LHXL3Harris Technologies, Inc.Industrials · Aerospace & Defenseas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $237.69 · now $237.69 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, LHX has typically landed between $215.19 and $263.94 — a range of −9.5% to +11.0% from the issuance price $237.69.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,692 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($237.69) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LHX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $237.69 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$215.19worst · -9.5%$263.94best · +11.0%
  • now $237.69 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $238.81 (+0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $228.59–$249.03
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $215.19–$263.94
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,692 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−34.5%−34.5%+0.0%
2008-09-25−34.2%−34.2%+0.0%
2020-02-13−32.6%−32.6%+0.8%
3 best
2020-03-16+28.1%−1.3%+29.4%
2020-03-23+27.7%+0.0%+35.5%
2008-04-17+27.4%+0.0%+27.4%

4,692 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$55.9B
market cap
$9.21
EPS (TTM)
32.6
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$21.9B
'20'25
Net income$1.6B
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.7B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr7.3%
'20'25
ROE · by yr8.2%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.57
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $237.69$194.20$379.80
  • DCF (intrinsic)$290.02
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$282.31
  • Analyst target · range $207.00–$367.00$250.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-25$237.69

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+3.0%
n=18
Feb
63%
+1.9%
n=19
Mar
53%
−0.5%
n=19
Apr
74%
+2.3%
n=19
May
58%
+2.0%
n=19
Jun
37%
−3.1%
n=19
Jul
58%
+2.8%
n=19
Aug
63%
+2.1%
n=19
Sep
42%
−0.8%
n=19
Oct
61%
+1.0%
n=18
Nov
50%
+2.1%
n=18
Dec
61%
+1.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$376$2382026-05-05: 1 insider sale, $677K — Rakita Melanie2026-03-02: 3 insider sales, $4.4M — MEHTA SAMIR, RAMBEAU JON, Rakita Melanie2026-02-26: 1 insider sale, $812K — Rakita Melanie2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $1.6M — MEHTA SAMIR2025-11-13: 1 insider sale, $4.3M — KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER E2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $23.2M — KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER E2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $10.8M2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $23.2M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $4.3M2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $2.5M2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $4.4M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $677K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Rakita Melanie — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed same dayofficer MEHTA SAMIR — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed same dayofficer RAMBEAU JON — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed same dayofficer Rakita Melanie — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed same dayofficer Rakita Melanie — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer MEHTA SAMIR — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER E — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER E — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-05Rakita MelanieofficerSale2,180 @ $310.45$677K−34.2% of holding−2.2%not yet — horizon still open4,192Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-02MEHTA SAMIRofficerSale5,528 @ $370.32$2.0M−41.6% of holding−3.5%−41.8%7,756Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-02RAMBEAU JONofficerSale5,528 @ $370.32$2.0M−41.9% of holding−3.5%−41.8%7,660Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-02Rakita MelanieofficerSale751 @ $370.32$278K−15.4% of holding−3.5%−41.8%4,131Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-26Rakita MelanieofficerSale2,378 @ $341.45$812K−32.8% of holding+4.7%−38.1%4,882Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05MEHTA SAMIRofficerSale4,840 @ $338.85$1.6M−45.0% of holding+8.8%−30.3%5,916Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale14,171 @ $301.05$4.3M−8.9% of holding−0.8%−1.8%144,426Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-12KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale83,000 @ $279.90$23.2M−36.3% of holding+4.0%+29.8%145,578Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-11KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale40,138 @ $269.52$10.8M−21.6% of holding−0.1%+19.3%145,578Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-29KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale72,000 @ $271.14$19.5M−33.1% of holding−0.2%+23.4%145,578Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-12KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale33,061 @ $248.48$8.2M−18.5% of holding+1.0%+2.0%145,572Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-11KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale2,212 @ $247.01$546K−1.5% of holding+2.1%+1.9%145,572Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-27ZOISS EDWARD JofficerSale2,000 @ $245.00$490K−7.3% of holding−3.8%−1.2%25,325Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10RAMBEAU JONofficerSale3,178 @ $226.00$718K−53.2% of holding+3.3%+8.7%2,797Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-07ZOISS EDWARD JofficerSale3,361 @ $211.79$712K−11.0% of holding+3.6%+13.0%27,259Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-06ZOISS EDWARD JofficerSale1,783 @ $211.48$377K−5.5% of holding+6.5%+15.6%30,620Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-30NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorSale1,373 @ $210.06$288K−21.4% of holding−0.8%+16.7%5,049Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-23NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorSale1,764 @ $213.65$377K−20.6% of holding+3.6%+13.1%6,812Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-16NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorSale1,764 @ $223.62$394K−17.1% of holding−0.6%+14.8%8,576Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-11-08NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorSale2,150 @ $260.00$559K−17.2% of holding−11.8%−13.7%10,340Form 4 · filed same day
2024-11-06NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorSale1,100 @ $260.00$286K−9.6% of holding−10.9%−13.0%10,340Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-11-04NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorSale2,988 @ $247.93$741K−22.4% of holding−8.8%−10.5%10,340Form 4 · filed same day
2024-10-31KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale21,351 @ $248.11$5.3M−14.1% of holding−7.6%−10.6%130,506Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-10-02NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorSale2,988 @ $244.68$731K−18.3% of holding+1.2%−6.0%13,328Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-09-03NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorSale2,988 @ $236.68$707K−15.5% of holding+1.2%−12.7%16,316Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-07-15MIKUEN SCOTT TofficerSale15,887 @ $235.00$3.7M−25.0% of holding+0.6%−11.8%47,616Form 4 · filed same day
2024-07-11MIKUEN SCOTT TofficerSale10,527 @ $230.00$2.4M−18.1% of holding+3.3%−13.7%47,616Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-06-17Stackley Sean JofficerSale3,354 @ $216.73$727K−19.1% of holding+6.4%−10.0%14,186Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-06-14Stackley Sean JofficerSale3,354 @ $218.00$731K−16.1% of holding+6.6%−8.4%17,540Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-06-04KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale26,190 @ $225.70$5.9M−17.9% of holding−6.5%−8.2%120,326Form 4 · filed same day
2024-05-31KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale25,000 @ $222.45$5.6M−17.2% of holding−4.5%−3.8%120,326Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-05-22KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale25,000 @ $225.11$5.6M−17.2% of holding−2.2%−2.1%120,326Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-03-26KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale6,258 @ $211.91$1.3M−5.1% of holding+1.2%+1.1%116,175Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-03-25KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorSale40,000 @ $212.22$8.5M−25.6% of holding+0.9%+1.4%116,175Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-03-18MIKUEN SCOTT TofficerSale3,363 @ $212.86$716K−5.7% of holding−2.1%−0.1%55,254Form 4 · filed same day
2024-03-15MIKUEN SCOTT TofficerSale1,292 @ $211.14$273K−2.2% of holding−4.6%−0.8%58,617Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-03-15SWANSON WILLIAM HdirectorPurchase1,250 @ $213.39$267K+81.0% of holding−4.6%−0.8%2,793Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-03-14SWANSON WILLIAM HdirectorPurchase1,250 @ $215.35$269K+426.6% of holding−3.0%−1.0%1,543Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-02-28ZOISS EDWARD JofficerSale1,459 @ $211.57$309K−5.1% of holding−3.1%−1.0%27,185Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-02-27ZOISS EDWARD JofficerSale3,707 @ $211.47$784K−11.5% of holding−2.6%−1.7%28,644Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

260 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Aebli Christopher T.officerAward / grant5,6925,692Form 4
2026-09-01MEHTA SAMIRofficerAward / grant11,83111,831Form 4
2026-09-01MEHTA SAMIRofficerAward / grant3,0363,036Form 4
2026-09-01Barnes Lauren N.officerAward / grant5,6925,692Form 4
2026-08-03SHARP KENNETH PofficerAward / grant8,9988,998Form 4
2026-08-03Hanna Tania W.officerAward / grant8,9988,998Form 4
2026-08-03Rakita MelanieofficerAward / grant5,3995,399Form 4
2026-08-03MEHTA SAMIRofficerAward / grant17,99517,995Form 4
2026-08-03Bedingfield Kenneth LofficerAward / grant17,99517,995Form 4
2026-07-01Geraghty JoannadirectorAward / grant1505,708Form 4
2026-07-01Zamarro Christina LdirectorAward / grant1286,267Form 4
2026-07-01Regnery David SdirectorAward / grant1282,816Form 4
2026-07-01Bedingfield Kenneth LofficerAward / grant19352Form 4
2026-05-11HACHIGIAN KIRK SdirectorAward / grant6614,806Form 4
2026-05-11HAY LEWIS IIIdirectorAward / grant6617,419Form 4
2026-05-11Harris Harry B. JrdirectorAward / grant6614,412Form 4
2026-05-11FRADIN ROGERdirectorAward / grant6616,890Form 4
2026-05-11Zamarro Christina LdirectorAward / grant6616,115Form 4
2026-05-11Regnery David SdirectorAward / grant6612,673Form 4
2026-05-11Rice Edward A JrdirectorAward / grant6613,517Form 4
2026-05-11Geraghty JoannadirectorAward / grant6615,541Form 4
2026-05-11DATTILO THOMAS AdirectorAward / grant6619,265Form 4
2026-05-11BAILEY SALLIE BdirectorAward / grant6617,357Form 4
2026-05-01Rakita MelanieofficerWithheld for tax1,4166,372Form 4
2026-05-01SHARP KENNETH PofficerAward / grant2,5932,593Form 4
2026-05-01Rakita MelanieofficerOption exercise3,5960Form 4
2026-05-01SHARP KENNETH PofficerAward / grant10,02110,021Form 4
2026-05-01SHARP KENNETH PofficerAward / grant11,16911,169Form 4
2026-05-01MEHTA SAMIRofficerAward / grant3,1923,192Form 4
2026-05-01Rakita MelanieofficerOption exercise3,5967,788Form 4
2026-04-01Geraghty JoannadirectorAward / grant1244,880Form 4
2026-04-01Zamarro Christina LdirectorAward / grant1065,454Form 4
2026-04-01Regnery David SdirectorAward / grant1062,012Form 4
2026-04-01Bedingfield Kenneth LofficerAward / grant98332Form 4
2026-02-26KUBASIK CHRISTOPHER EdirectorWithheld for tax18,985191,837Form 4
2026-02-26MEHTA SAMIRofficerWithheld for tax3,58713,284Form 4
2026-02-26RAMBEAU JONofficerWithheld for tax3,58713,188Form 4
2026-02-26Rakita MelanieofficerWithheld for tax2697,260Form 4
2026-02-26FEDDERSEN CHRISTOPH THEODORofficerAward / grant1,6901,690Form 4
2026-02-26Rakita MelanieofficerAward / grant4,3454,345Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousepurchase2026-07-092026-06-12$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousepurchase2026-07-092026-06-12$1–15K
Tim WalbergHousepurchase2026-06-032025-02-07$15–50K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousesale2026-04-072026-03-19$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousesale2026-04-072026-03-19$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousepurchase2025-12-092025-11-05$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousesale2025-10-102025-09-23$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousesale2025-10-092025-09-18$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousepurchase2025-09-172023-03-15$1–15K
Ritchie John TorresHousepurchase2025-08-202024-09-26$1–15K
Ritchie John TorresHousesale2025-08-202025-07-11$1–15K
Markwayne MullinSenatepurchase2025-06-112025-05-13$15–50K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-06-062025-05-30$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.