LINCLincoln Educational Services CorporationConsumer Defensive · Education & Training Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $25.17 · now $25.17 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LINC has typically landed between $20.71 and $31.68 — a range of −17.7% to +25.9% from the issuance price $25.17.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($25.17) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LINC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $25.17 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$20.71worst · -17.7%$31.68best · +25.9%
  • now $25.17 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $25.83 (+2.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $23.73–$27.93
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.71–$31.68
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2015-08-26−75.3%−75.3%+0.0%
2015-08-25−73.7%−73.7%+0.0%
2015-08-04−71.6%−71.6%+0.0%
3 best
2015-09-28+388.8%+0.0%+475.4%
2015-09-25+336.4%−10.7%+413.6%
2015-09-29+288.0%+0.0%+352.0%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
35%
−0.9%
n=20
Feb
60%
+5.8%
n=20
Mar
45%
+1.8%
n=20
Apr
45%
−0.8%
n=20
May
60%
+6.6%
n=20
Jun
50%
−0.5%
n=20
Jul
50%
−0.4%
n=20
Aug
40%
−8.4%
n=20
Sep
45%
−2.5%
n=20
Oct
50%
+10.8%
n=20
Nov
65%
+12.3%
n=20
Dec
55%
+7.2%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$56$182026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $804K — LUSTER ALEXANDRA M2026-06-12: 1 insider sale, $1.7M — Juniper Investment Company, LLC2026-06-11: 1 insider sale, $565K — Juniper Investment Company, LLC2026-06-10: 1 insider sale, $144K — Carney Kevin M2026-06-05: 1 insider sale, $100K — LUSTER ALEXANDRA M2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Juniper Investment Company, LLC2026-06-03: 2 insider sales, $4.2M — Juniper Investment Company, LLC, Pryor Felecia J.2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $764K — BURKE JAMES J JR2026-05-18: 1 insider sale, $793K — BURKE JAMES J JR2026-05-15: 2 insider sales, $199K — Juniper Investment Company, LLC …2026-05-14: 3 insider sales, $4.9M — Juniper Investment Company, LLC, BURKE JAMES J JR …2026-05-12: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Meyers Brian K2026-03-10: 1 insider sale, $308K — Nyce Chad D2026-03-06: 1 insider sale, $285K — Young Sylvia Jean2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $617K — Plater Michael A2026-02-26: 1 insider sale, $112K — BURKE JAMES J JR2026-02-25: 3 insider sales, $15.0M — Juniper Investment Company, LLC, BURKE JAMES J JR …2025-12-05: 1 insider sale, $308K — Carney Kevin M2025-12-04: 1 insider sale, $172K — Carney Kevin M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $480K2026-02: 4 open-market sales, $15.1M2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $1.2M2026-05: 8 open-market sales, $8.7M2026-06: 8 open-market sales, $8.8M↑ buys↓ salesofficer LUSTER ALEXANDRA M — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed same dayother Juniper Investment Company, LLC — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed 3 days after the tradeother Juniper Investment Company, LLC — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Carney Kevin M — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed same dayofficer LUSTER ALEXANDRA M — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradeother Juniper Investment Company, LLC — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradeother Juniper Investment Company, LLC — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Pryor Felecia J. — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES J JR — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES J JR — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed same dayother Juniper Investment Company, LLC — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeother Juniper Investment Company, LLC — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeother Juniper Investment Company, LLC — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 4 days after the tradeother Juniper Investment Company, LLC — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES J JR — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Meyers Brian K — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nyce Chad D — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Young Sylvia Jean — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Plater Michael A — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed same daydirector BURKE JAMES J JR — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed same dayother Juniper Investment Company, LLC — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 2 days after the tradeother Juniper Investment Company, LLC — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 6 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES J JR — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Carney Kevin M — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed same daydirector Carney Kevin M — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-15LUSTER ALEXANDRA MofficerSale18,007 @ $44.64$804K−17.9% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open82,356Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale37,000 @ $46.88$1.7M−2.1% of holding−5.6%not yet — horizon still open1,732,966Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-11Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale11,812 @ $47.87$565K−0.7% of holding+10.2%not yet — horizon still open1,781,778Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-10Carney Kevin MdirectorSale3,000 @ $48.00$144K−10.7% of holding+10.0%not yet — horizon still open25,039Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-05LUSTER ALEXANDRA MofficerSale1,993 @ $50.11$100K−1.9% of holding+11.5%not yet — horizon still open100,363Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-04Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale25,208 @ $51.13$1.3M−1.4% of holding+11.0%not yet — horizon still open1,781,778Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale81,504 @ $50.10$4.1M−4.3% of holding+8.2%not yet — horizon still open1,806,986Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-03Pryor Felecia J.directorSale2,000 @ $49.70$99K−11.9% of holding+8.2%not yet — horizon still open14,801Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22BURKE JAMES J JRdirectorSale15,807 @ $48.36$764K−26.3% of holding+0.3%not yet — horizon still open44,198Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-18BURKE JAMES J JRdirectorSale16,000 @ $49.54$793K−21.1% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open60,005Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-15Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale1,985 @ $50.11$99Kownership Δ n/a−8.0%not yet — horizon still open—Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale1,985 @ $50.11$99Kownership Δ n/a−8.0%not yet — horizon still open—Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-14Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale47,836 @ $51.16$2.4Mownership Δ n/a−13.0%not yet — horizon still open—Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-14Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale47,836 @ $51.16$2.4Mownership Δ n/a−13.0%not yet — horizon still open—Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-14BURKE JAMES J JRdirectorSale193 @ $51.76$10K−0.3% of holding−13.0%not yet — horizon still open76,005Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-12Meyers Brian KofficerSale40,070 @ $49.98$2.0M−20.0% of holding−5.1%not yet — horizon still open160,712Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Nyce Chad DofficerSale8,450 @ $36.50$308K−4.6% of holding+10.1%−46.6%174,206Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-06Young Sylvia JeandirectorSale7,959 @ $35.81$285K−38.5% of holding+17.2%−43.6%12,697Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-02Plater Michael AdirectorSale17,256 @ $35.73$617K−49.6% of holding+15.4%−44.0%17,568Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-26BURKE JAMES J JRdirectorSale3,214 @ $34.87$112K−4.2% of holding+26.3%−39.0%73,703Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-25Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale275,000 @ $34.55$9.5M−11.6% of holding+24.5%−37.2%2,088,311Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-25Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale150,000 @ $35.67$5.4M−7.2% of holding+24.5%−37.2%1,938,311Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2026-02-25BURKE JAMES J JRdirectorSale5,343 @ $34.69$185K−6.5% of holding+24.5%−37.2%76,917Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-05Carney Kevin MdirectorSale13,866 @ $22.18$308K−35.8% of holding+11.2%+100.1%24,823Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-04Carney Kevin MdirectorSale7,604 @ $22.64$172K−16.4% of holding+8.2%+96.1%38,689Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-06Nyce Chad DofficerSale6,200 @ $22.93$142K−3.5% of holding−4.3%−18.4%170,209Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-30Rose CarltondirectorSale30,000 @ $23.63$709K−66.2% of holding−7.5%−30.1%15,295Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-29Pryor Felecia J.directorSale20,000 @ $23.53$471K−58.3% of holding−5.9%−27.7%14,306Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-16BURKE JAMES J JRdirectorSale5,000 @ $21.42$107K−5.7% of holding+3.4%−17.6%82,230Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-15BURKE JAMES J JRdirectorSale10,000 @ $21.40$214K−10.3% of holding+5.5%−16.4%87,230Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-14Bartholdson John A.directorSale36,350 @ $14.82$539K−100.0% of holding+16.8%+21.0%0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-12Bartholdson John A.directorSale33,019 @ $15.47$511K−47.5% of holding+16.2%+12.4%36,560Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-11Bartholdson John A.directorSale60,943 @ $15.61$951K−46.7% of holding+10.4%+4.6%69,579Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Bartholdson John A.directorSale19,478 @ $15.52$302K−13.0% of holding+15.6%+9.3%130,522Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03Bartholdson John A.directorSale51,506 @ $18.50$953K−25.6% of holding−7.5%−5.7%150,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-28Bartholdson John A.directorSale224,038 @ $18.09$4.1M−52.6% of holding−7.9%−6.7%201,506Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-09Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale61,289 @ $16.19$992K−12.6% of holding−6.2%+38.7%425,544Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-06Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale60,000 @ $16.13$968K−11.0% of holding−5.2%+33.4%486,833Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-05Juniper Investment Company, LLCotherSale15,827 @ $16.12$255K−2.8% of holding−4.6%+31.4%546,833Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

49 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-08Carney Kevin MdirectorOther acquisition3,21628,039Form 4
2026-06-08Carney Kevin MdirectorOther acquisition3,2162,495Form 4
2026-05-07Bartholdson John A.directorAward / grant3,515212,458Form 4
2026-05-07Pryor Felecia J.directorAward / grant2,49516,801Form 4
2026-05-07Plater Michael AdirectorAward / grant2,49520,063Form 4
2026-05-07Rose CarltondirectorAward / grant2,49517,790Form 4
2026-05-07Carney Kevin MdirectorAward / grant2,4955,711Form 4
2026-05-07Newhart MartadirectorAward / grant2,49510,059Form 4
2026-05-07BURKE JAMES J JRdirectorAward / grant2,49576,198Form 4
2026-05-07CABRAL ANNA ESCOBEDOdirectorAward / grant2,49510,059Form 4
2026-05-07Young Sylvia JeandirectorAward / grant2,49515,192Form 4
2026-03-01SHAW SCOTT MdirectorWithheld for tax72,8391,104,841Form 4
2026-03-01Meyers Brian KofficerWithheld for tax30,734200,782Form 4
2026-03-01Nyce Chad DofficerWithheld for tax24,027182,656Form 4
2026-03-01Ace Stephen EofficerWithheld for tax5,019150,079Form 4
2026-03-01LUSTER ALEXANDRA MofficerWithheld for tax4,741102,356Form 4
2026-03-01Meyers Brian KofficerAward / grant4,329231,516Form 4
2026-03-01LUSTER ALEXANDRA MofficerAward / grant833107,097Form 4
2026-03-01SHAW SCOTT MdirectorAward / grant9,9911,177,680Form 4
2026-03-01Ace Stephen EofficerAward / grant833155,098Form 4
2026-03-01Nyce Chad DofficerAward / grant4,329206,683Form 4
2026-02-19SHAW SCOTT MdirectorAward / grant70,7161,167,689Form 4
2026-02-19Meyers Brian KofficerAward / grant32,145227,187Form 4
2026-02-19Ace Stephen EofficerAward / grant4,821154,265Form 4
2026-02-19Nyce Chad DofficerAward / grant32,145202,354Form 4
2026-02-19LUSTER ALEXANDRA MofficerAward / grant4,821106,264Form 4
2025-05-19Carney Kevin MdirectorGift46,29346,293Form 4
2025-05-07Bartholdson John A.directorAward / grant5,628208,943Form 4
2025-05-07Newhart MartadirectorAward / grant3,2167,564Form 4
2025-05-07Plater Michael AdirectorAward / grant3,21634,824Form 4
2025-05-07Pryor Felecia J.directorAward / grant3,21634,306Form 4
2025-05-07CABRAL ANNA ESCOBEDOdirectorAward / grant3,2167,564Form 4
2025-05-07Rose CarltondirectorAward / grant3,21645,295Form 4
2025-05-07Carney Kevin MdirectorAward / grant3,21649,509Form 4
2025-05-07BURKE JAMES J JRdirectorAward / grant3,21697,230Form 4
2025-05-07Young Sylvia JeandirectorAward / grant3,21620,656Form 4
2025-03-01SHAW SCOTT MdirectorWithheld for tax79,0321,096,973Form 4
2025-03-01Meyers Brian KofficerWithheld for tax33,998195,042Form 4
2025-03-01Nyce Chad DofficerWithheld for tax23,877176,409Form 4
2025-03-01Ace Stephen EofficerWithheld for tax5,961149,444Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.