Issued 2026-09-16 at $324.51 · now $324.51 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LH has typically landed between $293.99 and $358.42 — a range of −9.4% to +10.4% from the issuance price $324.51.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($324.51) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $324.51 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $324.51 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $326.95 (+0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $312.24–$341.66
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $293.99–$358.42
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −45.0% | −45.0% | +0.9% |
| 2020-02-18 | −43.6% | −43.6% | +0.1% |
| 2020-02-20 | −43.2% | −43.2% | +1.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-23 | +47.8% | +0.0% | +47.8% |
| 2020-04-03 | +43.6% | +0.0% | +57.5% |
| 2020-03-20 | +38.2% | −2.7% | +38.5% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
$24.3B
market cap
$11.29
EPS (TTM)
26.3
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$14.0B
'20'25
Net income$877M
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.2B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr6.3%
'20'25
ROE · by yr10.2%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.84
'20'25
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$357.61
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$309.80
- Analyst target · range $300.00–$334.00$300.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$324.51
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
67%
+2.4%
n=18
Feb
58%
+1.3%
n=19
Mar
63%
−1.0%
n=19
Apr
63%
+2.5%
n=19
May
58%
+0.8%
n=19
Jun
63%
+2.9%
n=19
Jul
53%
+2.1%
n=19
Aug
47%
−0.1%
n=19
Sep
42%
−1.6%
n=19
Oct
61%
+0.4%
n=18
Nov
72%
+2.0%
n=18
Dec
67%
−0.0%
n=18
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | ANDERSON KERRII B | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $318.02 | $954K | −31.4% of holding | +2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,563 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Schechter Adam H | director | Sale | 4,669 @ $320.37 | $1.5M | −4.4% of holding | −3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 102,565 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Summy Amy B. | officer | Sale | 924 @ $306.74 | $283K | −11.7% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,956 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Wilkinson Peter J | officer | Sale | 1,338 @ $309.23 | $414K | −43.0% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,770 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Wilkinson Peter J | officer | Sale | 82 @ $309.22 | $25K | −4.4% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,770 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Vaughn Bryan T | officer | Sale | 234 @ $286.19 | $67K | −3.4% of holding | +5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,746 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | Kyle Kathryn W | officer | Sale | 92 @ $286.19 | $26K | −2.3% of holding | +5.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,904 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Kyle Kathryn W | officer | Sale | 762 @ $263.89 | $201K | −16.7% of holding | +4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,813 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Schechter Adam H | director | Sale | 5,903 @ $254.50 | $1.5M | −5.2% of holding | +7.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 107,234 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Wilkinson Peter J | officer | Sale | 1,633 @ $267.05 | $436K | −46.9% of holding | −14.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,852 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Meltzer Jonathan C | officer | Sale | 839 @ $267.05 | $224K | −18.8% of holding | −14.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,620 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Schechter Adam H | director | Sale | 8,705 @ $279.96 | $2.4M | −9.7% of holding | −0.2% | +3.5% | 80,773 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | van der Vaart Sandra D | officer | Sale | 548 @ $284.91 | $156K | −17.5% of holding | −1.2% | +3.5% | 2,579 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Caveney Brian J | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $286.31 | $429K | −4.7% of holding | −2.9% | +6.0% | 30,107 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | Wilkinson Peter J | officer | Sale | 666 @ $277.94 | $185K | −26.4% of holding | −1.7% | +6.4% | 1,852 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-12 | Meltzer Jonathan C | officer | Sale | 87 @ $290.42 | $25K | −3.0% of holding | −2.0% | +0.4% | 2,782 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | Schechter Adam H | director | Sale | 5,273 @ $284.38 | $1.5M | −5.7% of holding | −4.5% | −1.1% | 87,343 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | Meltzer Jonathan C | officer | Sale | 91 @ $276.79 | $25K | −3.3% of holding | −3.6% | +2.1% | 2,696 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Meltzer Jonathan C | officer | Sale | 88 @ $275.53 | $24K | −3.0% of holding | +1.5% | +6.7% | 2,869 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Schechter Adam H | director | Sale | 5,745 @ $262.75 | $1.5M | −6.2% of holding | −1.9% | −15.0% | 87,574 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Parham Richelle P | director | Sale | 7,009 @ $254.28 | $1.8M | −74.0% of holding | +5.1% | −4.9% | 2,469 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | van der Vaart Sandra D | officer | Sale | 3,903 @ $271.42 | $1.1M | −63.2% of holding | +0.3% | −3.7% | 2,274 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | Schechter Adam H | director | Sale | 5,643 @ $266.78 | $1.5M | −5.7% of holding | −0.3% | −2.6% | 93,319 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
277 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Oyegunwa Akinbolade | officer | Award / grant | 750 | 2,940 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Caveney Brian J | officer | Award / grant | 3,000 | 7,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Meltzer Jonathan C | officer | Award / grant | 900 | 3,594 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vaughn Bryan T | officer | Award / grant | 1,500 | 5,204 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Wilkinson Peter J | officer | Option exercise | 1,338 | 3,108 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Wilkinson Peter J | officer | Option exercise | 1,338 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Vaughn Bryan T | officer | Withheld for tax | 93 | 6,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Kyle Kathryn W | officer | Withheld for tax | 73 | 3,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Kyle Kathryn W | officer | Option exercise | 256 | 2,008 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Vaughn Bryan T | officer | Option exercise | 327 | 3,704 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Kyle Kathryn W | officer | Option exercise | 256 | 4,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Kyle Kathryn W | officer | Option exercise | 256 | 4,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Vaughn Bryan T | officer | Option exercise | 327 | 7,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Vaughn Bryan T | officer | Option exercise | 327 | 7,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Schechter Adam H | director | Withheld for tax | 26,106 | 113,137 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Schroeder Mark S | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,600 | 11,177 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Caveney Brian J | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,042 | 35,369 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | GRAHAM ANITA Z | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,879 | 5,185 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | van der Vaart Sandra D | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,722 | 6,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Summy Amy B. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,836 | 7,880 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Schroeder Mark S | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,468 | 12,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Caveney Brian J | officer | Withheld for tax | 863 | 36,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Wilkinson Peter J | officer | Withheld for tax | 755 | 3,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Meltzer Jonathan C | officer | Withheld for tax | 711 | 4,459 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Bailey Megan D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 481 | 4,851 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Kyle Kathryn W | officer | Withheld for tax | 451 | 4,575 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Vaughn Bryan T | officer | Withheld for tax | 451 | 6,746 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Oyegunwa Akinbolade | officer | Withheld for tax | 382 | 5,064 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Vaughn Bryan T | officer | Award / grant | 1,584 | 7,197 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Schroeder Mark S | officer | Award / grant | 9,304 | 15,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Meltzer Jonathan C | officer | Award / grant | 2,388 | 5,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Schroeder Mark S | officer | Award / grant | 2,968 | 14,145 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | GRAHAM ANITA Z | officer | Award / grant | 6,604 | 8,064 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Oyegunwa Akinbolade | officer | Award / grant | 1,340 | 5,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Schechter Adam H | director | Award / grant | 58,470 | 139,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Kyle Kathryn W | officer | Award / grant | 1,584 | 5,026 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Bailey Megan D. | officer | Award / grant | 1,184 | 5,332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Summy Amy B. | officer | Award / grant | 3,994 | 9,716 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | van der Vaart Sandra D | officer | Award / grant | 6,382 | 8,961 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Wilkinson Peter J | officer | Award / grant | 2,388 | 4,240 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | purchase | 2026-07-21 | 2026-03-27 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-07-06 | 2026-06-30 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-15 | $1–15K |
| April Mcclain Delaney | House | purchase | 2026-03-10 | 2026-02-11 | $1–15K |
| April Mcclain Delaney | House | purchase | 2026-03-10 | 2026-02-04 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-29 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-12 | $1–15K |
| April Mcclain Delaney | House | purchase | 2026-02-02 | 2026-01-28 | $1–15K |
| April Mcclain Delaney | House | purchase | 2025-12-08 | 2025-11-17 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-11-06 | 2025-10-27 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-11-06 | 2025-10-27 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-11-06 | 2025-10-27 | $1–15K |
| April Mcclain Delaney | House | purchase | 2025-11-04 | 2025-10-29 | $1–15K |
| April Mcclain Delaney | House | purchase | 2025-11-04 | 2025-10-31 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.