LINDLindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Travel Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.42 · now $27.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LIND has typically landed between $20.53 and $37.38 — a range of −25.1% to +36.3% from the issuance price $27.42.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,300 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-07-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LIND has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$20.53worst · -25.1%$37.38best · +36.3%
  • now $27.42 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $27.66 (+0.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $23.95–$31.36
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.53–$37.38
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,300 windows spanning 2013-07-03 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−78.5%−78.5%+0.0%
2020-02-20−78.2%−78.2%+0.0%
2020-02-13−76.0%−76.0%+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-01+87.0%−3.3%+87.0%
2020-11-04+84.4%+0.0%+84.4%
2020-05-07+84.1%−7.9%+84.1%

3,300 overlapping windows · 2013-07-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
54%
+2.5%
n=13
Feb
46%
−0.4%
n=13
Mar
54%
−5.9%
n=13
Apr
77%
+6.0%
n=13
May
69%
+4.2%
n=13
Jun
54%
+3.6%
n=13
Jul
46%
−1.2%
n=13
Aug
50%
+4.1%
n=14
Sep
14%
−5.9%
n=14
Oct
46%
−0.7%
n=13
Nov
46%
+10.2%
n=13
Dec
62%
+6.8%
n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$34$112026-06-17: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — BISNOW MICHAEL ELLIOTT2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $880K — Dryden L. Dyson2026-05-29: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Dryden L. Dyson2026-05-21: 2 insider sales, $241K — Byus Trey, FAHEY JOHN M JR2026-05-14: 1 insider sale, $19K — FAHEY JOHN M JR2026-05-12: 1 insider sale, $19K — FAHEY JOHN M JR2026-05-11: 2 insider sales, $606K — Byus Trey, FAHEY JOHN M JR2026-03-10: 1 insider sale, $137K — FAHEY JOHN M JR2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $984K — Smith, Jr. Thomas S.2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $741K — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2026-02-04: 2 insider sales, $3.8M — BRESSLER BENJAMIN, Lindblad Sven-Olof2026-02-03: 1 insider sale, $2.2M — Lindblad Sven-Olof2026-02-02: 3 insider sales, $5.5M — Lindblad Sven-Olof, BRESSLER BENJAMIN …2026-01-30: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Lindblad Sven-Olof2026-01-29: 2 insider sales, $2.3M — Lindblad Sven-Olof, BRESSLER BENJAMIN2026-01-28: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Lindblad Sven-Olof2026-01-27: 1 insider sale, $703K — Lindblad Sven-Olof2026-01-26: 1 insider sale, $688K — Lindblad Sven-Olof2026-01-23: 1 insider sale, $580K — Lindblad Sven-Olof2026-01-22: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Lindblad Sven-Olof2026-01-21: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Lindblad Sven-Olof2026-01-20: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Lindblad Sven-Olof2026-01-15: 1 insider sale, $124K — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2026-01-14: 1 insider sale, $1.6M — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2026-01-12: 1 insider sale, $3.6M — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2026-01-09: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2026-01-07: 1 insider sale, $446K — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2025-12-22: 1 insider sale, $242K — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2025-08-28: 1 insider sale, $317K — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2025-08-27: 2 insider sales, $1.2M — BRESSLER BENJAMIN, Byus Trey2025-08-25: 1 insider sale, $369K — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2025-08-22: 1 insider sale, $2.8M — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2025-08-20: 1 insider sale, $293K — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2025-08-19: 1 insider sale, $11K — BRESSLER BENJAMIN2025-08: 10 open-market sales, $9.5M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $242K2026-01: 15 open-market sales, $17.3M2026-02: 7 open-market sales, $12.2M2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $1.1M2026-05: 7 open-market sales, $2.1M2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $2.0M↑ buys↓ salesdirector BISNOW MICHAEL ELLIOTT — Sale on 2026-06-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Dryden L. Dyson — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Dryden L. Dyson — Sale on 2026-05-29, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Byus Trey — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FAHEY JOHN M JR — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FAHEY JOHN M JR — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FAHEY JOHN M JR — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed same dayofficer Byus Trey — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FAHEY JOHN M JR — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FAHEY JOHN M JR — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith, Jr. Thomas S. — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed same dayofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed same daydirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-01-29, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2026-01-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-01-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-01-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-01-26, filed same daydirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-01-23, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-01-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lindblad Sven-Olof — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2026-01-12, filed same dayofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2025-08-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Byus Trey — Sale on 2025-08-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2025-08-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed same dayofficer BRESSLER BENJAMIN — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-17BISNOW MICHAEL ELLIOTTdirectorSale44,642 @ $24.21$1.1M−63.3% of holding+14.8%not yet — horizon still open25,872Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04Dryden L. DysondirectorSale39,946 @ $22.04$880K−4.0% of holding+16.7%not yet — horizon still open948,108Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-29Dryden L. DysondirectorSale52,747 @ $23.09$1.2M−5.1% of holding+24.1%not yet — horizon still open988,054Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-21Byus TreyofficerSale10,000 @ $20.05$201K−9.0% of holding+30.6%not yet — horizon still open101,530Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-21FAHEY JOHN M JRdirectorSale2,000 @ $20.26$41K−1.7% of holding+30.6%not yet — horizon still open112,486Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14FAHEY JOHN M JRdirectorSale1,000 @ $19.39$19K−0.8% of holding+22.9%not yet — horizon still open117,486Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12FAHEY JOHN M JRdirectorSale1,000 @ $19.39$19K−0.8% of holding+21.7%not yet — horizon still open118,486Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11Byus TreyofficerSale26,460 @ $20.23$535K−19.2% of holding+14.3%not yet — horizon still open111,530Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11FAHEY JOHN M JRdirectorSale3,500 @ $20.04$70K−2.8% of holding+14.3%not yet — horizon still open119,486Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10FAHEY JOHN M JRdirectorSale7,768 @ $17.66$137K−5.9% of holding+7.1%+30.5%122,986Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Smith, Jr. Thomas S.directorSale56,000 @ $17.57$984K−55.2% of holding+6.1%+35.5%45,488Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-05BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale41,000 @ $18.08$741K−63.6% of holding−2.7%+71.0%23,466Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-04BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale181,389 @ $18.04$3.3M−88.5% of holding+1.2%+76.9%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale28,002 @ $17.61$493K−0.3% of holding+1.2%+76.9%10,783,962Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-03Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale127,310 @ $17.38$2.2M−1.2% of holding+5.5%+83.2%10,811,964Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale118,846 @ $17.35$2.1M−1.1% of holding+7.9%+85.8%10,939,274Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale114,659 @ $17.18$2.0M−1.0% of holding+7.9%+85.8%11,058,120Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale87,478 @ $17.08$1.5M−78.8% of holding+7.9%+85.8%23,466Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-30Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale78,283 @ $16.66$1.3M−0.7% of holding+15.8%+88.6%11,172,779Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-29Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale105,356 @ $16.84$1.8M−0.9% of holding+16.4%+67.7%11,251,062Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-29BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale33,338 @ $17.02$567K−58.7% of holding+16.4%+67.7%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-28Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale86,639 @ $16.29$1.4M−0.8% of holding+22.7%+76.2%11,356,418Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-27Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale44,002 @ $15.98$703K−0.4% of holding+26.2%+78.9%11,443,057Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-26Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale42,903 @ $16.03$688K−0.4% of holding+29.0%+77.4%11,487,059Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-23Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale36,066 @ $16.08$580K−0.3% of holding+29.4%+68.8%11,529,962Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-22Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale62,100 @ $16.48$1.0M−0.5% of holding+23.0%+55.8%11,566,028Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-21Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale75,314 @ $16.03$1.2M−0.6% of holding+28.3%+58.8%11,628,128Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-20Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorSale80,520 @ $15.67$1.3M−0.7% of holding+30.0%+66.9%11,703,442Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-15BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale7,311 @ $17.01$124K−23.8% of holding+24.5%+57.7%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-14BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale94,259 @ $17.08$1.6M−80.1% of holding+20.8%+56.6%23,466Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-12BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale222,386 @ $16.08$3.6M−90.5% of holding+19.3%+46.0%23,466Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-09BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale69,439 @ $15.03$1.0M−74.7% of holding+35.7%+65.2%23,466Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-01-07BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale29,628 @ $15.04$446K−55.8% of holding+33.8%+67.0%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-22BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale16,123 @ $15.02$242K−40.7% of holding+7.4%+86.4%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-28BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale21,137 @ $15.01$317K−47.4% of holding−17.3%+24.4%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-27BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale61,495 @ $15.01$923K−72.4% of holding−16.3%+24.7%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-27Byus TreyofficerSale16,585 @ $14.88$247K−11.4% of holding−16.3%+24.7%128,996Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-25BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale24,564 @ $15.02$369K−51.1% of holding−16.2%+30.4%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale200,700 @ $14.19$2.8M−89.5% of holding−15.7%+31.3%23,466Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-20BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale20,877 @ $14.03$293K−47.1% of holding−10.3%+42.3%23,466Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-19BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale809 @ $14.00$11K−3.3% of holding−9.6%+38.9%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-05BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale167,494 @ $13.05$2.2M−87.7% of holding+2.9%+22.0%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-05BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale167,494 @ $13.05$2.2M−87.7% of holding+2.9%+22.0%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale7,567 @ $13.05$99K−24.4% of holding+13.7%+31.4%23,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-23BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerSale47,325 @ $13.02$616K−3.5% of holding+6.9%+17.9%1,310,460Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21SCHULTZ ALEX PdirectorPurchase26,453 @ $10.25$271K+8.7% of holding+8.3%+3.0%329,607Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-20SCHULTZ ALEX PdirectorPurchase1,100 @ $10.29$11K+0.4% of holding+7.0%+0.1%303,154Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-22SCHULTZ ALEX PdirectorPurchase18,731 @ $8.30$155K+6.6% of holding+9.2%+26.2%302,054Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-21SCHULTZ ALEX PdirectorPurchase36,375 @ $7.97$290K+14.7% of holding+12.9%+17.1%283,323Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-17FAHEY JOHN M JRdirectorSale7,000 @ $11.76$82K−5.4% of holding+1.3%−7.3%123,754Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

108 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Goldberg FrederickofficerAward / grant4,50363,742Form 4
2026-09-01Leahy NatalyaofficerAward / grant10,664249,395Form 4
2026-08-08Stuart AndrewdirectorAward / grant3,24026,786Form 4
2026-08-08Reavis Annette J.directorAward / grant3,24026,786Form 4
2026-08-08Smith, Jr. Thomas S.directorAward / grant3,24048,728Form 4
2026-08-08Reynolds Catherine BdirectorAward / grant3,24085,493Form 4
2026-08-08SCHULTZ ALEX PdirectorAward / grant3,240341,746Form 4
2026-08-08BISNOW MICHAEL ELLIOTTdirectorAward / grant3,24029,112Form 4
2026-08-08Dryden L. DysondirectorAward / grant3,240951,348Form 4
2026-08-08EIN MARKdirectorAward / grant3,240331,842Form 4
2026-08-08FAHEY JOHN M JRdirectorAward / grant3,240113,726Form 4
2026-08-08Kaufman Pamela O.directorAward / grant3,24026,786Form 4
2026-08-08Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorAward / grant3,24010,687,202Form 4
2026-07-17Leahy NatalyaofficerWithheld for tax15,000238,731Form 4
2026-06-22Leahy NatalyaofficerWithheld for tax9,763253,731Form 4
2026-05-29EIN MARKdirectorOther acquisition300,000300,000Form 4
2026-05-29EIN MARKdirectorOther acquisition300,000300,000Form 4
2026-05-08EIN MARKdirectorOther acquisition1,000,0001,000,000Form 4
2026-05-08EIN MARKdirectorOther acquisition1,000,0001,000,000Form 4
2026-04-28TAYLOR KEITH AofficerWithheld for tax2,01427,706Form 4
2026-04-11BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerWithheld for tax1,833162,305Form 4
2026-03-31Byus TreyofficerWithheld for tax5,202137,990Form 4
2026-03-31Goldberg FrederickofficerAward / grant11,25781,753Form 4
2026-03-31Byus TreyofficerAward / grant13,767143,192Form 4
2026-03-31TAYLOR KEITH AofficerAward / grant8,58429,720Form 4
2026-03-31BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerAward / grant5,78029,246Form 4
2026-03-31BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerWithheld for tax2,31126,935Form 4
2026-03-31Goldberg FrederickofficerWithheld for tax9,49059,239Form 4
2026-03-31Leahy NatalyaofficerAward / grant14,220291,934Form 4
2026-03-31Leahy NatalyaofficerWithheld for tax24,491263,494Form 4
2026-03-31Byus TreyofficerAward / grant7,262133,945Form 4
2026-03-31Byus TreyofficerWithheld for tax4,520129,425Form 4
2026-03-29Byus TreyofficerWithheld for tax2,313126,683Form 4
2026-03-18Lindblad Sven-OlofdirectorGift100,00010,683,962Form 4
2026-03-16BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerWithheld for tax106,713164,138Form 4
2026-03-15BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerAward / grant243,916270,851Form 4
2026-03-10BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerAward / grant771,863771,863Form 4
2026-02-07Leahy NatalyaofficerWithheld for tax11,842277,714Form 4
2026-02-05BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerOption exercise41,0000Form 4
2026-02-05BRESSLER BENJAMINofficerOption exercise41,00064,466Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.