023 windows spanning 2014-08-08 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2018-10-31 | −57.7% | −57.7% | +0.0% |
| 2018-11-08 | −56.0% | −56.0% | +0.0% |
| 2018-11-06 | −55.9% | −55.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-08-31 | +97.4% | +0.0% | +97.4% |
| 2020-08-13 | +81.5% | +0.0% | +81.5% |
| 2020-09-01 | +79.0% | +0.0% | +79.0% |
3,023 overlapping windows · 2014-08-08 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
67%
+9.0%
n=12
Feb
42%
−1.0%
n=12
Mar
42%
−3.3%
n=12
Apr
75%
+6.8%
n=12
May
33%
+0.9%
n=12
Jun
50%
+4.3%
n=12
Jul
42%
−0.3%
n=12
Aug
50%
+2.2%
n=12
Sep
69%
+10.2%
n=13
Oct
42%
−0.7%
n=12
Nov
58%
+1.4%
n=12
Dec
67%
+4.3%
n=12
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Horowitz Joshua | director | Purchase | 3,346 @ $50.61 | $169K | +2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 170,546 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-15 | Horowitz Joshua | director | Purchase | 662 @ $51.25 | $34K | +0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 171,208 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-15 | Krzeminski Laurel J | director | Purchase | 500 @ $50.58 | $25K | +14.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | Horowitz Joshua | director | Purchase | 212 @ $50.66 | $11K | +0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 43,997 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-14 | Gaboury David Richard | director | Purchase | 1,940 @ $51.35 | $100K | +36.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 7,193 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Horowitz Joshua | director | Purchase | 2,600 @ $49.01 | $127K | +1.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 167,200 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Horowitz Joshua | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $49.59 | $50K | +2.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 43,785 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 2,021 @ $80.34 | $162K | −2.7% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 73,656 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 1,862 @ $79.67 | $148K | −2.4% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 75,677 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 788 @ $78.46 | $62K | −1.0% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 77,539 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 200 @ $81.32 | $16K | −0.3% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 73,456 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Sale | 3,440 @ $100.00 | $344K | −2.7% of holding | −23.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 125,227 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-24 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Sale | 2,173 @ $100.05 | $217K | −1.7% of holding | −28.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 128,667 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-13 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Sale | 5,703 @ $85.43 | $487K | −4.2% of holding | −23.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 130,840 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-09 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Sale | 841 @ $85.11 | $72K | −0.6% of holding | −23.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 136,543 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Sale | 3,366 @ $85.19 | $287K | −2.4% of holding | −19.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 137,384 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Sale | 4,167 @ $78.07 | $325K | −2.8% of holding | +11.1% | −44.9% | 143,856 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Sale | 2,637 @ $77.10 | $203K | −1.8% of holding | +11.1% | −44.9% | 148,023 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Sale | 1,546 @ $80.28 | $124K | −1.1% of holding | +11.1% | −44.9% | 141,850 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Sale | 1,100 @ $81.40 | $90K | −0.8% of holding | +11.1% | −44.9% | 140,750 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Sale | 460 @ $78.80 | $36K | −0.3% of holding | +11.1% | −44.9% | 143,396 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 709 @ $79.52 | $56K | −0.9% of holding | +7.2% | −50.0% | 79,827 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 500 @ $81.66 | $41K | −0.6% of holding | +7.2% | −50.0% | 79,027 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 491 @ $78.61 | $39K | −0.6% of holding | +7.2% | −50.0% | 80,536 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 300 @ $80.55 | $24K | −0.4% of holding | +7.2% | −50.0% | 79,527 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 900 @ $77.25 | $70K | −1.3% of holding | +7.6% | −7.9% | 66,079 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 500 @ $78.99 | $39K | −0.8% of holding | +7.6% | −7.9% | 65,079 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 500 @ $77.86 | $39K | −0.8% of holding | +7.6% | −7.9% | 65,579 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 100 @ $80.05 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | +7.6% | −7.9% | 64,979 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $106.09 | $212K | −2.9% of holding | −11.8% | −27.5% | 67,877 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Gaboury David Richard | director | Purchase | 1,400 @ $106.00 | $148K | +48.3% of holding | −7.5% | −21.4% | 4,297 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 880 @ $137.43 | $121K | −1.2% of holding | −0.7% | −59.7% | 70,597 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 420 @ $138.22 | $58K | −0.6% of holding | −0.7% | −59.7% | 70,177 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 300 @ $139.21 | $42K | −0.4% of holding | −0.7% | −59.7% | 69,877 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 300 @ $135.96 | $41K | −0.4% of holding | −0.7% | −59.7% | 71,477 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Sharp Jay | officer | Sale | 100 @ $134.48 | $13K | −0.1% of holding | −0.7% | −59.7% | 71,777 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | Horowitz Joshua | director | Sale | 25,400 @ $75.43 | $1.9M | −13.4% of holding | +8.7% | +17.0% | 164,600 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-10 | Gaboury David Richard | director | Purchase | 531 @ $94.51 | $50K | +34.5% of holding | +7.1% | +47.3% | 2,071 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
116 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Sharp Jay | officer | Gift | 720 | 72,736 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Reed Michael James | officer | Award / grant | 403 | 403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Sharp Jay | officer | Gift | 700 | 78,327 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | McCann Michael M | director | Withheld for tax | 20,466 | 167,514 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,070 | 150,660 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Sharp Jay | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,359 | 81,027 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Angerosa Nicholas | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,878 | 67,639 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Sharp Jay | officer | Award / grant | 28,747 | 93,386 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Angerosa Nicholas | officer | Award / grant | 22,559 | 76,517 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Award / grant | 40,835 | 166,730 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | McCann Michael M | director | Award / grant | 52,008 | 187,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | Dugan Terence Patrick | director | Award / grant | 1,498 | 1,498 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,668 | 125,895 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | McCann Michael M | director | Withheld for tax | 2,538 | 135,972 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Sharp Jay | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,756 | 64,639 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Angerosa Nicholas | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,579 | 53,958 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Option exercise | 1,266 | 127,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Option exercise | 657 | 128,563 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Option exercise | 4,440 | 126,542 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Option exercise | 4,440 | 4,602 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Option exercise | 98 | 4,504 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Option exercise | 1,266 | 3,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Option exercise | 657 | 2,581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Brooks Jayme L. | officer | Award / grant | 2,276 | 4,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Horowitz Joshua | director | Option exercise | 956 | 42,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Horowitz Joshua | director | Option exercise | 956 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Horowitz Joshua | director | Award / grant | 1,498 | 1,498 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | McNally Michael F | director | Option exercise | 956 | 59,379 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | McNally Michael F | director | Option exercise | 956 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | McNally Michael F | director | Award / grant | 1,498 | 1,498 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Krzeminski Laurel J | director | Option exercise | 956 | 36,452 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Krzeminski Laurel J | director | Option exercise | 956 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Krzeminski Laurel J | director | Award / grant | 1,498 | 1,498 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | McCann Michael M | director | Option exercise | 1,080 | 9,753 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | McCann Michael M | director | Option exercise | 2,627 | 7,126 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Sharp Jay | officer | Option exercise | 929 | 65,908 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Gaboury David Richard | director | Option exercise | 956 | 5,253 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Gaboury David Richard | director | Option exercise | 956 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Gaboury David Richard | director | Award / grant | 1,498 | 1,498 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | McCann Michael M | director | Option exercise | 4,699 | 133,304 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.