Issued 2026-09-16 at $37.94 · now $37.94 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LINE has typically landed between $31.39 and $42.30 — a range of −17.3% to +11.5% from the issuance price $37.94.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
517 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-07-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($37.94) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LINE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $37.94 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $37.94 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $36.95 (-2.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $35.05–$38.86
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.39–$42.3
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-04-02 | −22.6% | −22.6% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | −22.4% | −22.4% | +0.0% |
| 2025-04-29 | −22.2% | −22.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-29 | +23.4% | −1.9% | +23.4% |
| 2026-04-27 | +20.0% | −2.3% | +20.0% |
| 2026-04-28 | +20.0% | −3.5% | +20.0% |
517 overlapping windows · 2024-07-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Marchetti Kevin Patrick | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $39.50 | $988K | +22.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 138,690 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | LeMasters Robb A. | officer | Purchase | 20,000 @ $41.33 | $827K | +67.8% of holding | −9.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,500 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Marchetti Kevin Patrick | director | Purchase | 13,300 @ $37.50 | $499K | +13.2% of holding | −5.4% | −10.0% | 113,690 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Marchetti Kevin Patrick | director | Purchase | 11,222 @ $39.05 | $438K | +12.6% of holding | −10.2% | −13.6% | 100,390 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Fleming Abigail S | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $33.56 | $17K | +9.3% of holding | −4.0% | +16.0% | 5,862 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | LeMasters Robb A. | officer | Purchase | 30,000 @ $33.74 | $1.0M | +100.0% of holding | +7.1% | +10.4% | 60,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Forste Adam Matthew Schwartz | director | Purchase | 74,000 @ $33.83 | $2.5M | +209.8% of holding | +8.8% | +12.2% | 109,266 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Marchetti Kevin Patrick | director | Purchase | 14,500 @ $33.72 | $489K | +19.4% of holding | +8.8% | +12.2% | 89,168 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Crisci Robert | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $34.56 | $346K | +10.2% of holding | −1.9% | +5.3% | 107,859 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Marchetti Kevin Patrick | director | Purchase | 12,345 @ $40.44 | $499K | +19.8% of holding | −2.3% | −7.3% | 74,668 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Marchetti Kevin Patrick | director | Purchase | 17,209 @ $42.05 | $724K | +44.4% of holding | −1.9% | −12.3% | 55,992 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Marchetti Kevin Patrick | director | Purchase | 6,331 @ $42.89 | $272K | +11.3% of holding | −1.9% | −12.3% | 62,323 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Thattai Sudarsan V | officer | Purchase | 3,563 @ $42.45 | $151K | +80.6% of holding | −1.9% | −12.3% | 7,983 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Marchetti Kevin Patrick | director | Purchase | 11,050 @ $45.63 | $504K | +39.8% of holding | −7.3% | −41.7% | 38,783 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | Forste Adam Matthew Schwartz | director | Purchase | 10,949 @ $44.93 | $492K | +45.0% of holding | −4.8% | −37.0% | 35,266 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-06 | Marchetti Kevin Patrick | director | Purchase | 11,500 @ $43.75 | $503K | +70.8% of holding | −5.8% | −33.1% | 27,733 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-05 | Thattai Sudarsan V | officer | Purchase | 4,420 @ $45.23 | $200K | ownership Δ n/a | −6.1% | −30.8% | 4,420 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | Forste Adam Matthew Schwartz | director | Purchase | 20,869 @ $60.43 | $1.3M | ownership Δ n/a | +3.8% | −38.2% | 20,869 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | Marchetti Kevin Patrick | director | Purchase | 15,833 @ $60.49 | $958K | ownership Δ n/a | +3.8% | −38.2% | 15,833 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | Forste Adam Matthew Schwartz | director | Purchase | 3,448 @ $60.93 | $210K | +16.5% of holding | +3.8% | −38.2% | 24,317 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | Marchetti Kevin Patrick | director | Purchase | 400 @ $61.08 | $24K | +2.5% of holding | +3.8% | −38.2% | 16,233 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
77 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Turner Michael John | director | Award / grant | 4,490 | 11,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Falotico Nancy Joy | director | Award / grant | 4,490 | 18,517 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Wentworth Lynn A | director | Award / grant | 4,490 | 17,226 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | ARCHAMBEAU SHELLYE L | director | Award / grant | 4,490 | 12,112 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Fleming Abigail S | officer | Withheld for tax | 205 | 18,277 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Lehmkuhl Greg | director | Withheld for tax | 8,422 | 127,623 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Bryan Gregory A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,137 | 28,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Burlage Kelly | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,516 | 12,174 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | McGowan Brian Jeffrey | officer | Withheld for tax | 676 | 23,723 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Fleming Abigail S | officer | Withheld for tax | 276 | 18,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Bryan Gregory A. | officer | Award / grant | 13,118 | 13,118 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Fleming Abigail S | officer | Award / grant | 12,203 | 18,758 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | McGowan Brian Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 28,799 | 28,799 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Bryan Gregory A. | officer | Award / grant | 13,118 | 30,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Lehmkuhl Greg | director | Award / grant | 68,334 | 136,045 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Lehmkuhl Greg | director | Award / grant | 68,335 | 68,335 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Matsler Natalie | officer | Award / grant | 25,626 | 25,626 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Thattai Sudarsan V | officer | Award / grant | 32,947 | 32,947 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Smith Timothy Conrad | officer | Award / grant | 20,745 | 23,234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Burlage Kelly | officer | Award / grant | 1,220 | 13,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Burlage Kelly | officer | Award / grant | 1,221 | 1,221 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Rivera Jeffrey Alvarez | officer | Award / grant | 30,690 | 30,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Lehmkuhl Greg | director | Withheld for tax | 3,995 | 67,711 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Rivera Jeffrey Alvarez | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,127 | 8,684 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Thattai Sudarsan V | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,678 | 10,563 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Matsler Natalie | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,514 | 2,253 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | McGowan Brian Jeffrey | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,231 | 24,399 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Bryan Gregory A. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,229 | 18,550 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Smith Timothy Conrad | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,169 | 2,489 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Fleming Abigail S | officer | Withheld for tax | 356 | 6,555 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Burlage Kelly | officer | Withheld for tax | 214 | 12,470 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Bryan Gregory A. | officer | Award / grant | 3,603 | 19,779 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Lehmkuhl Greg | director | Award / grant | 13,756 | 71,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Smith Timothy Conrad | officer | Award / grant | 3,603 | 3,658 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Rivera Jeffrey Alvarez | officer | Award / grant | 5,405 | 10,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | McGowan Brian Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 3,735 | 25,630 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Thattai Sudarsan V | officer | Award / grant | 4,258 | 12,241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Fleming Abigail S | officer | Award / grant | 1,049 | 6,911 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Burlage Kelly | officer | Award / grant | 616 | 12,684 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Matsler Natalie | officer | Award / grant | 3,767 | 3,767 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.