LGNLegence Corp. Class A Common stockIndustrials · Engineering & Constructionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $53.84 · now $53.84 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LGN has typically landed between $41.89 and $74.54 — a range of −22.2% to +38.4% from the issuance price $53.84.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

233 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-09-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($53.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LGN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $53.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$41.89worst · -22.2%$74.54best · +38.4%
  • now $53.84 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $56.61 (+5.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $50.46–$62.75
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $41.89–$74.54
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 233 windows spanning 2025-09-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-06-29−34.1%−34.1%+5.7%
2026-06-30−29.8%−37.7%+0.0%
2026-06-26−26.5%−26.5%+5.9%
3 best
2026-04-07+86.0%+0.0%+86.0%
2026-04-06+80.4%−0.2%+80.4%
2026-04-08+68.8%+0.0%+77.1%

233 overlapping windows · 2025-09-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~1 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
100%
+9.0%
n=1
Feb
100%
+23.7%
n=1
Mar
0%
−2.7%
n=1
Apr
100%
+54.0%
n=1
May
0%
−3.7%
n=1
Jun
100%
+1.8%
n=1
Jul
0%
−25.0%
n=1
Aug
0%
−16.2%
n=1
Sep
100%
+0.5%
n=1
Oct
100%
+34.3%
n=1
Nov
100%
+11.1%
n=1
Dec
0%
−6.4%
n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$102$302026-04-09: 4 insider sales, $1.7B — Legence Parent ML LLC, Blackstone EMA III L.L.C. …2026-01-08: 4 insider sales, $113.4M — Blackstone EMA III L.L.C., Legence Parent ML LLC …2025-12-16: 4 insider sales, $756.2M — Blackstone EMA III L.L.C., Legence Parent ML LLC …2025-09-15: 1 insider purchase, $250K — Keenen Terrence2025-09: 1 open-market purchase, $250K2025-12: 4 open-market sales, $756.2M2026-01: 4 open-market sales, $113.4M2026-04: 4 open-market sales, $1.7B↑ buys↓ salestenPercentOwner Legence Parent ML LLC — Sale on 2026-04-09, filed same daytenPercentOwner Blackstone EMA III L.L.C. — Sale on 2026-04-09, filed same daytenPercentOwner Blackstone EMA III L.L.C. — Sale on 2026-04-09, filed same daytenPercentOwner Legence Parent ML LLC — Sale on 2026-04-09, filed same daytenPercentOwner Blackstone EMA III L.L.C. — Sale on 2026-01-08, filed same daytenPercentOwner Legence Parent ML LLC — Sale on 2026-01-08, filed same daytenPercentOwner Blackstone EMA III L.L.C. — Sale on 2026-01-08, filed same daytenPercentOwner Legence Parent ML LLC — Sale on 2026-01-08, filed same daytenPercentOwner Blackstone EMA III L.L.C. — Sale on 2025-12-16, filed same daytenPercentOwner Legence Parent ML LLC — Sale on 2025-12-16, filed same daytenPercentOwner Legence Parent ML LLC — Sale on 2025-12-16, filed same daytenPercentOwner Blackstone EMA III L.L.C. — Sale on 2025-12-16, filed same daydirector Keenen Terrence — Purchase on 2025-09-15, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerSale9,528,699 @ $54.00$514.5M−98.2% of holding+58.7%not yet — horizon still open178,571Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerSale9,528,699 @ $54.00$514.5M−98.2% of holding+58.7%not yet — horizon still open178,571Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerSale5,865,413 @ $54.00$316.7M−23.3% of holding+58.7%not yet — horizon still open19,297,381Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerSale5,865,413 @ $54.00$316.7M−23.3% of holding+58.7%not yet — horizon still open19,297,381Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-08Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerSale780,121 @ $45.00$35.1M−81.4% of holding+18.8%+47.7%178,571Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-08Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerSale780,121 @ $45.00$35.1M−81.4% of holding+18.8%+47.7%178,571Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-08Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerSale480,205 @ $45.00$21.6M−1.9% of holding+18.8%+47.7%25,162,794Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-08Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerSale480,205 @ $45.00$21.6M−1.9% of holding+18.8%+47.7%25,162,794Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-16Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerSale5,200,808 @ $45.00$234.0M−96.7% of holding+16.1%+93.2%178,571Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-16Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerSale5,200,808 @ $45.00$234.0M−96.7% of holding+16.1%+93.2%178,571Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-16Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerSale3,201,370 @ $45.00$144.1M−11.1% of holding+16.1%+93.2%25,642,999Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-16Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerSale3,201,370 @ $45.00$144.1M−11.1% of holding+16.1%+93.2%25,642,999Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15Keenen TerrencedirectorPurchase8,928 @ $28.00$250Kownership Δ n/a+3.0%+69.8%8,928Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

187 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-18Crisci RobertdirectorAward / grant2,2572,257Form 4
2026-06-11Kelly Christie B.directorAward / grant1,6757,032Form 4
2026-06-11Keenen TerrencedirectorAward / grant1,67515,960Form 4
2026-06-11Coghlan David JosephdirectorAward / grant1,6755,454Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4
2026-04-09Legence Parent ML LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,69931,171,134Form 4
2026-04-09Blackstone EMA III L.L.C.tenPercentOwnerConversion9,528,6999,707,270Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.